Aston Villa vs Manchester City Bet Builder Tips, Predictions and Best Bets

Andy Clark

Aston Villa vs Manchester City bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Premier League fixture on Saturday 24th October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Premier League - Last 20 Games

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Team Stats

12:30

Aston VillavManchester City
WWWDWL
Recent form
WWLWWW
2.15
Goals scored per game
2.35
1.30
Goals conceded per game
1.10
50%
Both teams scored
60%
75%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
55%
Over 3.5 goals
30%

Aston VillavManchester City
13.85
Shots per game
18.2
5.45
Shots on target
6.25

Aston VillavManchester City
1.74
Expected goals for
2.15
1.36
Expected goals against
1.38
48.9
Possession %
62.6

Aston VillavManchester City
4.95
Corners per game
8.05
2.9
First half corners
4.0

Aston VillavManchester City
10.95
Fouls per game
9.45
1.5
Own cards per game
1.4
3.7
Cards in match
3.2
1.4
First half cards
0.75
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Aston Villa take 13.85 shots a game and hit 5.45 on target, against Manchester City’s 18.2 and 6.25. Aston Villa commit 10.95 fouls a game to Manchester City’s 9.45, with 3.7 and 3.2 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Aston Villa 18%, the draw 24% and Manchester City 58%. 3 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Bet Builder Tip

1Rúben Dias 2+ Foul Committed5 of his last 10, 1.37 per 90
Why this Leg

Rúben Dias has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.37 per 90 across 983 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

Aston Villa hold 48.9% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.

2Matty Cash to be Carded4 of his last 10, 0.31 per 90
Why this Leg

Matty Cash has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 0.31 per 90 across 1,433 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

Aston Villa pick up 1.5 cards a game and there are 3.7 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 28% implied by 13/5.

3Erling Haaland 3+ Shot on Target4 of his last 10, 2.18 per 90
Why this Leg

Erling Haaland has had 3 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 2.18 per 90 across 1,486 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

Manchester City take 18.2 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.

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What Is the Best Aston Villa vs Manchester City Bet Builder?

Rúben Dias 2+ Foul Committed, Matty Cash to be Carded and Erling Haaland 3+ Shot on Target, around 37/1 to 43/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.

Rúben Dias has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 matches at 1.37 per 90, and Aston Villa hold 48.9% of the ball — 50% on our numbers against an implied 31%.

Matty Cash has been booked in 4 of his last 10 matches at 0.31 per 90, and Aston Villa pick up 1.5 cards a game and there are 3.7 in their matches — 40% on our numbers against an implied 28%.

Erling Haaland has had 3 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 matches at 2.18 per 90, and Manchester City take 18.2 shots a game — 40% on our numbers against an implied 29%.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Betting Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    Antoine Semenyo 1+ Shotsbet365TBCAntoine Semenyo has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 2.02 per 90 across 1,424 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City take 18.2 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
  2. 02
    Enzo Fernández 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip8/11Enzo Fernández has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 8 for Manchester City, at 0.73 per 90 across 619 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City take 18.2 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. That is about 62% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
  3. 03
    Erling Haaland 2+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip4/5Erling Haaland has had 2 or more shots on target in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 2.18 per 90 across 1,486 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City take 18.2 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.
  4. 04
    Erling Haaland 3+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip5/2Erling Haaland has had 3 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 2.18 per 90 across 1,486 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City take 18.2 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.
  5. 05
    Boubacar Kamara 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slipEvensBoubacar Kamara has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 9 for Aston Villa, at 1.88 per 90 across 765 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City hold 62.6% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 56% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
  6. 06
    Rúben Dias 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip9/4Rúben Dias has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.37 per 90 across 983 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Aston Villa hold 48.9% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.
  7. 07
    Marc Guéhi 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip3/1Marc Guéhi has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 0.91 per 90 across 1,575 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Aston Villa hold 48.9% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
  8. 08
    Rayan Cherki Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip15/8Rayan Cherki has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 0.45 per 90 across 1,190 minutes, and he averages 63 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City score 2.35 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.
  9. 09
    Matty Cash to be CardedAdd to slip13/5Matty Cash has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 0.31 per 90 across 1,433 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Aston Villa pick up 1.5 cards a game and there are 3.7 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 28% implied by 13/5.
  10. 10
    Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip8/15Both teams have scored in 10 of Aston Villa's last 20 matches and 12 of Manchester City's. Aston Villa concede 1.30 a game and Manchester City 1.10.On the venue splits the projection is 1.75 against 1.74, which puts both teams scoring at about 62%.
  11. 11
    Over 2.5 GoalsAdd to slip8/15Aston Villa have gone past 2.5 goals in 75% of their last 20 matches and Manchester City in 70%, with 75% and 85% going past 1.5.Aston Villa average 2.15 scored and 1.30 conceded, Manchester City 2.35 and 1.10. On the venue splits that projects 1.75 against 1.74, about 3.5 goals in the match and 70% for over 2.5.
  12. 12
    Correct Score 1-2Add to slip17/2On the venue splits this projects Aston Villa 1.75 against Manchester City 1.74, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.2%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Manchester City, which is where the board has the match too.
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Aston Villa vs Manchester City Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten matches beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Aston Villa vs Manchester City Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Aston Villa vs Manchester City Bet Builder?

Rúben Dias 2+ Foul Committed, Matty Cash to be Carded and Erling Haaland 3+ Shot on Target, at around 37/1 to 43/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. Enzo Fernández 1+ Shot on Target, which we make 62% against 58% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Aston Villa vs Manchester City?

Morgan Rogers of Aston Villa. He has committed a foul in 9 of his last 9 matches, at 1.93 per 90 across 793 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester City hold 62.6% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 have not listed Morgan Rogers 1+ Foul Committed yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.

Who Is Most Likely to Score in Aston Villa vs Manchester City?

Erling Haaland of Manchester City. He has scored in 9 of his last 10 matches, at 1.09 per 90 across 1,486 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester City score 2.35 a game. bet365 list Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in Aston Villa vs Manchester City?

Ollie Watkins of Aston Villa. He has had a shot on target in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 1.81 per 90 across 794 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays. Aston Villa take 13.85 shots a game and hit 5.45 on target. bet365 have not put this market up for him, so the odds are still TBC.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Aston Villa vs Manchester City?

Rayan Cherki of Manchester City. He has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 3.63 per 90 across 1,190 minutes, and he averages 63 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester City take 18.2 shots a game and hit 6.25 on target. bet365 list Rayan Cherki 1+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Aston Villa vs Manchester City?

Elliot Anderson of Manchester City. He has been fouled 2 times or more in 7 of his last 10 matches, at 3.35 per 90 across 726 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays. Aston Villa commit 10.95 fouls a game. There is no price up for Elliot Anderson 2+ Fouls Drawn at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.

What Is the Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction?

Aston Villa are 18% to win, the draw 24% and Manchester City 58% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Over 2.5 Goals is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is Aston Villa vs Manchester City?

Saturday 24th October 2026, 12:30 UK time.

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