Kick-off 19:00 · Referee: C. Kavanagh (3.51 yellow cards per game, 0.09 reds).
Every leg in this bet builder is built from player data, not opinion. We take each player’s last 10 games, convert the raw totals to a per 90 minutes rate, and cross-check against the referee’s own card average. The full data is published below the build so you can check our working.
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MISSING ROWS — WORTH FILLING FROM THE SOURCE PAGE
Your original paste cut off the value on the last player of each list, so each
section has 19 rows rather than 20. The players whose numbers are missing:
#FOULS J. Heil (316 mins)
#DRAWN A. Vallci (810 mins)
#SHOTS J. Mitchell (469 mins)
#SOT J. Gorenc Stankovic (770 mins)
#CARDS S. Jatta (654 mins)
#TACKLES O. Kiteishvili (506 mins)
None of them would top their table, so the tips are unaffected. Add the lines
in the right section if you want the full twenty.
REMINDERS
Data lines are: side | player | TOTAL | MINUTES
Never type a per-90 figure — the widget calculates it.
H = home, A = away.
Omit a section entirely if you have no data and the tab will not appear.
[/tg_stats]
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz Bet Builder Tip
| Leg | Selection | The Number Behind It |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Talisca 3+ Shots | 6.08 shots per 90 — 47 shots in 10 games |
| 2 | O. Kiteishvili 1+ Shot on Target | 1.60 SoT per 90, Sturm’s chief creator |
| 3 | J. Oosterwolde To Be Shown a Card | 6 yellows in 10 games, a booking every 147 mins |
| 4 | Under 4.5 Total Cards | Kavanagh averages 3.51 yellows per game |
Stake advice: This is a four-leg build with one genuinely standout leg and three supporting ones. Treat it as a small-stakes bet rather than a banker.
Why These Four Legs
Talisca 3+ Shots. This is the strongest single number in the entire fixture. Talisca has 47 shots in his last 10 games at 6.08 per 90 — more than double the next Fenerbahçe player and comfortably clear of anyone at Sturm Graz. He is the focal point of everything the home side create, and the 3+ line sits well below his average. If you want the shorter, safer version of this leg, 2+ shots is the play.
Kiteishvili 1+ Shot on Target. Sturm Graz are not a heavy-shooting side, but Kiteishvili takes 4.27 shots per 90 and hits the target 1.60 times per 90. On volume alone he is the only away player you can back with confidence in this market.
Oosterwolde To Be Shown a Card. Six yellow cards in 10 appearances is the standout disciplinary record in the fixture. He commits 1.81 fouls and makes 1.47 tackles per 90, so the bookings are not flukes — it is how he defends.
Under 4.5 Total Cards. Kavanagh’s 3.51 yellows per game is mid-range rather than card-happy, and Sturm Graz are a strikingly clean side — only one player above 0.35 yellows per 90. This leg lengthens the build without needing anything unusual to happen.
Two Alternative Builds
| Leg | Selection | The Number |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Talisca 2+ Shots | 6.08 shots per 90 |
| 2 | Talisca 1+ Shot on Target | 2.72 SoT per 90, 45% accuracy |
| 3 | Under 4.5 Total Cards | Referee averages 3.51 yellows |
Correlated and short, but every leg sits well inside the underlying numbers.
The Longshot
| Leg | Selection | The Number |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Talisca 2+ Shots on Target | 21 SoT in 10 games, 2.72 per 90 |
| 2 | İ. Yüksek To Be Shown a Card | 2.33 fouls + 4.14 tackles per 90 |
| 3 | J. Oosterwolde To Be Shown a Card | 0.68 yellows per 90 |
| 4 | G. Mamageishvili 2+ Shots | 3.49 shots per 90 |
| 5 | O. Kiteishvili 1+ Shot on Target | 1.60 SoT per 90 |
Warning on the longshot: Yüksek and Mamageishvili both post big per 90 rates on part-time minutes (348 and 361 respectively). If either starts on the bench, the bet is dead before kick-off. Wait for confirmed line-ups, which land roughly an hour before the game.
Best Bookmakers for Bet Builder Betting
Bet builder pricing varies more than any other market in football betting, because each bookmaker models leg correlation differently. The same four legs can differ by 20% or more between two accounts, so having a few open is the single easiest edge available to a recreational punter.
| Bookmaker | Welcome Offer | Why It’s Good for Bet Builders |
|---|---|---|
| Betfred | Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets + £20 Bet Builder Free Bet — no promo code | The £20 Bet Builder free bet is ring-fenced for exactly this market, which no other major bookmaker offers |
| bet365 | Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets — no promo code | The widest range of player markets in the UK, plus the bet365 Acca Boost on qualifying multiples |
| BoyleSports | Bet £10 Get £40 to use however you want | Runs a Bet Builder Boost for existing customers, adding a percentage to winning multi-leg builds |
| BetMGM | [OFFER — Andy to confirm current terms] | Consistently the sharpest bet builder prices we find when compiling these tips, particularly on player shots and cards |
18+ only. New customers only. Full terms apply at each bookmaker. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
For a wider comparison of accounts, market depth and withdrawal speeds, see our guide to the best UK betting sites.
The Full Stats Behind the Build
Everything below is the raw data the build was made from. All figures cover each player’s last 10 games and are converted to a per 90 minutes rate, because raw totals flatter players who simply start every week. A defender with nine fouls in 316 minutes is a far better card bet than one with 16 in 794.
Players with under 250 minutes are flagged ⚠ — treat those rates as a signal, not a certainty.
The Referee: C. Kavanagh
Kavanagh averages 3.51 yellow cards per game and just 0.09 reds. That is a mid-range card referee rather than a card-happy one, which shapes how you attack this market:
- Do back individual players to be carded — a booking-prone player still gets booked under a lenient official.
- Be careful with over 4.5 or over 5.5 total cards. A 3.51 average means those lines need a bad-tempered game, not just a busy one.
- Under 4.5 cards has genuine value, which is why it makes two of our three builds.
Fouls Committed: Who Gives Away Free Kicks
Fenerbahçe
| Player | Fouls | Mins | Per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ç. Söyüncü | 9 | 316 | 2.56 |
| İ. Yüksek | 9 | 348 | 2.33 |
| J. Oosterwolde | 16 | 794 | 1.81 |
| A. Brown | 8 | 462 | 1.56 |
| M. Škriniar | 10 | 616 | 1.46 |
| Talisca | 9 | 696 | 1.16 |
| Fred | 7 | 595 | 1.06 |
| N. Semedo | 8 | 814 | 0.88 |
| N. Kanté | 7 | 735 | 0.86 |
| M. Guendouzi | 6 | 726 | 0.74 |
Sturm Graz
| Player | Fouls | Mins | Per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kayombo | 6 | 178 | 3.03 ⚠ |
| B. Beganovic | 6 | 191 | 2.83 ⚠ |
| J. Peter Hödl | 14 | 632 | 1.99 |
| S. Jatta | 13 | 654 | 1.79 |
| G. Mamageishvili | 7 | 361 | 1.75 |
| M. Malone | 7 | 404 | 1.56 |
| R. Fosso | 9 | 604 | 1.34 |
| A. Vallci | 10 | 810 | 1.11 |
| P. Koller | 7 | 602 | 1.05 |
The angle: Söyüncü and Yüksek are the two standout foul machines at Fenerbahçe once you adjust for minutes, and both are rotation risks. Kayombo and Beganovic foul at over 2.8 per 90 for Sturm but are substitute-minutes players, which makes them poor card bets and decent “to commit a foul” bets only if they start.
Fouls Drawn: Who Gets Kicked
Fenerbahçe
| Player | Drawn | Mins | Per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Müldür | 7 | 131 | 4.81 ⚠ |
| Fred | 15 | 595 | 2.27 |
| S. Chérif | 8 | 327 | 2.20 |
| M. Guendouzi | 17 | 726 | 2.11 |
| A. Brown | 8 | 462 | 1.56 |
| Talisca | 12 | 696 | 1.55 |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | 12 | 772 | 1.40 |
| A. Musaba | 6 | 493 | 1.10 |
| N. Semedo | 8 | 814 | 0.88 |
| N. Kanté | 7 | 735 | 0.86 |
Sturm Graz
| Player | Drawn | Mins | Per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Mamageishvili | 12 | 361 | 2.99 |
| A. Kayombo | 5 | 178 | 2.53 ⚠ |
| O. Kiteishvili | 11 | 506 | 1.96 |
| J. Peter Hödl | 12 | 632 | 1.71 |
| J. Gorenc Stankovic | 10 | 770 | 1.17 |
| S. Seidl | 4 | 316 | 1.14 |
| J. Heil | 4 | 316 | 1.14 |
| S. Jatta | 8 | 654 | 1.10 |
| R. Fosso | 7 | 604 | 1.04 |
The angle: Guendouzi has the volume (17 in 10 games) and the minutes to back it up — that combination is what you want for a “to be fouled” bet. Mamageishvili is the pick on the Sturm side at nearly three per 90, and he doubles as a shots angle.
Shots and Shots on Target
Fenerbahçe Shots
| Player | Shots | Mins | Per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Talisca | 47 | 696 | 6.08 |
| Fred | 21 | 595 | 3.18 |
| İ. Yüksek | 10 | 348 | 2.59 |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | 21 | 772 | 2.45 |
| A. Musaba | 11 | 493 | 2.01 |
| S. Chérif | 6 | 327 | 1.65 |
| A. Brown | 7 | 462 | 1.36 |
| M. Guendouzi | 7 | 726 | 0.87 |
| N. Semedo | 5 | 814 | 0.55 |
| J. Oosterwolde | 4 | 794 | 0.45 |
Sturm Graz Shots
| Player | Shots | Mins | Per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Kiteishvili | 24 | 506 | 4.27 |
| S. Wlodarczyk | 10 | 234 | 3.85 |
| G. Mamageishvili | 14 | 361 | 3.49 |
| S. Seidl | 11 | 316 | 3.13 |
| M. Malone | 10 | 404 | 2.23 |
| S. Jatta | 13 | 654 | 1.79 |
| J. Peter Hödl | 11 | 632 | 1.57 |
| A. Vallci | 13 | 810 | 1.44 |
| J. Gorenc Stankovic | 12 | 770 | 1.40 |
Shots on Target
| Player | Team | SoT | Mins | Per 90 | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talisca | Fenerbahçe | 21 | 696 | 2.72 | 45% |
| S. Wlodarczyk | Sturm Graz | 5 | 234 | 1.92 | 50% |
| O. Kiteishvili | Sturm Graz | 9 | 506 | 1.60 | 38% |
| A. Kayombo | Sturm Graz | 3 | 178 | 1.52 | — |
| S. Seidl | Sturm Graz | 5 | 316 | 1.42 | 45% |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | Fenerbahçe | 10 | 772 | 1.17 | 48% |
| Fred | Fenerbahçe | 7 | 595 | 1.06 | 33% |
| İ. Yüksek | Fenerbahçe | 4 | 348 | 1.03 | 40% |
| G. Mamageishvili | Sturm Graz | 4 | 361 | 1.00 | 29% |
| M. Malone | Sturm Graz | 4 | 404 | 0.89 | 40% |
| J. Peter Hödl | Sturm Graz | 6 | 632 | 0.85 | 55% |
The angle: Talisca is the whole Fenerbahçe attack in one player — 47 shots is more than double the next man, and he hits the target with 45% of them. At six shots per 90 the 3+ shots line is the play; 2+ SoT is the bolder version. Wlodarczyk’s 50% accuracy off the bench is the sleeper if he is named in the XI.
If you want to understand the underlying numbers behind shot volume, our guide to expected goals (xG) explains what separates a good chance from a hopeful effort.
Yellow Cards: Last 10 Games
| Player | Team | Yellows | Mins | Per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Oosterwolde | Fenerbahçe | 6 | 794 | 0.68 |
| M. Müldür | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 131 | 0.69 |
| Ederson | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 452 | 0.60 |
| J. Gazibegovic | Sturm Graz | 2 | 332 | 0.54 |
| A. Kayombo | Sturm Graz | 1 | 178 | 0.51 |
| Fred | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 595 | 0.45 |
| A. Brown | Fenerbahçe | 2 | 462 | 0.39 |
| M. Guendouzi | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 726 | 0.37 |
| E. Soglo | Sturm Graz | 1 | 250 | 0.36 |
| N. Semedo | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 814 | 0.33 |
| A. Vallci | Sturm Graz | 3 | 810 | 0.33 |
The angle: Oosterwolde is the standout card bet in the fixture — six yellows in 10 appearances is a booking every 147 minutes. Sturm Graz are a notably clean side by comparison; their most-carded player, Vallci, sits at 0.33 per 90, so shop for Fenerbahçe names rather than forcing an away card bet.
Tackles: The Card Market’s Leading Indicator
Tackle volume is the most underrated card signal. A player who tackles often eventually mistimes one.
| Player | Team | Tackles | Mins | Per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Soglo | Sturm Graz | 14 | 250 | 5.04 |
| İ. Yüksek | Fenerbahçe | 16 | 348 | 4.14 |
| J. Heil | Sturm Graz | 14 | 316 | 3.99 |
| E. Karic | Sturm Graz | 13 | 428 | 2.73 |
| J. Gazibegovic | Sturm Graz | 10 | 332 | 2.71 |
| S. Seidl | Sturm Graz | 9 | 316 | 2.56 |
| N. Kanté | Fenerbahçe | 20 | 735 | 2.45 |
| N. Semedo | Fenerbahçe | 20 | 814 | 2.21 |
| L. Mercan | Fenerbahçe | 8 | 332 | 2.17 |
| A. Brown | Fenerbahçe | 11 | 462 | 2.14 |
| J. Peter Hödl | Sturm Graz | 15 | 632 | 2.14 |
| A. Vallci | Sturm Graz | 18 | 810 | 2.00 |
The angle: Yüksek is the double-threat name — top two for tackles per 90 and second for fouls per 90 at Fenerbahçe. If he starts, he is arguably a better card price than Oosterwolde, because the market prices Oosterwolde’s card record and often ignores Yüksek’s minutes-adjusted profile.
Every Value Bet in the Fixture
| Selection | Market | Reasoning | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Talisca 3+ Shots | Player Shots | 6.08 per 90, 47 shots in 10 games | ★★★★★ |
| J. Oosterwolde To Be Carded | Cards | 6 yellows in 10 games, 0.68 per 90 | ★★★★☆ |
| İ. Yüksek 2+ Fouls | Fouls | 2.33 fouls + 4.14 tackles per 90 | ★★★★☆ |
| Talisca 2+ Shots on Target | Player SoT | 2.72 SoT per 90, 45% accuracy | ★★★☆☆ |
| M. Guendouzi 2+ Fouls Drawn | Fouls Drawn | 17 drawn, 2.11 per 90 | ★★★☆☆ |
| O. Kiteishvili 1+ Shot on Target | Player SoT | 4.27 shots per 90, Sturm’s chief creator | ★★★☆☆ |
| J. Peter Hödl To Be Carded | Cards | 1.99 fouls + 2.14 tackles per 90 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Under 4.5 Cards | Match Cards | Kavanagh averages 3.51 per game | ★★★☆☆ |
Three Traps to Avoid
- Small-sample per 90 rates. Kayombo’s 3.03 fouls per 90 comes from 178 minutes. One busy cameo distorts it. Anything under 250 minutes is flagged ⚠ above.
- Backing cards on the wrong team. Sturm Graz have one player above 0.35 yellows per 90. Fenerbahçe have four. The card money belongs on the home side.
- Betting before the team news. Söyüncü, Yüksek, Chérif and Wlodarczyk all post big per 90 numbers on part-time minutes. Confirmed line-ups land roughly an hour before kick-off.
How We Build These Numbers
Every figure comes from each player’s last 10 appearances, with minutes played recorded alongside the raw total. We divide the total by minutes and multiply by 90 to get a per-90 rate, then flag anyone under 250 minutes as a small sample.
We then cross-reference three things before recommending anything: the per-90 rate, the total volume (a rate built on one game is noise), and the referee’s own averages. A player who fouls often under a card-happy referee is a very different bet to the same player under an official averaging 3.51 yellows.
FAQs
What is the best bet builder for Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz? Our recommended build is Talisca 3+ shots, Kiteishvili 1+ shot on target, Oosterwolde to be shown a card and under 4.5 total cards. Every leg is drawn from per-90 data across each player’s last 10 games.
Which player is most likely to be booked in Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz? Jayden Oosterwolde. He has picked up six yellow cards in his last 10 appearances — a booking every 147 minutes — and commits 1.81 fouls per 90 alongside 1.47 tackles per 90.
Who is the best player to back for shots on target? Talisca. He has 21 shots on target from 47 attempts in his last 10 games, a 45% accuracy rate and 2.72 shots on target per 90 minutes, more than double any other player in the fixture.
Is C. Kavanagh a card-happy referee? No. Kavanagh averages 3.51 yellow cards and 0.09 red cards per game, which sits in the mid-range. Individual player card bets still stand up, but high total-card lines need caution.
Why use per 90 minutes instead of total stats? Because total stats reward players who simply play more. Ç. Söyüncü’s nine fouls came in 316 minutes (2.56 per 90) while Nélson Semedo’s eight came in 814 minutes (0.88 per 90). The raw numbers look similar; the underlying behaviour is not.
Which bookmaker has the best bet builder? Pricing varies by bookmaker because each models leg correlation differently, so the same build can differ by 20% or more between accounts. Betfred is the only major bookmaker offering a dedicated Bet Builder free bet to new customers, while bet365 carries the widest range of player markets.
More Betting Tips and Guides
- Best UK Betting Sites
- Best Football Betting Sites UK
- Expected Goals (xG) Explained
- Betfred Sign Up Offer
- Best Betting Apps UK
- New Betting Sites
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. Betting recommendations are opinion based on statistical trends and are not guaranteed. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. For free, confidential support visit GambleAware.org.
Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
