Preston vs Blackburn Betting Tips, Predictions and Stats

Andy Clark

Our Preston vs Blackburn tips come from the one fixture this weekend where our model and the market disagree on the result, and we have four selections from 6/5 to 3/1.

Preston have lost 5 of their last 6 and concede 2.00 goals a game at Deepdale. The market still makes them favourites.

Championship - Last 20 Games

Preston North End vs Blackburn Rovers Team Stats

12:30Ref Not yet appointed - 4.20 YC

Preston North End

  • L1-3Bristol City1 Sep
  • L0-1at Charlton Athletic29 Aug
  • L1-3Wolverhampton22 Aug
  • L1-2at Bolton Wanderers15 Aug
  • L1-3Southampton2 May
  • W3-2at Sheffield United25 Apr

Blackburn Rovers

  • D1-1at Middlesbrough30 Aug
  • L0-2Watford23 Aug
  • W2-1at Norwich City16 Aug
  • D1-1Millwall9 Aug
  • L0-2at Coventry City3 May
  • W2-0Hull City26 Apr

Preston North EndvBlackburn Rovers
LLLLLW
Recent form
DLWDLW
1.05
Goals scored per game
1.00
1.85
Goals conceded per game
1.15
65%
Both teams scored
55%
85%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
60%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
40%
Over 3.5 goals
20%

Preston North EndvBlackburn Rovers
11.00
Shots per game
10.50
3.20
Shots on target
2.95
1.65
Big chances created
—
1.10
Big chances missed
—
20.05
Touches in the box
—

Preston North EndvBlackburn Rovers
1.31
Expected goals for
0.99
1.63
Expected goals against
1.38
46.75
Possession %
44.25
59.75
Final third entries
—
4.75
Accurate crosses
—
1.95
Offsides
—

Preston North EndvBlackburn Rovers
1.10
Home scored per game
0.78
2.00
Home conceded per game
0.89
1.00
Away scored per game
1.18
1.70
Away conceded per game
1.36

Preston North EndvBlackburn Rovers
4.70
Corners per game
4.55
2.85
First half corners
1.85

Preston North EndvBlackburn Rovers
11.00
Fouls per game
10.05
2.05
Own cards per game
2.50
3.10
Cards in match
3.95
1.05
First half cards
1.50
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Where the Odds and the Stats Disagree

Preston vs Blackburn Prediction

We are predicting 1-2 to Blackburn. The market makes Preston 39.9%, the draw 28.8% and Blackburn 31.3%. Our model gives Preston 34%, the draw 26% and Blackburn 41%.

That is the only result this weekend where we disagree with the market by more than 5 points, and it comes almost entirely from one figure: Preston have conceded 20 goals in 10 home matches, at 2.00 a game. No other side in our Championship data concedes more at home.

Their last 5 read 1-3, 0-1, 1-3, 1-2 and 1-3 — five defeats, and four of them by two goals or more. They have scored in 8 of their last 10 and conceded in 9.

Blackburn are not good either. They score 1.00 a game across their 20 and 0.78 at Ewood Park, and they have won 3 of their last 10. But they concede 1.36 away, and against a home defence leaking 2.00 a game that is enough.

The most likely single scoreline on our model is 1-1 at 12%, which is worth knowing before backing either side.

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