Birmingham vs Millwall Free Bets, Tips and Bet Builder

Andy Clark
Birmingham City vs Millwall Match Preview

Birmingham host Millwall with the quietest referee of the round and a builder containing no card at all – the two things fit together.

Below are the free bets worth claiming for it, then our tips from the stats, and a bet builder you can put a free bet on.

Birmingham vs Millwall Free Bets

The biggest new-customer offer for this one is Betfred’s, and it is the right shape for a bet builder: of the £50, twenty of it comes back as Bet Builder free bets rather than ordinary sports free bets.

New Customer Offer · Betfred

Bet £10 Get £50 in Free Bets

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New customers only. Register, deposit with a Debit Card, and place a first bet of £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports, to be settled within 7 days, to get £30 in Sports Free Bets and £20 in Bet Builder Free Bets within 24 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply. 18+ | #ad | GambleAware.org

BookmakerFree Bet OfferQualifying Bet
BetfredBet £10 Get £50 in Free Bets£10 at evens or bigger
SBKBet £10 get £40 in Free Bets£10 at 3.0 or bigger
LadbrokesBet £5 get £30 in Free Bets£5 at 1/2 or bigger
BetVictorBet £10 get £30 in Free Bets£10 at 1/1 or bigger
BoyleSportsBet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets£10 at evens or bigger
MidniteBet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets£10 at 1/1 or bigger

18+. New customers only. Full terms apply to each offer — see the cards on this page. GambleAware.org

Birmingham vs Millwall Betting Offers

Which offer suits you depends on the bet you actually want to place, and that is worth thirty seconds of thought rather than taking the biggest number on the page.

  • Backing the bet builder below — Betfred, because £20 of the £50 is specifically Bet Builder free bets, and the qualifying bet at evens is easy to meet with a builder of two or three legs.
  • Backing one selection at a bigger price — SBK, whose qualifying bet has to be at 3.0 or bigger, which a single card or shots line will clear on its own.
  • Staking as little as possible — Ladbrokes, £5 to get £30, and the lowest qualifying price of the group at 1/2.

New Customer Offer · SBK

Bet £10 get £40 in Free Bets

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New UK customers. Min £10 first deposit. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 3.0 and get £40 in Free Bets within 48 hours. Restrictions apply. Full T&Cs apply. 18+ | #ad | GambleAware.org

New Customer Offer · Ladbrokes

Bet £5 get £30 in Free Bets

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New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 6 x £5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned). Restrictions + T&Cs apply. 18+ | #ad | GambleAware.org

Birmingham vs Millwall Betting Tips

David Webb referees, and he averages 2.8 cards a game. At 2.8 he is the lowest of the twelve and almost a full card below their 3.72 average, which is exactly why nothing here is a booking. All four legs are shots.

  1. 01
    Jake Cooper 1+ ShotsAdd to slip5/4Jake Cooper has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.65 per 90 across 1,792 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall take 14.6 shots a game and hit 4.4 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
  2. 02
    Casper De Norre 1+ ShotsAdd to slip6/5Casper De Norre has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 1.0 per 90 across 810 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall take 14.6 shots a game and hit 4.4 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 45% implied by 6/5.
  3. 03
    Derek Mazou-Sacko 1+ ShotsAdd to slip6/5Derek Mazou-Sacko has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.79 per 90 across 1,247 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall take 14.6 shots a game and hit 4.4 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 45% implied by 6/5.
  4. 04
    Tristan Crama 1+ ShotsAdd to slip5/6Tristan Crama has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 1.31 per 90 across 894 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall take 14.6 shots a game and hit 4.4 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
  5. 05
    Zak Sturge 1+ ShotsAdd to slip9/4Zak Sturge has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.6 per 90 across 1,656 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall take 14.6 shots a game and hit 4.4 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.
  6. 06
    Josh Coburn 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slipEvensJosh Coburn has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 1.13 per 90 across 716 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall take 14.6 shots a game and hit 4.4 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
  7. 07
    Lyndon Dykes 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip8/11Lyndon Dykes has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.74 per 90 across 857 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall take 14.6 shots a game and hit 4.4 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
  8. 08
    Christoph Klarer 1+ Foul Committedbet365TBCChristoph Klarer has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Birmingham City, at 1.4 per 90 across 1,800 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall hold 50.9% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
  9. 09
    Christoph Klarer to be CardedAdd to slip3/1Christoph Klarer has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Birmingham City, at 0.25 per 90 across 1,800 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Birmingham City pick up 1.95 cards a game and there are 3.7 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
  10. 10
    Over 10.5 CornersAdd to slipEvensBirmingham City win 5.6 corners a game and Millwall 6.1, with 2.8 and 3.3 of those in the first half.That leaves about 12 in the match, a 62% chance of 11 or more against the 50% implied by Evens.
  11. 11
    Birmingham City to WinAdd to slip10/11Birmingham City come in on W L W W W D, and at home they have scored 2.00 a game and conceded 1.00 across 10 matches. They have won 9 of their last 20 overall, drawing 7.Millwall average 1.55 scored and 1.25 conceded. The venue splits project 1.60 against 1.09, which puts Birmingham City at about 49% to win, against 25% for the draw.
  12. 12
    Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip4/6Both teams have scored in 13 of Birmingham City's last 20 matches and 9 of Millwall's. Birmingham City concede 1.00 a game and Millwall 1.25.On the venue splits the projection is 1.60 against 1.09, which puts both teams scoring at about 54%.
  13. 13
    Correct Score 2-1Add to slip15/2On the venue splits this projects Birmingham City 1.60 against Millwall 1.09, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.0%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Birmingham City, which is where the board has the match too.
  14. 14
    Birmingham City to Win and Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip11/4Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Birmingham City to win is about 49% and both teams scoring about 54%. Birmingham City score 1.60 a game and concede 1.00, and Millwall have scored in 9 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 11/4.
New Customer Offer · BoyleSports

Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets

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New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Account & Payment method restrictions apply. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. T&Cs Apply. 18+ | #ad | GambleAware.org

Birmingham vs Millwall Bet Builder Tip

1Zak Sturge 1+ Shots5 of his last 10, 0.6 per 90
Why this Leg

Zak Sturge has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.6 per 90 across 1,656 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

Millwall take 14.6 shots a game and hit 4.4 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.

2Jake Cooper 1+ Shots6 of his last 10, 0.65 per 90
Why this Leg

Jake Cooper has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.65 per 90 across 1,792 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Millwall take 14.6 shots a game and hit 4.4 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.

3Casper De Norre 1+ Shots6 of his last 10, 1.0 per 90
Why this Leg

Casper De Norre has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 1.0 per 90 across 810 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

Millwall take 14.6 shots a game and hit 4.4 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 45% implied by 6/5.

4Derek Mazou-Sacko 1+ Shots6 of his last 10, 0.79 per 90
Why this Leg

Derek Mazou-Sacko has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.79 per 90 across 1,247 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.

Millwall take 14.6 shots a game and hit 4.4 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 45% implied by 6/5.

bet365Add 4-Leg Build to Betslip

Four shot lines, each off the player’s own record over his last ten. Casper De Norre at 1.0 shots per 90 is the highest rate of the four.

  • Zak Sturge 1+ Shots — 5 of his last 10, 0.6 per 90
  • Jake Cooper 1+ Shots — 6 of his last 10, 0.65 per 90
  • Casper De Norre 1+ Shots — 6 of his last 10, 1.0 per 90
  • Derek Mazou-Sacko 1+ Shots — 6 of his last 10, 0.79 per 90

Each leg is priced at bet365 and you can send the whole thing to a betslip from the table above.

When Does Birmingham vs Millwall Kick Off?

Birmingham vs Millwall kicks off at 8pm on Tuesday 3rd November in the Championship.

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