Our Brentford vs Chelsea bet builder tip pulls together four stats-based legs for this Premier League clash at the Gtech Community Stadium.
We have leaned on both sides’ recent numbers to target goals, cards and Keane Lewis-Potter’s attacking output. Below are the four legs, the reasons behind each, and how to claim a bet365 sign-up offer to put towards them.
Our Brentford vs Chelsea Bet Builder Tip
- Both Teams to Score – Yes
- Vitaly Janelt to be Shown a Card
- Keane Lewis-Potter Over 0.5 Fouls Won
- Keane Lewis-Potter Over 0.5 Shots on Target
Each leg is drawn from the numbers in our full Brentford vs Chelsea preview. Here is the thinking behind all four.
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score is the most likely outcome in the goals market on this fixture. Our model rates it at around 62%, a fraction behind the 69% implied by the price, but with a free-scoring Chelsea front line and Brentford dangerous at home, both sides carry a genuine threat to find the net.
Vitaly Janelt to be Shown a Card
This is the standout leg of the bet builder. Our model gives Vitaly Janelt around 42% to be carded, well clear of the 27% implied by the price — a genuine disagreement with the market. With Chelsea expected to control possession, Janelt is likely to be doing plenty of the defensive dirty work in midfield, and he has a strong recent record of both fouls and bookings.
Keane Lewis-Potter Over 0.5 Fouls Won
Keane Lewis-Potter is a direct, ball-carrying winger who runs at defenders and invites challenges. Our Bet Builder tool makes him around 72% to win at least one foul — clear of the 65% implied by the price — having drawn a foul in six of his last 10 games at 1.3 per 90 minutes. Against a Chelsea side that will dominate possession, Brentford’s counter-attacking outlets are exactly the players opponents tend to stop with fouls.
Keane Lewis-Potter Over 0.5 Shots on Target
Lewis-Potter is a regular shot threat for Brentford, registering two or more shots in six of his last 10 appearances at 1.63 per 90 minutes. With Brentford taking 12.1 shots a game and Lewis-Potter playing a key role in that, he looks well placed to test the Chelsea keeper and hit the target at least once.
Get a bet365 Sign-Up Offer for Brentford vs Chelsea
New customers can claim a bet365 sign-up offer to put towards our Brentford vs Chelsea bet builder. Open an account, place your qualifying bet, and you will receive your free bets on settlement to use across the weekend’s football.
- Click through to bet365 using the link on this page.
- Register a new bet365 account.
- Deposit and place your qualifying bet.
- Receive your free bets on settlement to use on our bet builder or any market.
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For the full stats behind every market on this game, see our Premier League tips and bet builder tips.
Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
