Arsenal vs Leeds United 87/1 Bet Builder Tips, Predictions and Best Bets

Andy Clark

Arsenal vs Leeds United bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Premier League fixture on Saturday 10th October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Premier League - Last 20 Games

Arsenal vs Leeds United Team Stats

12:30

ArsenalvLeeds United
LWWWWW
Recent form
DWDDWL
1.35
Goals scored per game
1.25
0.55
Goals conceded per game
1.05
30%
Both teams scored
50%
60%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
35%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
0%
Over 3.5 goals
30%

ArsenalvLeeds United
14.45
Shots per game
12.1
4.7
Shots on target
3.7

ArsenalvLeeds United
1.75
Expected goals for
1.43
0.9
Expected goals against
1.46
53.5
Possession %
45.8

ArsenalvLeeds United
5.25
Corners per game
4.25
2.65
First half corners
2.2

ArsenalvLeeds United
10.35
Fouls per game
10.95
1.2
Own cards per game
1.8
3.3
Cards in match
3.9
0.75
First half cards
1.55

Arsenal take 14.45 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target, against Leeds United’s 12.1 and 3.7. Arsenal commit 10.35 fouls a game to Leeds United’s 10.95, with 3.3 and 3.9 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Arsenal 69%, the draw 18% and Leeds United 13%. 5 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Arsenal vs Leeds United Bet Builder Tip

1G. Magalhães 1+ Foul Committed7 of his last 10, 0.91 per 90
Why this Leg

Gabriel Magalhães has committed a foul in 7 of his last 10 for Arsenal, at 0.91 per 90 across 1,785 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.

Leeds United hold 45.8% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

2D. Calvert-Lewin to be Carded5 of his last 10, 0.27 per 90
Why this Leg

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 0.27 per 90 across 1,653 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

Leeds United pick up 1.8 cards a game and there are 3.9 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.

3E. Konsa 1+ Foul Committed3 of his last 5, 0.97 per 90
Why this Leg

Ezri Konsa has committed a foul in 3 of his last 5 for Arsenal, at 0.97 per 90 across 371 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

Leeds United hold 45.8% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.

4Under 2.5 Goals61% on our numbers
Why this Leg

Arsenal have stayed under 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Leeds United in 55%, with just 0% and 30% of their matches going past 3.5.

Arsenal average 1.35 scored and 0.55 conceded, Leeds United 1.25 and 1.05. On the venue splits that projects 1.40 against 0.81, about 2.2 goals in the match and 61% for under 2.5.

5D. Rice 1+ Foul Committed6 of his last 10, 0.97 per 90
Why this Leg

Declan Rice has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Arsenal, at 0.97 per 90 across 1,678 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

Leeds United hold 45.8% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

bet365Add 5-Leg Build to Betslip

What Is the Best Arsenal vs Leeds United Bet Builder?

G. Magalhães 1+ Foul Committed, D. Calvert-Lewin to be Carded, E. Konsa 1+ Foul Committed, Under 2.5 Goals and D. Rice 1+ Foul Committed, around 80/1 to 94/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.

Gabriel Magalhães has committed a foul in 7 of his last 10 matches at 0.91 per 90, and Leeds United hold 45.8% of the ball — 70% on our numbers against an implied 55%.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been booked in 5 of his last 10 matches at 0.27 per 90, and Leeds United pick up 1.8 cards a game and there are 3.9 in their matches — 50% on our numbers against an implied 18%.

Ezri Konsa has committed a foul in 3 of his last 5 matches at 0.97 per 90, and Leeds United hold 45.8% of the ball — 60% on our numbers against an implied 42%.

Under 2.5 Goals. Arsenal win 5.25 corners a game and Leeds United 4.25, which makes this about 61% on our numbers against the 50% its price implies. Corners are a separate market from the player legs, so this one multiplies into the builder cleanly.

Declan Rice has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 matches at 0.97 per 90, and Leeds United hold 45.8% of the ball — 60% on our numbers against an implied 55%.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Build Your Own Arsenal vs Leeds United Bet Builder from Our Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    G. Magalhães 1+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip5/6Gabriel Magalhães has committed a foul in 7 of his last 10 for Arsenal, at 0.91 per 90 across 1,785 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.Leeds United hold 45.8% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
  2. 02
    E. Konsa 1+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip11/8Ezri Konsa has committed a foul in 3 of his last 5 for Arsenal, at 0.97 per 90 across 371 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Leeds United hold 45.8% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.
  3. 03
    D. Rice 1+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip5/6Declan Rice has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Arsenal, at 0.97 per 90 across 1,678 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Leeds United hold 45.8% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
  4. 04
    D. Calvert-Lewin to be CardedAdd to slip9/2Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 0.27 per 90 across 1,653 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Leeds United pick up 1.8 cards a game and there are 3.9 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.
  5. 05
    Arsenal to WinAdd to slip4/11Arsenal come in on L W W W W W, and at home they have scored 1.60 a game and conceded 0.30 across 10 matches. They have won 14 of their last 20 overall, drawing 3.Leeds United average 1.25 scored and 1.05 conceded. The venue splits project 1.40 against 0.81, which puts Arsenal at about 60% to win, against 27% for the draw.
  6. 06
    Under 2.5 GoalsAdd to slipEvensArsenal have stayed under 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Leeds United in 55%, with just 0% and 30% of their matches going past 3.5.Arsenal average 1.35 scored and 0.55 conceded, Leeds United 1.25 and 1.05. On the venue splits that projects 1.40 against 0.81, about 2.2 goals in the match and 61% for under 2.5.
  7. 07
    Correct Score 1-0Add to slip6/1On the venue splits this projects Arsenal 1.40 against Leeds United 0.81, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 13.4%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Arsenal, which is where the board has the match too.

Arsenal vs Leeds United Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten matches beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Arsenal vs Leeds United Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Arsenal vs Leeds United Bet Builder?

G. Magalhães 1+ Foul Committed, D. Calvert-Lewin to be Carded, E. Konsa 1+ Foul Committed, Under 2.5 Goals and D. Rice 1+ Foul Committed, at around 80/1 to 94/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. G. Magalhães 1+ Foul Committed, which we make 70% against 55% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Arsenal vs Leeds United?

Bukayo Saka of Arsenal. He has had a shot in 10 of his last 10 matches, at 3.49 per 90 across 1,058 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays. Arsenal take 14.45 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. bet365 list B. Saka 1+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in Arsenal vs Leeds United?

Dominic Calvert-Lewin of Leeds United. He has had a shot on target in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 1.09 per 90 across 1,653 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays. Leeds United take 12.1 shots a game and hit 3.7 on target. bet365 list D. Calvert-Lewin 1+ Shot on Target, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Arsenal vs Leeds United?

Myles Lewis-Skelly of Arsenal. He has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 1.75 per 90 across 824 minutes, and he averages 63 minutes a game when he plays. Leeds United hold 45.8% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 list M. Lewis-Skelly 1+ Foul Committed, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in Arsenal vs Leeds United?

Piero Hincapié of Arsenal. He has made a tackle in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 2.97 per 90 across 848 minutes, and he averages 65 minutes a game when he plays. Leeds United hold 45.8% of the ball, and Arsenal commit 10.35 fouls a game. bet365 list him at 2+ rather than 1+, a line he has cleared in 5 of those 10.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Arsenal vs Leeds United?

Gabriel Gudmundsson of Leeds United. He has been fouled in 10 of his last 10 matches, at 2.12 per 90 across 1,059 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays. Arsenal commit 10.35 fouls a game. There is no price up for G. Gudmundsson 1+ Fouls Drawn at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.

What Is the Arsenal vs Leeds United Prediction?

Arsenal are 69% to win, the draw 18% and Leeds United 13% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Under 2.5 Goals is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is Arsenal vs Leeds United?

Saturday 10th October 2026, 12:30 UK time.

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