Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Bet Builder Tips, Predictions and Best Bets

Andy Clark

Luxembourg vs Bulgaria bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Nations League fixture on Tuesday 6th October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

UEFA Nations League - Last 20 Games

Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Team Stats

19:45

LuxembourgvBulgaria
LLWWLW
Recent form
LDLDLW
0.70
Goals scored per game
1.15
1.35
Goals conceded per game
2.25
25%
Both teams scored
45%
55%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
35%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
20%
Over 3.5 goals
35%

LuxembourgvBulgaria
9.67
Shots per game
7.07
3.22
Shots on target
2.43

LuxembourgvBulgaria
0.54
Expected goals for
0.52
1.35
Expected goals against
1.56
50.5
Possession %
40.36

LuxembourgvBulgaria
3.5
Corners per game
2.5
1.61
First half corners
0.79

LuxembourgvBulgaria
13.83
Fouls per game
11.79
2.94
Own cards per game
2.29
5.0
Cards in match
4.57
1.44
First half cards
2.29

Luxembourg take 9.67 shots a game and hit 3.22 on target, against Bulgaria’s 7.07 and 2.43. Luxembourg commit 13.83 fouls a game to Bulgaria’s 11.79, with 5.0 and 4.57 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Luxembourg 44%, the draw 28% and Bulgaria 28%. 3 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Bet Builder

1No Both Teams to Score57% on our numbers
Why this Leg

Both teams have scored in 5 of Luxembourg's last 20 matches and 9 of Bulgaria's. Luxembourg have kept 5 clean sheets in that run and failed to score in 11, against 3 and 9 for Bulgaria.

At home Luxembourg score 0.64 a game and concede 1.27; away from home Bulgaria score 1.36 and concede 2.45. That puts at least one side blanking at about 57%.

2Luxembourg to Win40% on our numbers
Why this Leg

Luxembourg have won 5 of their last 20, drawing 3, and at home they have scored 0.64 a game and conceded 1.27 across 11 matches.

Bulgaria average 1.15 scored and 2.25 conceded. The venue splits project 1.26 against 1.22, which puts Luxembourg at about 40% to win, against 27% for the draw.

3L. Barreiro 1+ Foul Committed9 of his last 10, 1.82 per 90
Why this Leg

Leandro Barreiro has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Luxembourg, at 1.82 per 90 across 1,284 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.

Bulgaria hold 40.36% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

bet365Add 2-Leg Build to Betslip1 of these is not priced at bet365, so the slip opens with the rest

What Is the Best Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Bet Builder?

No Both Teams to Score, Luxembourg to Win and L. Barreiro 1+ Foul Committed. bet365 have not put a price up for every leg yet, so there is no combined price to quote on it.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches. Some of these lines are not up at bet365 yet, so they cannot be added to a slip from here and the combined price will depend on where they open.

No Both Teams to Score. Luxembourg win 3.5 corners a game and Bulgaria 2.5, which makes this about 57% on our numbers against the 62% its price implies. Corners are a separate market from the player legs, so this one multiplies into the builder cleanly.

Luxembourg to Win. Luxembourg win 3.5 corners a game and Bulgaria 2.5, which makes this about 40% on our numbers against the 45% its price implies. Corners are a separate market from the player legs, so this one multiplies into the builder cleanly.

Leandro Barreiro has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 internationals at 1.82 per 90, and Bulgaria hold 40.36% of the ball — 90.0% on our numbers against an implied 0%.

If that is longer than you want, the potential legs table runs from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Betting Tips

  1. 01
    L. Barreiro 1+ Foul Committedbet365TBCLeandro Barreiro has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Luxembourg, at 1.82 per 90 across 1,284 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.~~Bulgaria hold 40.36% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
  2. 02
    D. Sinani 2+ Shotsbet365TBCDanel Sinani has had 2 or more shots in 7 of his last 10 for Luxembourg, at 2.77 per 90 across 1,300 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.~~Luxembourg take 9.67 shots a game and hit 3.22 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
  3. 03
    Correct Score 1-0Add to slip5/1On the venue splits this projects Luxembourg 1.26 against Bulgaria 1.22, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.5%.~~Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Luxembourg, which is where the board has the match too.
  4. 04
    Luxembourg to WinAdd to slip6/5Luxembourg have won 5 of their last 20, drawing 3, and at home they have scored 0.64 a game and conceded 1.27 across 11 matches.~~Bulgaria average 1.15 scored and 2.25 conceded. The venue splits project 1.26 against 1.22, which puts Luxembourg at about 40% to win, against 27% for the draw.
  5. 05
    No Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip8/13Both teams have scored in 5 of Luxembourg's last 20 matches and 9 of Bulgaria's. Luxembourg have kept 5 clean sheets in that run and failed to score in 11, against 3 and 9 for Bulgaria.~~At home Luxembourg score 0.64 a game and concede 1.27; away from home Bulgaria score 1.36 and concede 2.45. That puts at least one side blanking at about 57%.

Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten internationals beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

Loading prices…

Get Free Bets from a Bookies Sign-up Offer for Luxembourg vs Bulgaria

Use one of these bookies welcome offers below to get free bets when you bet on Luxembourg vs Bulgaria, or any of the Nations League matches this week. These are all new customer offers so if you haven’t opened a betting account with them before, you will qualify for the free bets.

Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Bet Builder?

No Both Teams to Score, Luxembourg to Win and L. Barreiro 1+ Foul Committed. bet365 have not listed every one of those lines yet, so there is no combined price on it until they do.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but inside a builder a short leg we rate well above its price is a sound anchor.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?

Filip Krastev of Bulgaria. He has been fouled in 7 of his last 8 internationals, at 3.0 per 90 across 480 minutes, and he averages 60 minutes a game when he plays. Luxembourg commit 13.83 fouls a game. bet365 have not listed F. Krastev 1+ Fouls Drawn yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?

Seid Korać of Luxembourg. He has made a tackle in 9 of his last 10 internationals, at 2.4 per 90 across 1,236 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays. Bulgaria hold 40.36% of the ball, and Luxembourg commit 13.83 fouls a game. There is no price up for S. Korać 1+ Tackles at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?

Danel Sinani of Luxembourg. He has had 2 or more shots in 7 of his last 10 internationals, at 2.77 per 90 across 1,300 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays. Luxembourg take 9.67 shots a game and hit 3.22 on target. bet365 have not put this market up for him, so the odds are still TBC.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?

Andrian Kraev of Bulgaria. He has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 8 internationals, at 2.91 per 90 across 557 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays. Luxembourg hold 50.5% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 have not listed A. Kraev 2+ Foul Committed yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.

What Is the Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Prediction?

Luxembourg are 44% to win, the draw 28% and Bulgaria 28% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. No Both Teams to Score is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?

Tuesday 6th October 2026, 19:45 UK time.

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