Our free Serie A predictions and betting tips cover every match on the matchday, with a prediction and a best bet for each fixture. Each tip is built from the teams’ form, goals records, home and away splits, head-to-head and team news, weighed against the latest odds. This week’s Serie A tips are below, followed by how we make the predictions and the bet types we cover.
Disclosure: Thatsagoal is an affiliate partner of the bookmakers featured on this page and may earn a commission if you open an account through our links. This does not affect our tips. All tips are free. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo Tips
11 tips
- Ilario Monterisi 1+ ShotsEvensbet365
Ilario Monterisi has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Frosinone, at 1.21 per 90 across 970 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays.
Frosinone take 18.6 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
- Matteo Cichella 1+ Shot on Target2/1bet365
Matteo Cichella has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Frosinone, at 0.63 per 90 across 1,291 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.
Frosinone take 18.6 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.
- Giacomo Calò 1+ Shot on Target5/4bet365
Giacomo Calò has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Frosinone, at 0.79 per 90 across 1,711 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.
Frosinone take 18.6 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
- Farès Ghedjemis 1+ Foul CommittedEvensbet365
Farès Ghedjemis has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Frosinone, at 0.5 per 90 across 1,264 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.
Sassuolo hold 47.3% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
- Giorgi Kvernadze to be Carded11/2bet365
Giorgi Kvernadze has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Frosinone, at 0.25 per 90 across 1,464 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.
Frosinone pick up 2.3 cards a game and there are 4.9 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 15% implied by 11/2.
- Antonio Raimondo to be Carded9/2bet365
Antonio Raimondo has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Frosinone, at 0.24 per 90 across 1,483 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.
Frosinone pick up 2.3 cards a game and there are 4.9 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.
- Frosinone to Win29/20Add to slip
Frosinone have won 12 of their last 20, drawing 6, and at home they have scored 2.27 a game and conceded 0.82 across 11 matches.
Sassuolo average 1.45 scored and 1.30 conceded. The venue splits project 1.97 against 1.07, which puts Frosinone at about 50% to win, against 22% for the draw.
- Both Teams to Score1/2Add to slip
Both teams have scored in 10 of Frosinone's last 20 matches and 15 of Sassuolo's. Frosinone concede 0.95 a game and Sassuolo 1.30.
On the venue splits the projection is 1.97 against 1.07, which puts both teams scoring at about 60%.
- Over 2.5 Goals4/7Add to slip
Frosinone have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Sassuolo in 70%, with 90% and 85% going past 1.5.
Frosinone average 2.05 scored and 0.95 conceded, Sassuolo 1.45 and 1.30. On the venue splits that projects 1.97 against 1.07, about 3.0 goals in the match and 63% for over 2.5.
- Correct Score 2-19/1Add to slip
On the venue splits this projects Frosinone 1.97 against Sassuolo 1.07, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.5%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Frosinone, which is where the board has the match too.
- Frosinone to Win and Both Teams to Score3/1Add to slip
Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Frosinone to win is about 50% and both teams scoring about 60%. Frosinone score 2.05 a game and concede 0.95, and Sassuolo have scored in 15 of their last 20.
bet365 price the combination at 3/1.
Venezia vs Napoli Tips
7 tips
- Amir Rrahmani 1+ Shots5/6bet365
Amir Rrahmani has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Napoli, at 1.24 per 90 across 1,160 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.
Napoli take 13.4 shots a game and hit 4.65 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
- Rafa Marín 2+ Foul Committed11/4bet365
Rafa Marín has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 8 for Napoli, at 1.69 per 90 across 693 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.
Venezia hold 64.45% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
- Antoine Hainaut 2+ Foul Committed2/1bet365
Antoine Hainaut has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Venezia, at 1.2 per 90 across 1,720 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.
Napoli hold 57.2% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.
- Gianluca Busio to be Carded3/1bet365
Gianluca Busio has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Venezia, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,510 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.
Venezia pick up 1.8 cards a game and there are 3.65 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
- Joel Schingtienne to be Carded3/1bet365
Joel Schingtienne has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Venezia, at 0.17 per 90 across 1,601 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.
Venezia pick up 1.8 cards a game and there are 3.65 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
- Over 8.5 Corners4/5bet365
Venezia win 4.85 corners a game and Napoli 5.75, with 2.6 and 3.05 of those in the first half.
That leaves about 11 in the match, a 73% chance of 9 or more against the 56% implied by 4/5.
- Correct Score 0-17/1Add to slip
On the venue splits this projects Venezia 1.51 against Napoli 1.35, and 0-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.4%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Napoli, which is where the board has the match too.
Bologna vs Inter Tips
10 tips
- Manuel Akanji 1+ Shots5/6bet365
Manuel Akanji has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Inter, at 0.97 per 90 across 1,303 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.
Inter take 17.45 shots a game and hit 6.1 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
- Carlos Augusto 1+ Shot on Target11/4bet365
Carlos Augusto has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Inter, at 0.41 per 90 across 1,092 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.
Inter take 17.45 shots a game and hit 6.1 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
- Lewis Ferguson 2+ Foul Committed10/11bet365
Lewis Ferguson has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Bologna, at 1.91 per 90 across 1,320 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.
Inter hold 59.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.
- Marcus Thuram Anytime Goalscorer5/4Add to slip
Marcus Thuram has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Inter, at 0.76 per 90 across 1,068 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.
Inter score 2.45 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
- Lautaro Martínez to be Carded17/2bet365
Lautaro Martínez has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Inter, at 0.45 per 90 across 805 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.
Inter pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.45 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 11% implied by 17/2.
- Hakan Çalhanoğlu to be Carded4/1bet365
Hakan Çalhanoğlu has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Inter, at 0.67 per 90 across 667 minutes, and he averages 61 minutes a game when he plays.
Inter pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.45 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.
- Inter to Win13/20Add to slip
Inter have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 6, and on the road they have scored 1.89 a game and conceded 1.56 across 9 matches.
Bologna average 1.10 scored and 1.50 conceded. The venue splits project 1.39 against 1.98, which puts Inter at about 55% to win, against 22% for the draw.
- Both Teams to Score4/6Add to slip
Both teams have scored in 9 of Bologna's last 20 matches and 13 of Inter's. Bologna concede 1.50 a game and Inter 1.40.
On the venue splits the projection is 1.39 against 1.98, which puts both teams scoring at about 60%.
- Correct Score 1-215/2Add to slip
On the venue splits this projects Bologna 1.39 against Inter 1.98, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.9%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Inter, which is where the board has the match too.
- Inter to Win and Both Teams to Score11/5Add to slip
Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Inter to win is about 55% and both teams scoring about 60%. Inter score 2.45 a game and concede 1.40, and Bologna have scored in 9 of their last 20.
bet365 price the combination at 11/5.
Roma vs Genoa Tips
6 tips
- Donyell Malen 3+ ShotsTBCbet365
Donyell Malen has had 3 or more shots in 8 of his last 10 for Roma, at 3.82 per 90 across 1,602 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.
Roma take 14.5 shots a game and hit 5.2 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
- Evan Ndicka 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365
Evan Ndicka has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Roma, at 1.62 per 90 across 1,334 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.
Genoa hold 50.6% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
- Leo Østigård to be Carded15/8bet365
Leo Østigård has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Genoa, at 0.27 per 90 across 1,326 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.
Genoa pick up 1.45 cards a game and there are 3.75 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.
- Mario Hermoso to be Carded3/1bet365
Mario Hermoso has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Roma, at 0.28 per 90 across 1,593 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.
Roma pick up 1.8 cards a game and there are 3.85 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
- Roma to Win1/3Add to slip
Roma have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 6, and at home they have scored 2.50 a game and conceded 1.10 across 10 matches.
Genoa average 0.85 scored and 1.25 conceded. The venue splits project 1.85 against 0.92, which puts Roma at about 62% to win, against 22% for the draw.
- Correct Score 2-011/2Add to slip
On the venue splits this projects Roma 1.85 against Genoa 0.92, and 2-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.9%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Roma, which is where the board has the match too.

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Udinese vs Lecce Tips
8 tips
- Jesper Karlström 1+ ShotsEvensbet365
Jesper Karlström has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Udinese, at 0.58 per 90 across 1,554 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.
Udinese take 12.1 shots a game and hit 4.15 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
- Jürgen Ekkelenkamp 1+ Shot on Target5/6bet365
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Udinese, at 0.6 per 90 across 1,344 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.
Udinese take 12.1 shots a game and hit 4.15 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
- Jürgen Ekkelenkamp Anytime Goalscorer13/5Add to slip
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Udinese, at 0.33 per 90 across 1,344 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.
Udinese score 1.35 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 28% implied by 13/5.
- Danilo Veiga to be Carded11/4bet365
Danilo Veiga has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Lecce, at 0.31 per 90 across 1,752 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.
Lecce pick up 1.85 cards a game and there are 3.2 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
- Keinan Davis to be Carded11/2bet365
Keinan Davis has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Udinese, at 0.32 per 90 across 855 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.
Udinese pick up 1.95 cards a game and there are 3.25 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 15% implied by 11/2.
- Tiago Gabriel to be Carded10/3bet365
Tiago Gabriel has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Lecce, at 0.24 per 90 across 1,495 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.
Lecce pick up 1.85 cards a game and there are 3.2 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.
- Udinese to Win17/20Add to slip
Udinese have won 6 of their last 20, drawing 4, and at home they have scored 0.80 a game and conceded 0.90 across 10 matches.
Lecce average 0.95 scored and 1.55 conceded. The venue splits project 1.47 against 1.05, which puts Udinese at about 49% to win, against 26% for the draw.
- Correct Score 1-013/2Add to slip
On the venue splits this projects Udinese 1.47 against Lecce 1.05, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.8%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Udinese, which is where the board has the match too.
Fiorentina vs Como Tips
12 tips
- Máximo Perrone 1+ ShotsEvensbet365
Máximo Perrone has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Como, at 0.91 per 90 across 1,282 minutes, and he averages 64 minutes a game when he plays.
Como take 16.9 shots a game and hit 5.65 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
- Álex Jiménez 1+ Shots10/11bet365
Álex Jiménez has had a shot in 3 of his last 5 for Fiorentina, at 0.73 per 90 across 372 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.
Fiorentina take 13.35 shots a game and hit 4.25 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.
- Trevoh Chalobah 1+ Shots6/5bet365
Trevoh Chalobah has had a shot in 4 of his last 7 for Como, at 0.71 per 90 across 630 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.
Como take 16.9 shots a game and hit 5.65 on target. That is about 57% on his own record, against the 45% implied by 6/5.
- Radu Drăguşin 1+ Shots13/8bet365
Radu Drăguşin has had a shot in 3 of his last 6 for Fiorentina, at 0.5 per 90 across 540 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.
Fiorentina take 13.35 shots a game and hit 4.25 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.
- Lucas Da Cunha 3+ Shots4/1bet365
Lucas Da Cunha has had 3 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Como, at 1.96 per 90 across 1,468 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.
Como take 16.9 shots a game and hit 5.65 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.
- Anastasios Douvikas Anytime Goalscorer7/5Add to slip
Anastasios Douvikas has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Como, at 0.66 per 90 across 1,355 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.
Como score 1.95 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 7/5.
- Luca Ranieri to be Carded10/3bet365
Luca Ranieri has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Fiorentina, at 0.31 per 90 across 1,452 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.
Fiorentina pick up 2.15 cards a game and there are 4.05 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.
- Over 8.5 Corners4/5bet365
Fiorentina win 4.2 corners a game and Como 5.65, with 1.9 and 3.25 of those in the first half.
That leaves about 10 in the match, a 65% chance of 9 or more against the 56% implied by 4/5.
- Como to Win21/20Add to slip
Como have won 12 of their last 20, drawing 4, and on the road they have scored 1.73 a game and conceded 1.09 across 11 matches.
Fiorentina average 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. The venue splits project 1.20 against 1.57, which puts Como at about 46% to win, against 25% for the draw.
- Both Teams to Score4/7Add to slip
Both teams have scored in 11 of Fiorentina's last 20 matches and 12 of Como's. Fiorentina concede 1.40 a game and Como 1.00.
On the venue splits the projection is 1.20 against 1.57, which puts both teams scoring at about 56%.
- Correct Score 1-28/1Add to slip
On the venue splits this projects Fiorentina 1.20 against Como 1.57, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.6%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Como, which is where the board has the match too.
- Como to Win and Both Teams to Score11/4Add to slip
Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Como to win is about 46% and both teams scoring about 56%. Como score 1.95 a game and concede 1.00, and Fiorentina have scored in 11 of their last 20.
bet365 price the combination at 11/4.
Milan vs Atalanta Tips
7 tips
- Éderson 1+ ShotsTBCbet365
Éderson has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Atalanta, at 1.27 per 90 across 1,415 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.
Atalanta take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
- Samuel Chukwueze 1+ Shot on Target11/10bet365
Samuel Chukwueze has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 7 for Milan, at 0.64 per 90 across 561 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.
Milan take 13.0 shots a game and hit 4.25 on target. That is about 57% on his own record, against the 48% implied by 11/10.
- Raoul Bellanova 1+ Foul Committed5/4bet365
Raoul Bellanova has committed a foul in 5 of his last 10 for Atalanta, at 0.86 per 90 across 840 minutes, and he averages 60 minutes a game when he plays.
Milan hold 53.9% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
- Fikayo Tomori 2+ Foul Committed6/4bet365
Fikayo Tomori has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Milan, at 1.54 per 90 across 760 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays.
Atalanta hold 51.3% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.
- Strahinja Pavlović to be Carded3/1bet365
Strahinja Pavlović has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Milan, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,791 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.
Milan pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.9 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
- Fikayo Tomori to be Carded11/2bet365
Fikayo Tomori has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Milan, at 0.36 per 90 across 760 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays.
Milan pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.9 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 15% implied by 11/2.
- Correct Score 1-07/1Add to slip
On the venue splits this projects Milan 1.46 against Atalanta 1.23, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.4%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Milan, which is where the board has the match too.
Juventus vs Lazio Tips
8 tips
- Andrea Cambiaso 1+ Shots8/11bet365
Andrea Cambiaso has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Juventus, at 0.83 per 90 across 1,080 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.
Juventus take 17.75 shots a game and hit 6.1 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
- Pape Matar Sarr 2+ Shots11/8bet365
Pape Matar Sarr has had 2 or more shots in 3 of his last 5 for Juventus, at 2.16 per 90 across 334 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.
Juventus take 17.75 shots a game and hit 6.1 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.
- Zeki Çelik 1+ Shots6/4bet365
Zeki Çelik has had a shot in 4 of his last 7 for Juventus, at 0.62 per 90 across 581 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.
Juventus take 17.75 shots a game and hit 6.1 on target. That is about 57% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.
- Manuel Locatelli 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365
Manuel Locatelli has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for Juventus, at 2.29 per 90 across 1,260 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.
Lazio hold 50.25% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
- Juventus to Win4/6Add to slip
Juventus have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 7, and at home they have scored 2.00 a game and conceded 0.50 across 10 matches.
Lazio average 1.30 scored and 1.05 conceded. The venue splits project 1.46 against 0.93, which puts Juventus at about 53% to win, against 27% for the draw.
- No Both Teams to Score10/11Add to slip
Both teams have scored in 8 of Juventus' last 20 matches and 8 of Lazio's. Juventus have kept 11 clean sheets in that run and failed to score in 2, against 7 and 6 for Lazio.
At home Juventus score 2.00 a game and concede 0.50; away from home Lazio score 1.10 and concede 0.70. That puts at least one side blanking at about 57%.
- Under 2.5 Goals10/11Add to slip
Juventus have stayed under 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 20 matches and Lazio in 60%, with just 25% and 15% of their matches going past 3.5.
Juventus average 1.70 scored and 0.75 conceded, Lazio 1.30 and 1.05. On the venue splits that projects 1.46 against 0.93, about 2.4 goals in the match and 61% for under 2.5.
- Correct Score 1-06/1Add to slip
On the venue splits this projects Juventus 1.46 against Lazio 0.93, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.8%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Juventus, which is where the board has the match too.
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Monza vs Cagliari Tips
10 tips
- Alessandro Romano 1+ Shot on TargetEvensbet365
Alessandro Romano has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 6 for Cagliari, at 0.84 per 90 across 535 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.
Cagliari take 11.75 shots a game and hit 3.55 on target. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
- Samuele Birindelli 1+ Shot on Target7/4bet365
Samuele Birindelli has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Monza, at 0.58 per 90 across 1,406 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.
Monza take 13.75 shots a game and hit 5.3 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
- Andrea Carboni 1+ Shot on Target3/1bet365
Andrea Carboni has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Monza, at 0.36 per 90 across 1,238 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.
Monza take 13.75 shots a game and hit 5.3 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
- Eddy Kouadio 2+ Foul Committed10/11bet365
Eddy Kouadio has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 6 for Monza, at 1.36 per 90 across 531 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.
Cagliari hold 43.85% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.
- Daniel Maldini Anytime Goalscorer2/1Add to slip
Daniel Maldini has scored in 4 of his last 6 for Cagliari, at 0.82 per 90 across 438 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.
Cagliari score 0.90 a game. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.
- Gustavo Varela Anytime Goalscorer15/8Add to slip
Gustavo Varela has scored in 3 of his last 5 for Monza, at 0.84 per 90 across 428 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.
Monza score 1.60 a game. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.
- Monza to Win5/4Add to slip
Monza have won 7 of their last 20, drawing 6, and at home they have scored 1.67 a game and conceded 1.11 across 9 matches.
Cagliari average 0.90 scored and 1.15 conceded. The venue splits project 1.54 against 1.14, which puts Monza at about 43% to win, against 25% for the draw.
- Both Teams to Score4/5Add to slip
Both teams have scored in 13 of Monza's last 20 matches and 9 of Cagliari's. Monza concede 1.55 a game and Cagliari 1.15.
On the venue splits the projection is 1.54 against 1.14, which puts both teams scoring at about 54%.
- Correct Score 2-18/1Add to slip
On the venue splits this projects Monza 1.54 against Cagliari 1.14, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.7%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Monza, which is where the board has the match too.
- Monza to Win and Both Teams to Score15/4Add to slip
Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Monza to win is about 43% and both teams scoring about 54%. Monza score 1.60 a game and concede 1.55, and Cagliari have scored in 9 of their last 20.
bet365 price the combination at 15/4.
Parma vs Torino Tips
4 tips
- Pietro Comuzzo 1+ Shots11/8bet365
Pietro Comuzzo has had a shot in 3 of his last 5 for Torino, at 0.64 per 90 across 425 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.
Torino take 10.85 shots a game and hit 3.3 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.
- El Bilal Touré 1+ Shot on Target4/5bet365
El Bilal Touré has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 6 for Parma, at 0.79 per 90 across 456 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.
Parma take 9.7 shots a game and hit 2.75 on target. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.
- Both Teams to ScoreEvensAdd to slip
Both teams have scored in 9 of Parma's last 20 matches and 14 of Torino's. Parma concede 1.30 a game and Torino 1.50.
On the venue splits the projection is 1.31 against 1.20, which puts both teams scoring at about 54%.
- Correct Score 1-29/1Add to slip
On the venue splits this projects Parma 1.31 against Torino 1.20, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.4%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Torino, which is where the board has the match too.
Today's Serie A Best Bets
Nothing matches both filters.
Why this bet
Ilario Monterisi has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Frosinone, at 1.21 per 90 across 970 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays.Frosinone take 18.6 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.Why this bet
Matteo Cichella has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Frosinone, at 0.63 per 90 across 1,291 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Frosinone take 18.6 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.Why this bet
Giacomo Calò has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Frosinone, at 0.79 per 90 across 1,711 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.Frosinone take 18.6 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.Why this bet
Farès Ghedjemis has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Frosinone, at 0.5 per 90 across 1,264 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Sassuolo hold 47.3% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.Why this bet
Giorgi Kvernadze has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Frosinone, at 0.25 per 90 across 1,464 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.Frosinone pick up 2.3 cards a game and there are 4.9 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 15% implied by 11/2.Why this bet
Antonio Raimondo has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Frosinone, at 0.24 per 90 across 1,483 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Frosinone pick up 2.3 cards a game and there are 4.9 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.
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Why this bet
Frosinone have won 12 of their last 20, drawing 6, and at home they have scored 2.27 a game and conceded 0.82 across 11 matches.Sassuolo average 1.45 scored and 1.30 conceded. The venue splits project 1.97 against 1.07, which puts Frosinone at about 50% to win, against 22% for the draw.Why this bet
Both teams have scored in 10 of Frosinone's last 20 matches and 15 of Sassuolo's. Frosinone concede 0.95 a game and Sassuolo 1.30.On the venue splits the projection is 1.97 against 1.07, which puts both teams scoring at about 60%.Why this bet
Frosinone have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Sassuolo in 70%, with 90% and 85% going past 1.5.Frosinone average 2.05 scored and 0.95 conceded, Sassuolo 1.45 and 1.30. On the venue splits that projects 1.97 against 1.07, about 3.0 goals in the match and 63% for over 2.5.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Frosinone 1.97 against Sassuolo 1.07, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.5%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Frosinone, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Frosinone to win is about 50% and both teams scoring about 60%. Frosinone score 2.05 a game and concede 0.95, and Sassuolo have scored in 15 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 3/1.Tomorrow's Serie A Best Bets
Nothing matches both filters.
Why this bet
Amir Rrahmani has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Napoli, at 1.24 per 90 across 1,160 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.Napoli take 13.4 shots a game and hit 4.65 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.Why this bet
Rafa Marín has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 8 for Napoli, at 1.69 per 90 across 693 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Venezia hold 64.45% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.Why this bet
Antoine Hainaut has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Venezia, at 1.2 per 90 across 1,720 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.Napoli hold 57.2% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.Why this bet
Gianluca Busio has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Venezia, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,510 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Venezia pick up 1.8 cards a game and there are 3.65 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.Why this bet
Joel Schingtienne has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Venezia, at 0.17 per 90 across 1,601 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Venezia pick up 1.8 cards a game and there are 3.65 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.Why this bet
Venezia win 4.85 corners a game and Napoli 5.75, with 2.6 and 3.05 of those in the first half.That leaves about 11 in the match, a 73% chance of 9 or more against the 56% implied by 4/5.
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Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Venezia 1.51 against Napoli 1.35, and 0-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.4%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Napoli, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Manuel Akanji has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Inter, at 0.97 per 90 across 1,303 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Inter take 17.45 shots a game and hit 6.1 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.Why this bet
Carlos Augusto has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Inter, at 0.41 per 90 across 1,092 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.Inter take 17.45 shots a game and hit 6.1 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.Why this bet
Lewis Ferguson has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Bologna, at 1.91 per 90 across 1,320 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.Inter hold 59.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.Why this bet
Marcus Thuram has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Inter, at 0.76 per 90 across 1,068 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.Inter score 2.45 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.Why this bet
Lautaro Martínez has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Inter, at 0.45 per 90 across 805 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.Inter pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.45 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 11% implied by 17/2.
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Why this bet
Hakan Çalhanoğlu has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Inter, at 0.67 per 90 across 667 minutes, and he averages 61 minutes a game when he plays.Inter pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.45 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.Why this bet
Inter have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 6, and on the road they have scored 1.89 a game and conceded 1.56 across 9 matches.Bologna average 1.10 scored and 1.50 conceded. The venue splits project 1.39 against 1.98, which puts Inter at about 55% to win, against 22% for the draw.Why this bet
Both teams have scored in 9 of Bologna's last 20 matches and 13 of Inter's. Bologna concede 1.50 a game and Inter 1.40.On the venue splits the projection is 1.39 against 1.98, which puts both teams scoring at about 60%.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Bologna 1.39 against Inter 1.98, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Inter, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Inter to win is about 55% and both teams scoring about 60%. Inter score 2.45 a game and concede 1.40, and Bologna have scored in 9 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 11/5.Why this bet
Donyell Malen has had 3 or more shots in 8 of his last 10 for Roma, at 3.82 per 90 across 1,602 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Roma take 14.5 shots a game and hit 5.2 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
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Why this bet
Evan Ndicka has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Roma, at 1.62 per 90 across 1,334 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Genoa hold 50.6% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.Why this bet
Leo Østigård has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Genoa, at 0.27 per 90 across 1,326 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Genoa pick up 1.45 cards a game and there are 3.75 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.Why this bet
Mario Hermoso has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Roma, at 0.28 per 90 across 1,593 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Roma pick up 1.8 cards a game and there are 3.85 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.Why this bet
Roma have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 6, and at home they have scored 2.50 a game and conceded 1.10 across 10 matches.Genoa average 0.85 scored and 1.25 conceded. The venue splits project 1.85 against 0.92, which puts Roma at about 62% to win, against 22% for the draw.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Roma 1.85 against Genoa 0.92, and 2-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Roma, which is where the board has the match too.Upcoming Serie A Best Bets
Nothing matches both filters.
Why this bet
Jesper Karlström has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Udinese, at 0.58 per 90 across 1,554 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.Udinese take 12.1 shots a game and hit 4.15 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.Why this bet
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Udinese, at 0.6 per 90 across 1,344 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Udinese take 12.1 shots a game and hit 4.15 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.Why this bet
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Udinese, at 0.33 per 90 across 1,344 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Udinese score 1.35 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 28% implied by 13/5.Why this bet
Danilo Veiga has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Lecce, at 0.31 per 90 across 1,752 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Lecce pick up 1.85 cards a game and there are 3.2 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.Why this bet
Keinan Davis has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Udinese, at 0.32 per 90 across 855 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.Udinese pick up 1.95 cards a game and there are 3.25 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 15% implied by 11/2.Why this bet
Tiago Gabriel has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Lecce, at 0.24 per 90 across 1,495 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Lecce pick up 1.85 cards a game and there are 3.2 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.
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Why this bet
Udinese have won 6 of their last 20, drawing 4, and at home they have scored 0.80 a game and conceded 0.90 across 10 matches.Lecce average 0.95 scored and 1.55 conceded. The venue splits project 1.47 against 1.05, which puts Udinese at about 49% to win, against 26% for the draw.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Udinese 1.47 against Lecce 1.05, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.8%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Udinese, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Máximo Perrone has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Como, at 0.91 per 90 across 1,282 minutes, and he averages 64 minutes a game when he plays.Como take 16.9 shots a game and hit 5.65 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.Why this bet
Álex Jiménez has had a shot in 3 of his last 5 for Fiorentina, at 0.73 per 90 across 372 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Fiorentina take 13.35 shots a game and hit 4.25 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.Why this bet
Trevoh Chalobah has had a shot in 4 of his last 7 for Como, at 0.71 per 90 across 630 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Como take 16.9 shots a game and hit 5.65 on target. That is about 57% on his own record, against the 45% implied by 6/5.Why this bet
Radu Drăguşin has had a shot in 3 of his last 6 for Fiorentina, at 0.5 per 90 across 540 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Fiorentina take 13.35 shots a game and hit 4.25 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.
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Why this bet
Lucas Da Cunha has had 3 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Como, at 1.96 per 90 across 1,468 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.Como take 16.9 shots a game and hit 5.65 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.Why this bet
Anastasios Douvikas has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Como, at 0.66 per 90 across 1,355 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.Como score 1.95 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 7/5.Why this bet
Luca Ranieri has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Fiorentina, at 0.31 per 90 across 1,452 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.Fiorentina pick up 2.15 cards a game and there are 4.05 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.Why this bet
Fiorentina win 4.2 corners a game and Como 5.65, with 1.9 and 3.25 of those in the first half.That leaves about 10 in the match, a 65% chance of 9 or more against the 56% implied by 4/5.Why this bet
Como have won 12 of their last 20, drawing 4, and on the road they have scored 1.73 a game and conceded 1.09 across 11 matches.Fiorentina average 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. The venue splits project 1.20 against 1.57, which puts Como at about 46% to win, against 25% for the draw.Why this bet
Both teams have scored in 11 of Fiorentina's last 20 matches and 12 of Como's. Fiorentina concede 1.40 a game and Como 1.00.On the venue splits the projection is 1.20 against 1.57, which puts both teams scoring at about 56%.
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Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Fiorentina 1.20 against Como 1.57, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.6%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Como, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Como to win is about 46% and both teams scoring about 56%. Como score 1.95 a game and concede 1.00, and Fiorentina have scored in 11 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 11/4.Why this bet
Éderson has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Atalanta, at 1.27 per 90 across 1,415 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Atalanta take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.Why this bet
Samuel Chukwueze has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 7 for Milan, at 0.64 per 90 across 561 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Milan take 13.0 shots a game and hit 4.25 on target. That is about 57% on his own record, against the 48% implied by 11/10.Why this bet
Raoul Bellanova has committed a foul in 5 of his last 10 for Atalanta, at 0.86 per 90 across 840 minutes, and he averages 60 minutes a game when he plays.Milan hold 53.9% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.Why this bet
Fikayo Tomori has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Milan, at 1.54 per 90 across 760 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays.Atalanta hold 51.3% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.
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Why this bet
Strahinja Pavlović has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Milan, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,791 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Milan pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.9 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.Why this bet
Fikayo Tomori has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Milan, at 0.36 per 90 across 760 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays.Milan pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.9 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 15% implied by 11/2.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Milan 1.46 against Atalanta 1.23, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.4%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Milan, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Andrea Cambiaso has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Juventus, at 0.83 per 90 across 1,080 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.Juventus take 17.75 shots a game and hit 6.1 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.Why this bet
Pape Matar Sarr has had 2 or more shots in 3 of his last 5 for Juventus, at 2.16 per 90 across 334 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.Juventus take 17.75 shots a game and hit 6.1 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.Why this bet
Zeki Çelik has had a shot in 4 of his last 7 for Juventus, at 0.62 per 90 across 581 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Juventus take 17.75 shots a game and hit 6.1 on target. That is about 57% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.
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Why this bet
Manuel Locatelli has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for Juventus, at 2.29 per 90 across 1,260 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Lazio hold 50.25% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.Why this bet
Juventus have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 7, and at home they have scored 2.00 a game and conceded 0.50 across 10 matches.Lazio average 1.30 scored and 1.05 conceded. The venue splits project 1.46 against 0.93, which puts Juventus at about 53% to win, against 27% for the draw.Why this bet
Both teams have scored in 8 of Juventus' last 20 matches and 8 of Lazio's. Juventus have kept 11 clean sheets in that run and failed to score in 2, against 7 and 6 for Lazio.At home Juventus score 2.00 a game and concede 0.50; away from home Lazio score 1.10 and concede 0.70. That puts at least one side blanking at about 57%.Why this bet
Juventus have stayed under 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 20 matches and Lazio in 60%, with just 25% and 15% of their matches going past 3.5.Juventus average 1.70 scored and 0.75 conceded, Lazio 1.30 and 1.05. On the venue splits that projects 1.46 against 0.93, about 2.4 goals in the match and 61% for under 2.5.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Juventus 1.46 against Lazio 0.93, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.8%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Juventus, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Alessandro Romano has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 6 for Cagliari, at 0.84 per 90 across 535 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.Cagliari take 11.75 shots a game and hit 3.55 on target. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
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Why this bet
Samuele Birindelli has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Monza, at 0.58 per 90 across 1,406 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Monza take 13.75 shots a game and hit 5.3 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.Why this bet
Andrea Carboni has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Monza, at 0.36 per 90 across 1,238 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.Monza take 13.75 shots a game and hit 5.3 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.Why this bet
Eddy Kouadio has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 6 for Monza, at 1.36 per 90 across 531 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Cagliari hold 43.85% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.Why this bet
Daniel Maldini has scored in 4 of his last 6 for Cagliari, at 0.82 per 90 across 438 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.Cagliari score 0.90 a game. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.Why this bet
Gustavo Varela has scored in 3 of his last 5 for Monza, at 0.84 per 90 across 428 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.Monza score 1.60 a game. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.Why this bet
Monza have won 7 of their last 20, drawing 6, and at home they have scored 1.67 a game and conceded 1.11 across 9 matches.Cagliari average 0.90 scored and 1.15 conceded. The venue splits project 1.54 against 1.14, which puts Monza at about 43% to win, against 25% for the draw.
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Why this bet
Both teams have scored in 13 of Monza's last 20 matches and 9 of Cagliari's. Monza concede 1.55 a game and Cagliari 1.15.On the venue splits the projection is 1.54 against 1.14, which puts both teams scoring at about 54%.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Monza 1.54 against Cagliari 1.14, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.7%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Monza, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Monza to win is about 43% and both teams scoring about 54%. Monza score 1.60 a game and concede 1.55, and Cagliari have scored in 9 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 15/4.Why this bet
Pietro Comuzzo has had a shot in 3 of his last 5 for Torino, at 0.64 per 90 across 425 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.Torino take 10.85 shots a game and hit 3.3 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.Why this bet
El Bilal Touré has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 6 for Parma, at 0.79 per 90 across 456 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.Parma take 9.7 shots a game and hit 2.75 on target. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.Why this bet
Both teams have scored in 9 of Parma's last 20 matches and 14 of Torino's. Parma concede 1.30 a game and Torino 1.50.On the venue splits the projection is 1.31 against 1.20, which puts both teams scoring at about 54%.
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Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Parma 1.31 against Torino 1.20, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.4%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Torino, which is where the board has the match too.Tips are updated every matchday once the fixtures and team news are confirmed. Odds are correct at the time of writing and change through the week. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.
How Our Serie A Predictions Are Made
Every Serie A prediction is built from the numbers that decide games, not hunches. For each fixture we weigh recent form and results, how each side performs home and away, goals scored and conceded, the head-to-head record, and the latest team news on injuries and suspensions. That view is then set against the betting market, so the tip reflects where the real value is rather than simply backing the favourite.
Types of Serie A Bets We Tip
For each match we pick the bet that best fits the game. Serie A is known for tactical, well-organised football, so the goals lines and defensive angles often matter as much as the result:
- Match Result (1X2) — the home win, draw or away win, with the draw a live option in a tight, cagey league.
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Serie A produces plenty of low-scoring games, so the Under is a regular angle alongside the Over in the right fixtures.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS) — often a “no” play in a division built on strong defences.
- Bet Builder — combining selections within one match, such as a team to win and under 2.5 goals.
- Correct score and goalscorer markets — for a bigger price when a game points that way.
Where to Bet on Serie A
Prices vary between bookmakers, so it pays to hold a couple of accounts and take the best number on your selection. New customers can also claim a welcome offer to get started — bet365’s Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets (no promo code needed) is a strong option for Serie A betting thanks to deep markets and live streaming. See our best UK betting sites and free bets pages for the full list.
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About Serie A
Serie A is Italy’s top football division, contested by 20 clubs over 38 matchdays from August to May. The champions win the Scudetto, with Juventus the competition’s record winners, and the bottom three clubs are relegated to Serie B. Long renowned for its tactical, defensively disciplined football, Serie A rewards punters who read the game-state and the goals markets, which makes the Under and BTTS “no” angles more relevant here than in some of Europe’s other big leagues.
Serie A Betting Tips FAQs
When are the Serie A tips published? Ahead of each matchday, once the fixtures and team news are confirmed. Most Serie A football is played across Saturday, Sunday and Monday, and the tips are updated through the week as prices and line-ups settle.
Do you tip every Serie A match? Yes — there is a prediction and a best bet for every fixture on the matchday, covering all 10 games in a full round.
What is the best type of Serie A bet? It depends on the game. In a league built on strong defences, the goals markets — particularly Under 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score “no” — often offer value alongside the match result. We flag the bet that best fits each match.
Are the Serie A tips free? Yes — every tip is free to view with no subscription. We are funded through bookmaker affiliate partnerships.
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Tips are our opinion and not guaranteed. Odds were correct at the time of writing and change through the week. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · GamCare.org.uk.
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