Slovan Bratislava vs NK Celje Team Stats
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Slovan Bratislava vs NK Celje Prediction
We are predicting a 2-1 Slovan Bratislava win. Our model gives the hosts 58%, the draw 23% and Celje 19%, from expected goals of 2.08 to 1.14. Both teams to score sits at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Slovan arrive with thirteen wins from twenty and ten clean sheets, conceding 0.85 a game. Celje have won twelve of twenty and scored freely, failing to find the net in only one match out of the twenty.
The league adjustment does real work here. Slovakia carries a UEFA coefficient of 15.625 against Slovenia’s 10.375, a damped factor of 1.23 and the widest gap of this week’s play-off ties. Celje’s away figures of 1.75 scored and 1.38 conceded become 1.43 and 1.69 once converted.
One number cuts against the home side. Slovan score more away from home than at it — 2.11 a game against 1.91 — and concede 0.67 on the road against 1.00 at home. That makes next week’s return in Celje look the more comfortable leg of the two.
Slovan Bratislava vs NK Celje Betting Tips
1. Over 3.5 Total Cards. Felix Zwayer books 4.63 players a game across 432 career matches, the second highest of any referee in our data. Celje commit 12.94 fouls a game, more than any side we have covered, and their matches already produce 4.22 cards across both teams.
2. Over 1.5 Goals. This has landed in 16 of Slovan’s last 20 and 16 of Celje’s. Celje have failed to score in only one match in twenty and Slovan average 2.00 a game.
3. Slovan Bratislava to Win. Thirteen wins from twenty and ten clean sheets, with a 1.23 league adjustment in their favour on top. The model gives them 58%.
Slovan Bratislava vs NK Celje Stats
| Slovan Bratislava | NK Celje | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per game | 2.00 | 2.30 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.85 | 1.15 |
| Home scored / conceded | 1.91 / 1.00 | 2.67 / 1.00 |
| Away scored / conceded | 2.11 / 0.67 | 1.75 / 1.38 |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 65% |
| Clean sheets | 10 of 20 | 6 of 20 |
| Expected goals for | 1.71 | 2.16 |
| Corners per game | 5.00 | 4.56 |
| Fouls per game | 11.20 | 12.94 |
| Cards in match | 3.75 | 4.22 |
Figures cover each side’s last 20 league matches.
Slovan Bratislava vs NK Celje Key Stats
- 12.94 fouls a game for Celje, more than any side we have covered this season
- 4.63 yellow cards a game for referee Felix Zwayer across 432 career matches, second highest in our data
- 10 clean sheets in 20 for Slovan, against 6 for Celje
- 1 of 20 — the number of matches in which Celje have failed to score
- 6 of Slovan’s last 20 have seen both teams score, against 13 of Celje’s
- 14 of Slovan’s last 20 have produced more than 3.5 cards
- 2.11 scored away by Slovan against 1.91 at home, one of the few sides in our data better on the road
Slovan Bratislava vs NK Celje Team News
Neither side has a significant absentee list in the data available at the time of writing. Worth checking club sources closer to kick-off, particularly for a first leg where rotation is common.
Slovan Bratislava vs NK Celje Corners and Cards
Corners are close and not worth a price — 5.00 a game for Slovan against 4.56 for Celje. Celje’s first-half figure is not carried in the Slovenian league feed, so a half-time corners line cannot be assessed here.
Cards are the page’s angle and the two measures agree, which is rarer than it sounds. Slovan’s matches produce 3.75 across both sides and Celje’s 4.22, a combined 3.99 — and Zwayer’s career average is 4.63. On the teams’ own figures over 3.5 cards reads 56%; on the referee’s it reads 68%. Both point the same way, and Celje’s 12.94 fouls a game is the number that ties them together.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
