Europa League Tips, Predictions and Stats

AC Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm SK Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 17:45

1. Felix Vá 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

   Felix Vá has had a shot in 9 of his last 10 for Lillestrøm SK, at 1.77 per 90 across 1,325 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

   Lillestrøm SK take 11.61 shots a game and hit 3.78 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

2. Roman Macek 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

   Roman Macek has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for AC Sparta Praha, at 1.59 per 90 across 908 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

   Lillestrøm SK hold 52.33% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

3. John Mercado Anytime Goalscorer13/10Add to slip

   John Mercado has scored in 5 of his last 10 for AC Sparta Praha, at 0.66 per 90 across 1,225 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.

   AC Sparta Praha score 2.00 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 43% implied by 13/10.

4. Josimar Alcócer to be Carded12/5Add to slip

   Josimar Alcócer has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for AC Sparta Praha, at 0.44 per 90 across 818 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

   AC Sparta Praha pick up 1.3 cards a game and there are 2.9 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

5. Frederik Elkær to be Carded4/1Add to slip

   Frederik Elkær has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Lillestrøm SK, at 0.26 per 90 across 1,046 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.

   Lillestrøm SK pick up 1.5 cards a game and there are 4.22 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.

6. Over 10.5 Corners11/10Add to slip

   AC Sparta Praha win 6.75 corners a game and Lillestrøm SK 6.0, with 3.05 and 2.22 of those in the first half.

   That leaves about 12 in the match, a 64% chance of 11 or more against the 48% implied by 11/10.

7. AC Sparta Praha to Win1/3Add to slip

   AC Sparta Praha come in on W W W W W L, and at home they have scored 2.00 a game and conceded 0.80 across 10 matches. They have won 13 of their last 20 overall, drawing 1.

   Lillestrøm SK average 1.35 scored and 1.55 conceded. The venue splits project 2.10 against 1.24, which puts AC Sparta Praha at about 64% to win, against 21% for the draw.

8. Over 2.5 Goals8/15Add to slip

   AC Sparta Praha have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Lillestrøm SK in 60%, with 95% and 95% going past 1.5.

   AC Sparta Praha average 2.00 scored and 1.05 conceded, Lillestrøm SK 1.35 and 1.55. On the venue splits that projects 2.10 against 1.24, about 3.3 goals in the match and 64% for over 2.5.

9. Correct Score 2-18/1Add to slip

   On the venue splits this projects AC Sparta Praha 2.10 against Lillestrøm SK 1.24, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.8%.

   Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs AC Sparta Praha, which is where the board has the match too.

AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 17:45

1. Niv Yehoshua 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

   Niv Yehoshua has committed a foul in 7 of his last 8 for Hapoel Be'er Sheva, at 2.06 per 90 across 698 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

   AZ Alkmaar hold 56.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

2. Eliel Peretz to be Carded21/10Add to slip

   Eliel Peretz has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Hapoel Be'er Sheva, at 0.44 per 90 across 1,025 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

   Hapoel Be'er Sheva pick up 2.29 cards a game and there are 3.71 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.

3. AZ Alkmaar to Win3/10Add to slip

   AZ Alkmaar have won 10 of their last 20, drawing 6, and at home they have scored 2.60 a game and conceded 1.10 across 10 matches.

   Hapoel Be'er Sheva average 1.80 scored and 1.15 conceded. The venue splits project 1.83 against 1.58, which puts AZ Alkmaar at about 58% to win, against 22% for the draw.

4. Correct Score 2-18/1Add to slip

   On the venue splits this projects AZ Alkmaar 1.83 against Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1.58, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.4%.

   Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs AZ Alkmaar, which is where the board has the match too.

Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 17:45

1. Miguel Gutiérrez 3+ Shots6/1Add to slip

   Miguel Gutiérrez has had 3 or more shots in 2 of his last 5 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, at 1.42 per 90 across 443 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.

   Bayer 04 Leverkusen take 17.7 shots a game and hit 6.0 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 14% implied by 6/1.

2. Ibrahim Maza 5+ Shots12/5Add to slip

   Ibrahim Maza has had 5 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, at 3.23 per 90 across 1,506 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

   Bayer 04 Leverkusen take 17.7 shots a game and hit 6.0 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

3. Facundo Medina 1+ Shot on Target2/1Add to slip

   Facundo Medina has had a shot on target in 3 of his last 6 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, at 0.78 per 90 across 461 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.

   Bayer 04 Leverkusen take 17.7 shots a game and hit 6.0 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

4. Ibrahim Maza 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

   Ibrahim Maza has committed a foul in 7 of his last 10 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, at 1.14 per 90 across 1,506 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

   Lech Poznań hold 52.55% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

5. Patrik Schick Anytime Goalscorer5/6Add to slip

   Patrik Schick has scored in 7 of his last 10 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, at 1.04 per 90 across 1,206 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.

   Bayer 04 Leverkusen score 2.10 a game. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

6. Patrik Wålemark to be Carded10/3Add to slip

   Patrik Wålemark has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Lech Poznań, at 0.24 per 90 across 1,128 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.

   Lech Poznań pick up 1.7 cards a game and there are 4.05 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.

7. Both Teams to Score1/2Add to slip

   Both teams have scored in 11 of Lech Poznań's last 20 matches and 14 of Bayer 04 Leverkusen's. Lech Poznań concede 1.10 a game and Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.50.

   On the venue splits the projection is 2.41 against 1.55, which puts both teams scoring at about 67%.

8. Over 2.5 Goals4/9Add to slip

   Lech Poznań have gone past 2.5 goals in 75% of their last 20 matches and Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 55%, with 80% and 90% going past 1.5.

   Lech Poznań average 2.35 scored and 1.10 conceded, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.10 and 1.50. On the venue splits that projects 2.41 against 1.55, about 4.0 goals in the match and 70% for over 2.5.

9. Correct Score 1-215/2Add to slip

   On the venue splits this projects Lech Poznań 2.41 against Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.55, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.0%.

   Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, which is where the board has the match too.

NK Celje vs Omonia Nicosia Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 17:45

1. Jean-Kévin Duverne 1+ Shot on Target11/4Add to slip

   Jean-Kévin Duverne has had a shot on target in 2 of his last 5 for Omonia Nicosia, at 0.47 per 90 across 383 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.

   Omonia Nicosia take 11.24 shots a game and hit 6.12 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

2. Svit Sešlar 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

   Svit Sešlar has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for NK Celje, at 1.67 per 90 across 1,079 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

   Omonia Nicosia hold 50.35% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

3. Artemijus Tutyškinas to be Carded15/8Add to slip

   Artemijus Tutyškinas has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for NK Celje, at 0.47 per 90 across 960 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

   NK Celje pick up 2.12 cards a game and there are 4.38 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.

4. Milot Avdyli to be Carded7/2Add to slip

   Milot Avdyli has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for NK Celje, at 0.26 per 90 across 1,029 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

   NK Celje pick up 2.12 cards a game and there are 4.38 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 22% implied by 7/2.

5. Correct Score 1-09/1Add to slip

   On the venue splits this projects NK Celje 1.12 against Omonia Nicosia 1.67, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.0%.

   Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs NK Celje, which is where the board has the match too.

Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 17:45

1. Felix Bacher 1+ Shots5/4Add to slip

   Felix Bacher has had a shot in 5 of his last 7 for Olympique Lyonnais, at 0.93 per 90 across 581 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

   Olympique Lyonnais take 13.05 shots a game and hit 5.25 on target. That is about 71% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.

2. Chris Richards 1+ Shots10/11Add to slip

   Chris Richards has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Crystal Palace, at 0.61 per 90 across 1,467 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

   Crystal Palace take 11.6 shots a game and hit 4.35 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.

3. Zachary Athekame 1+ Shots5/4Add to slip

   Zachary Athekame has had a shot in 4 of his last 7 for Olympique Lyonnais, at 0.63 per 90 across 568 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

   Olympique Lyonnais take 13.05 shots a game and hit 5.25 on target. That is about 57% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.

4. Felix Bacher 1+ Shot on Target3/1Add to slip

   Felix Bacher has had a shot on target in 3 of his last 7 for Olympique Lyonnais, at 0.46 per 90 across 581 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

   Olympique Lyonnais take 13.05 shots a game and hit 5.25 on target. That is about 43% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

See the other 9 tips here

Red Bull Salzburg vs Milan Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 17:45

1. Nikolas Veratschnig 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

   Nikolas Veratschnig has had a shot in 9 of his last 10 for Red Bull Salzburg, at 2.31 per 90 across 818 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

   Red Bull Salzburg take 13.5 shots a game and hit 6.3 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

2. Koni De Winter 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

   Koni De Winter has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Milan, at 1.51 per 90 across 1,312 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

   Red Bull Salzburg hold 60.3% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

3. Haris Tabaković Anytime Goalscorer13/8Add to slip

   Haris Tabaković has scored in 4 of his last 9 for Red Bull Salzburg, at 0.73 per 90 across 619 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays.

   Red Bull Salzburg score 2.15 a game. That is about 44% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.

4. Strahinja Pavlović to be Carded11/5Add to slip

   Strahinja Pavlović has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Milan, at 0.31 per 90 across 1,738 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

   Milan pick up 1.8 cards a game and there are 3.95 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 11/5.

5. Over 9.5 CornersEvensAdd to slip

   Red Bull Salzburg win 6.6 corners a game and Milan 3.9, with 2.85 and 1.4 of those in the first half.

   That leaves about 10 in the match, a 60% chance of 10 or more against the 50% implied by Evens.

6. Correct Score 1-28/1Add to slip

   On the venue splits this projects Red Bull Salzburg 1.88 against Milan 1.08, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 6.9%.

   Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Milan, which is where the board has the match too.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 17:45

1. Jon Martin 1+ ShotsEvensAdd to slip

   Jon Martin has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Real Sociedad, at 0.73 per 90 across 1,356 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.

   Real Sociedad take 12.35 shots a game and hit 4.55 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.

2. Ondrej Kricfalusi 2+ Shots10/3Add to slip

   Ondrej Kricfalusi has had 2 or more shots in 3 of his last 7 for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, at 1.18 per 90 across 534 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

   Royale Union Saint-Gilloise take 16.84 shots a game and hit 6.68 on target. That is about 43% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.

3. Kevin Rodriguez 2+ Shot on Target2/1Add to slip

   Kevin Rodriguez has had 2 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, at 1.43 per 90 across 757 minutes, and he averages 63 minutes a game when he plays.

   Royale Union Saint-Gilloise take 16.84 shots a game and hit 6.68 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

4. Jon Aramburu 2+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

   Jon Aramburu has committed 2 or more fouls in 8 of his last 10 for Real Sociedad, at 2.97 per 90 across 1,332 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.

   Royale Union Saint-Gilloise hold 49.37% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

5. Mateo Biondic Anytime Goalscorer11/5Add to slip

   Mateo Biondic has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, at 0.48 per 90 across 1,124 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.

   Royale Union Saint-Gilloise score 2.25 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 11/5.

6. Kevin Mac Allister to be Carded15/8Add to slip

   Kevin Mac Allister has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, at 0.49 per 90 across 1,284 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.

   Royale Union Saint-Gilloise pick up 2.0 cards a game and there are 4.26 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.

7. Beñat Turrientes to be Carded3/1Add to slip

   Beñat Turrientes has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Real Sociedad, at 0.51 per 90 across 888 minutes, and he averages 63 minutes a game when he plays.

   Real Sociedad pick up 2.7 cards a game and there are 5.25 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

8. Over 9.5 Corners4/5Add to slip

   Royale Union Saint-Gilloise win 4.68 corners a game and Real Sociedad 6.2, with 1.53 and 3.3 of those in the first half.

   That leaves about 11 in the match, a 65% chance of 10 or more against the 56% implied by 4/5.

9. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise to Win29/20Add to slip

   Royale Union Saint-Gilloise come in on D W W W W W, and at home they have scored 2.30 a game and conceded 0.70 across 10 matches. They have won 11 of their last 20 overall, drawing 7.

   Real Sociedad average 1.60 scored and 1.85 conceded. The venue splits project 2.63 against 1.28, which puts Royale Union Saint-Gilloise at about 53% to win, against 17% for the draw.

10. Both Teams to Score8/15Add to slip

    Both teams have scored in 10 of Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's last 20 matches and 14 of Real Sociedad's. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise concede 1.00 a game and Real Sociedad 1.85.

    On the venue splits the projection is 2.63 against 1.28, which puts both teams scoring at about 64%.

11. Over 2.5 Goals4/6Add to slip

    Royale Union Saint-Gilloise have gone past 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 20 matches and Real Sociedad in 65%, with 85% and 80% going past 1.5.

    Royale Union Saint-Gilloise average 2.25 scored and 1.00 conceded, Real Sociedad 1.60 and 1.85. On the venue splits that projects 2.63 against 1.28, about 3.9 goals in the match and 71% for over 2.5.

12. Correct Score 2-19/1Add to slip

    On the venue splits this projects Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.63 against Real Sociedad 1.28, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.0%.

    Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, which is where the board has the match too.

13. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise to Win and Both Teams to Score10/3Add to slip

    Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise to win is about 53% and both teams scoring about 64%. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise score 2.25 a game and concede 1.00, and Real Sociedad have scored in 14 of their last 20.

    bet365 price the combination at 10/3.

Torreense vs Sunderland Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 17:45

1. Nordi Mukiele 3+ Shots8/1Add to slip

   Nordi Mukiele has had 3 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Sunderland, at 1.85 per 90 across 1,264 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

   Sunderland take 12.65 shots a game and hit 4.05 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 11% implied by 8/1.

2. Nordi Mukiele 2+ Shots12/5Add to slip

   Nordi Mukiele has had 2 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Sunderland, at 1.85 per 90 across 1,264 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

   Sunderland take 12.65 shots a game and hit 4.05 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

3. Thomas Meunier 1+ Shot on Target11/10Add to slip

   Thomas Meunier has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 7 for Sunderland, at 0.79 per 90 across 456 minutes, and he averages 65 minutes a game when he plays.

   Sunderland take 12.65 shots a game and hit 4.05 on target. That is about 57% on his own record, against the 48% implied by 11/10.

4. Kevin Danso 1+ Shot on Target12/5Add to slip

   Kevin Danso has had a shot on target in 2 of his last 5 for Sunderland, at 0.41 per 90 across 444 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.

   Sunderland take 12.65 shots a game and hit 4.05 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

See the other 3 tips here

Benfica vs Celtic Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 20:00

1. Yang Hyun-Jun 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

   Yang Hyun-Jun has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Celtic, at 1.87 per 90 across 1,059 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

   Celtic take 16.89 shots a game and hit 6.89 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

2. Alexander Bah 1+ Shot on Target2/1Add to slip

   Alexander Bah has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 9 for Benfica, at 0.77 per 90 across 586 minutes, and he averages 65 minutes a game when he plays.

   Benfica take 12.55 shots a game and hit 6.4 on target. That is about 44% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

3. Clément Lenglet 2+ Foul Committed13/8Add to slip

   Clément Lenglet has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 7 for Benfica, at 1.57 per 90 across 575 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

   Celtic hold 60.67% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 71% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.

4. Fredrik Aursnes 1+ Foul Committed4/5Add to slip

   Fredrik Aursnes has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Benfica, at 1.21 per 90 across 669 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.

   Celtic hold 60.67% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.

See the other 6 tips here

Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 20:00

1. Rayan 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

   Rayan has had a shot in 9 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 2.29 per 90 across 1,609 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

   Bournemouth take 13.55 shots a game and hit 4.3 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

2. Evanilson 2+ Foul Committed7/4Add to slip

   Evanilson has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 1.2 per 90 across 1,577 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

   SK Sturm Graz hold 49.55% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.

3. Paul Koller 2+ Foul Committed12/5Add to slip

   Paul Koller has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for SK Sturm Graz, at 1.37 per 90 across 984 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.

   Bournemouth hold 50.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

4. Marcus Tavernier to be Carded13/2Add to slip

   Marcus Tavernier has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 0.35 per 90 across 1,562 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

   Bournemouth pick up 2.5 cards a game and there are 4.05 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 13% implied by 13/2.

See the other 5 tips here

Celta Vigo vs Juventus Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 20:00

1. Gleison Bremer 1+ Shots4/5Add to slip

   Gleison Bremer has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Juventus, at 1.04 per 90 across 1,558 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

   Juventus take 18.05 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.

2. Sergio Carreira 1+ Shots10/11Add to slip

   Sergio Carreira has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Celta Vigo, at 0.56 per 90 across 1,442 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.

   Celta Vigo take 9.25 shots a game and hit 3.35 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.

3. Zeki Çelik 1+ Shots2/1Add to slip

   Zeki Çelik has had a shot in 4 of his last 7 for Juventus, at 0.62 per 90 across 581 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

   Juventus take 18.05 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. That is about 57% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

4. Douglas Luiz 3+ Shots11/2Add to slip

   Douglas Luiz has had 3 or more shots in 3 of his last 7 for Juventus, at 2.37 per 90 across 570 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

   Juventus take 18.05 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. That is about 43% on his own record, against the 15% implied by 11/2.

5. Randal Kolo Muani 1+ Shot on Target5/6Add to slip

   Randal Kolo Muani has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 7 for Juventus, at 0.81 per 90 across 558 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

   Juventus take 18.05 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. That is about 71% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

6. Manuel Locatelli 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

   Manuel Locatelli has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for Juventus, at 2.17 per 90 across 1,369 minutes, and he averages 91 minutes a game when he plays.

   Celta Vigo hold 50.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

7. Douglas Luiz 3+ Foul Committed12/5Add to slip

   Douglas Luiz has committed 3 or more fouls in 3 of his last 7 for Juventus, at 2.05 per 90 across 570 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

   Celta Vigo hold 50.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 43% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

8. Javier Rueda to be Carded3/1Add to slip

   Javier Rueda has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Celta Vigo, at 0.48 per 90 across 935 minutes, and he averages 62 minutes a game when he plays.

   Celta Vigo pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.7 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

9. Yoel Lago to be Carded9/4Add to slip

   Yoel Lago has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Celta Vigo, at 0.41 per 90 across 1,332 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.

   Celta Vigo pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.7 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.

10. Juventus to Win23/20Add to slip

    Juventus have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 7, and on the road they have scored 1.33 a game and conceded 1.00 across 9 matches.

    Celta Vigo average 1.05 scored and 1.30 conceded. The venue splits project 1.22 against 1.62, which puts Juventus at about 45% to win, against 25% for the draw.

11. Correct Score 0-113/2Add to slip

    On the venue splits this projects Celta Vigo 1.22 against Juventus 1.62, and 0-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.6%.

    Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Juventus, which is where the board has the match too.

Ferencváros TC vs Viktoria Plzeň Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 20:00

1. Mariano Gómez 1+ Shots11/8Add to slip

   Mariano Gómez has had a shot in 8 of his last 9 for Ferencváros TC, at 1.39 per 90 across 711 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

   Ferencváros TC take 8.32 shots a game and hit 4.11 on target. That is about 89% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.

2. Sampson Dweh 1+ Shots8/11Add to slip

   Sampson Dweh has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Viktoria Plzeň, at 0.74 per 90 across 1,575 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

   Viktoria Plzeň take 13.8 shots a game and hit 5.4 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

3. Sampson Dweh 1+ Shot on Target10/3Add to slip

   Sampson Dweh has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Viktoria Plzeň, at 0.29 per 90 across 1,575 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

   Viktoria Plzeň take 13.8 shots a game and hit 5.4 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.

4. Merchas Doski 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

   Merchas Doski has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for Viktoria Plzeň, at 1.76 per 90 across 1,127 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

   Ferencváros TC hold 39.21% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

5. Kristoffer Zachariassen Anytime Goalscorer11/4Add to slip

   Kristoffer Zachariassen has scored in 4 of his last 9 for Ferencváros TC, at 0.51 per 90 across 710 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

   Ferencváros TC score 2.05 a game. That is about 44% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

6. Marius Corbu to be Carded9/2Add to slip

   Marius Corbu has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Ferencváros TC, at 0.33 per 90 across 819 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

   Ferencváros TC pick up 1.68 cards a game and there are 3.37 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.

7. Ferencváros TC to Win10/11Add to slip

   Ferencváros TC have won 12 of their last 20, drawing 7, and at home they have scored 1.78 a game and conceded 0.56 across 9 matches.

   Viktoria Plzeň average 1.75 scored and 1.45 conceded. The venue splits project 2.06 against 1.15, which puts Ferencváros TC at about 54% to win, against 21% for the draw.

8. Over 2.5 Goals4/6Add to slip

   Ferencváros TC have gone past 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Viktoria Plzeň in 65%, with 75% and 80% going past 1.5.

   Ferencváros TC average 2.05 scored and 0.75 conceded, Viktoria Plzeň 1.75 and 1.45. On the venue splits that projects 2.06 against 1.15, about 3.2 goals in the match and 62% for over 2.5.

9. Correct Score 2-115/2Add to slip

   On the venue splits this projects Ferencváros TC 2.06 against Viktoria Plzeň 1.15, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.2%.

   Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Ferencváros TC, which is where the board has the match too.

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs RSC Anderlecht Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 20:00

1. Ludwig Augustinsson 1+ Shots5/6Add to slip

   Ludwig Augustinsson has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for RSC Anderlecht, at 1.29 per 90 across 910 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

   RSC Anderlecht take 11.15 shots a game and hit 5.1 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

2. Matteo Pérez Vinlöf 1+ Shots5/6Add to slip

   Matteo Pérez Vinlöf has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for GNK Dinamo Zagreb, at 1.16 per 90 across 1,009 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

   GNK Dinamo Zagreb take 14.84 shots a game and hit 5.74 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

3. Giulian Biancone 1+ Shots7/4Add to slip

   Giulian Biancone has had a shot in 4 of his last 6 for RSC Anderlecht, at 1.29 per 90 across 487 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

   RSC Anderlecht take 11.15 shots a game and hit 5.1 on target. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.

4. Ali Maamar 1+ Shot on Target11/4Add to slip

   Ali Maamar has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for RSC Anderlecht, at 0.42 per 90 across 1,062 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

   RSC Anderlecht take 11.15 shots a game and hit 5.1 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

5. Dion Drena Beljo 3+ Shot on Target4/1Add to slip

   Dion Drena Beljo has had 3 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for GNK Dinamo Zagreb, at 1.65 per 90 across 1,147 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

   GNK Dinamo Zagreb take 14.84 shots a game and hit 5.74 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.

6. Ali Maamar 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

   Ali Maamar has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for RSC Anderlecht, at 1.69 per 90 across 1,062 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

   GNK Dinamo Zagreb hold 59.37% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

7. Dion Drena Beljo Anytime Goalscorer13/10Add to slip

   Dion Drena Beljo has scored in 9 of his last 10 for GNK Dinamo Zagreb, at 1.02 per 90 across 1,147 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

   GNK Dinamo Zagreb score 2.25 a game. That is about 90% on his own record, against the 43% implied by 13/10.

8. Marco Kana to be Carded5/2Add to slip

   Marco Kana has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for RSC Anderlecht, at 0.57 per 90 across 948 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.

   RSC Anderlecht pick up 2.3 cards a game and there are 4.4 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.

9. Over 9.5 Corners4/5Add to slip

   GNK Dinamo Zagreb win 6.21 corners a game and RSC Anderlecht 5.3, with 1.74 and 1.6 of those in the first half.

   That leaves about 12 in the match, a 71% chance of 10 or more against the 56% implied by 4/5.

10. GNK Dinamo Zagreb to WinEvensAdd to slip

    GNK Dinamo Zagreb have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 6, and at home they have scored 2.40 a game and conceded 0.70 across 10 matches.

    RSC Anderlecht average 1.60 scored and 1.10 conceded. The venue splits project 1.94 against 1.26, which puts GNK Dinamo Zagreb at about 50% to win, against 22% for the draw.

11. Both Teams to Score4/6Add to slip

    Both teams have scored in 11 of GNK Dinamo Zagreb's last 20 matches and 11 of RSC Anderlecht's. GNK Dinamo Zagreb concede 1.05 a game and RSC Anderlecht 1.10.

    On the venue splits the projection is 1.94 against 1.26, which puts both teams scoring at about 58%.

12. Over 2.5 Goals4/5Add to slip

    GNK Dinamo Zagreb have gone past 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 20 matches and RSC Anderlecht in 60%, with 85% and 75% going past 1.5.

    GNK Dinamo Zagreb average 2.25 scored and 1.05 conceded, RSC Anderlecht 1.60 and 1.10. On the venue splits that projects 1.94 against 1.26, about 3.2 goals in the match and 64% for over 2.5.

13. Correct Score 2-18/1Add to slip

    On the venue splits this projects GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1.94 against RSC Anderlecht 1.26, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.9%.

    Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs GNK Dinamo Zagreb, which is where the board has the match too.

14. GNK Dinamo Zagreb to Win and Both Teams to Score11/4Add to slip

    Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: GNK Dinamo Zagreb to win is about 50% and both teams scoring about 58%. GNK Dinamo Zagreb score 2.25 a game and concede 1.05, and RSC Anderlecht have scored in 11 of their last 20.

    bet365 price the combination at 11/4.

Jagiellonia Białystok vs FC Ararat-Armenia Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 20:00

1. Bernardo Vital 2+ Shots5/2Add to slip

   Bernardo Vital has had 2 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Jagiellonia Białystok, at 0.9 per 90 across 1,302 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

   Jagiellonia Białystok take 10.95 shots a game and hit 5.35 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.

2. Bernardo Vital 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

   Bernardo Vital has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Jagiellonia Białystok, at 1.38 per 90 across 1,302 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

   FC Ararat-Armenia hold 37.11% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

3. Guilherme Montóia to be Carded10/3Add to slip

   Guilherme Montóia has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Jagiellonia Białystok, at 0.38 per 90 across 1,178 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

   Jagiellonia Białystok pick up 1.85 cards a game and there are 3.8 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.

4. Under 9.5 Corners8/11Add to slip

   Jagiellonia Białystok win 4.0 corners a game and FC Ararat-Armenia 4.67, with 1.65 and 0.67 of those in the first half.

   That leaves about 8 in the match, a 72% chance of 9 or fewer against the 58% implied by 8/11.

5. Jagiellonia Białystok to Win2/5Add to slip

   Jagiellonia Białystok have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 2, and at home they have scored 1.60 a game and conceded 1.40 across 10 matches.

   FC Ararat-Armenia average 1.35 scored and 1.45 conceded. The venue splits project 1.95 against 1.47, which puts Jagiellonia Białystok at about 58% to win, against 22% for the draw.

6. Both Teams to Score4/5Add to slip

   Both teams have scored in 13 of Jagiellonia Białystok's last 20 matches and 12 of FC Ararat-Armenia's. Jagiellonia Białystok concede 1.35 a game and FC Ararat-Armenia 1.45.

   On the venue splits the projection is 1.95 against 1.47, which puts both teams scoring at about 64%.

7. Over 2.5 Goals8/13Add to slip

   Jagiellonia Białystok have gone past 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 20 matches and FC Ararat-Armenia in 50%, with 90% and 80% going past 1.5.

   Jagiellonia Białystok average 1.75 scored and 1.35 conceded, FC Ararat-Armenia 1.35 and 1.45. On the venue splits that projects 1.95 against 1.47, about 3.4 goals in the match and 63% for over 2.5.

8. Correct Score 2-115/2Add to slip

   On the venue splits this projects Jagiellonia Białystok 1.95 against FC Ararat-Armenia 1.47, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.8%.

   Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Jagiellonia Białystok, which is where the board has the match too.

9. Jagiellonia Białystok to Win and Both Teams to Score2/1Add to slip

   Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Jagiellonia Białystok to win is about 58% and both teams scoring about 64%. Jagiellonia Białystok score 1.75 a game and concede 1.35, and FC Ararat-Armenia have scored in 12 of their last 20.

   bet365 price the combination at 2/1.

NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 20:00

1. Reinaldo 1+ ShotsTBCbet365

   Reinaldo has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Levski Sofia, at 2.55 per 90 across 742 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.

   Levski Sofia take 13.87 shots a game and hit 4.67 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

2. Bryan Linssen 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

   Bryan Linssen has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for NEC Nijmegen, at 1.84 per 90 across 1,371 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.

   Levski Sofia hold 59.27% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

3. Tobias Storm to be Carded4/1Add to slip

   Tobias Storm has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for NEC Nijmegen, at 0.25 per 90 across 1,090 minutes, and he averages 91 minutes a game when he plays.

   NEC Nijmegen pick up 1.7 cards a game and there are 3.6 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.

4. Noé Lebreton to be Carded7/2Add to slip

   Noé Lebreton has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for NEC Nijmegen, at 0.34 per 90 across 1,586 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

   NEC Nijmegen pick up 1.7 cards a game and there are 3.6 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 22% implied by 7/2.

5. Correct Score 2-115/2Add to slip

   On the venue splits this projects NEC Nijmegen 1.18 against Levski Sofia 1.82, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.4%.

   Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs NEC Nijmegen, which is where the board has the match too.

Olympique de Marseille vs Olympiacos FC Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 20:00

1. Panagiotis Retsos 1+ Shots11/8Add to slip

   Panagiotis Retsos has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Olympiacos FC, at 0.95 per 90 across 1,426 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.

   Olympiacos FC take 15.3 shots a game and hit 5.15 on target. That is about 80% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.

2. Lorenzo Pirola 1+ Shots11/8Add to slip

   Lorenzo Pirola has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Olympiacos FC, at 0.69 per 90 across 1,425 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

   Olympiacos FC take 15.3 shots a game and hit 5.15 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.

3. Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 3+ Shots9/2Add to slip

   Pierre-Emile Højbjerg has had 3 or more shots in 5 of his last 10 for Olympique de Marseille, at 1.58 per 90 across 1,594 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.

   Olympique de Marseille take 15.1 shots a game and hit 5.0 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.

4. Ayoub El Kaabi 1+ Shot on TargetTBCbet365

   Ayoub El Kaabi has had a shot on target in 8 of his last 10 for Olympiacos FC, at 1.8 per 90 across 1,050 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.

   Olympiacos FC take 15.3 shots a game and hit 5.15 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

5. Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 1+ Shot on Target6/4Add to slip

   Pierre-Emile Højbjerg has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Olympique de Marseille, at 0.56 per 90 across 1,594 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.

   Olympique de Marseille take 15.1 shots a game and hit 5.0 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.

6. Dani García 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

   Dani García has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Olympiacos FC, at 2.05 per 90 across 833 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

   Olympique de Marseille hold 56.0% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

7. Timothy Weah to be Carded3/1Add to slip

   Timothy Weah has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Olympique de Marseille, at 0.31 per 90 across 1,463 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.

   Olympique de Marseille pick up 2.3 cards a game and there are 4.2 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

8. Correct Score 1-09/1Add to slip

   On the venue splits this projects Olympique de Marseille 1.24 against Olympiacos FC 1.53, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.5%.

   Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Olympique de Marseille, which is where the board has the match too.

Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 20:00

1. Nikolaos Athanasiou 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

   Nikolaos Athanasiou has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for OFI Crete, at 1.75 per 90 across 1,233 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

   Stade Rennais hold 55.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

2. Esteban Lepaul to be Carded11/2Add to slip

   Esteban Lepaul has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Stade Rennais, at 0.22 per 90 across 1,636 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

   Stade Rennais pick up 1.7 cards a game and there are 3.7 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 15% implied by 11/2.

3. Under 10.5 Corners8/11Add to slip

   Stade Rennais win 6.4 corners a game and OFI Crete 3.2, with 2.75 and 1.15 of those in the first half.

   That leaves about 9 in the match, a 69% chance of 10 or fewer against the 58% implied by 8/11.

4. Stade Rennais to Win1/4bet365

   Stade Rennais come in on W L D W W W, and at home they have scored 1.91 a game and conceded 1.00 across 11 matches. They have won 13 of their last 20 overall, drawing 3.

   OFI Crete average 1.55 scored and 1.10 conceded. The venue splits project 1.80 against 1.41, which puts Stade Rennais at about 61% to win, against 23% for the draw.

5. Over 2.5 Goals1/2Add to slip

   Stade Rennais have gone past 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 20 matches and OFI Crete in 50%, with 80% and 90% going past 1.5.

   Stade Rennais average 2.00 scored and 1.30 conceded, OFI Crete 1.55 and 1.10. On the venue splits that projects 1.80 against 1.41, about 3.2 goals in the match and 64% for over 2.5.

6. Correct Score 2-117/2Add to slip

   On the venue splits this projects Stade Rennais 1.80 against OFI Crete 1.41, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.4%.

   Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Stade Rennais, which is where the board has the match too.

TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş Tips

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct 20:00

1. Salih Özcan 1+ Shots4/9Add to slip

   Salih Özcan has had a shot in 5 of his last 8 for Beşiktaş, at 0.71 per 90 across 637 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

   Beşiktaş take 12.06 shots a game and hit 5.39 on target. That is about 62% on his own record, against the 69% implied by 4/9.

2. Ozan Kabak 1+ Foul CommittedTBCbet365

   Ozan Kabak has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for TSG Hoffenheim, at 1.61 per 90 across 1,789 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.

   Beşiktaş hold 55.39% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.

3. Dušan Vlahović Anytime Goalscorer21/20Add to slip

   Dušan Vlahović has scored in 4 of his last 6 for Beşiktaş, at 1.18 per 90 across 459 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

   Beşiktaş score 1.80 a game. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 49% implied by 21/20.

4. Wouter Burger to be Carded21/10Add to slip

   Wouter Burger has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for TSG Hoffenheim, at 0.36 per 90 across 1,508 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

   TSG Hoffenheim pick up 2.35 cards a game and there are 3.95 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.

5. Ozan Kabak to be Carded15/8Add to slip

   Ozan Kabak has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for TSG Hoffenheim, at 0.35 per 90 across 1,789 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.

   TSG Hoffenheim pick up 2.35 cards a game and there are 3.95 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.

6. Over 10.5 CornersEvensAdd to slip

   TSG Hoffenheim win 6.9 corners a game and Beşiktaş 5.56, with 2.6 and 2.17 of those in the first half.

   That leaves about 12 in the match, a 70% chance of 11 or more against the 50% implied by Evens.

7. Both Teams to Score2/5Add to slip

   Both teams have scored in 14 of TSG Hoffenheim's last 20 matches and 7 of Beşiktaş's. TSG Hoffenheim concede 2.20 a game and Beşiktaş 0.75.

   On the venue splits the projection is 1.37 against 2.04, which puts both teams scoring at about 59%.

8. Over 2.5 Goals4/9Add to slip

   TSG Hoffenheim have gone past 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 20 matches and Beşiktaş in 50%, with 90% and 60% going past 1.5.

   TSG Hoffenheim average 1.55 scored and 2.20 conceded, Beşiktaş 1.80 and 0.75. On the venue splits that projects 1.37 against 2.04, about 3.4 goals in the match and 66% for over 2.5.

9. Correct Score 2-18/1Add to slip

   On the venue splits this projects TSG Hoffenheim 1.37 against Beşiktaş 2.04, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.1%.

   Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs TSG Hoffenheim, which is where the board has the match too.