Como vs RB Leipzig Betting Tips, Bet Builder and Predictions

Andy Clark

Como vs RB Leipzig betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.

Serdar Gozubuyuk books 3.54 yellows a game, the lowest of the six referees appointed to this round. That is what makes the card line the widest gap on this fixture.

Champions League - Last 20 Games

Como vs RB Leipzig Team Stats

20:00Ref Gozubuyuk, Serdar - 3.54 YC

Como

  • W4-1at Genoa04 Sep
  • W2-1at Napoli30 Aug
  • D1-1at Udinese22 Aug
  • W4-1at Cremonese24 May
  • W1-0Parma17 May
  • W1-0at Hellas Verona10 May

RB Leipzig

  • L1-3at SV Werder Bremen05 Sep
  • W3-0Borussia M’gladbach29 Aug
  • W6-0at Eintracht Trier22 Aug
  • L1-4at SC Freiburg16 May
  • W2-1FC St. Pauli09 May
  • L1-4at Bayer 04 Leverkusen02 May

ComovRB Leipzig
WWDWWW
Recent form
LWWLWL
1.85
Goals scored per game
2.00
0.95
Goals conceded per game
1.40
60%
Both teams scored
70%
75%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
55%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
30%
Over 3.5 goals
45%

ComovRB Leipzig
14.8
Shots per game
16.15
5.0
Shots on target
6.35

ComovRB Leipzig
1.42
Expected goals for
1.86
0.82
Expected goals against
1.28
59.1
Possession %
56.65

ComovRB Leipzig
1.88
Home scored per game
2.33
1.00
Home conceded per game
1.00
1.83
Away scored per game
1.73
0.92
Away conceded per game
1.73

ComovRB Leipzig
5.45
Corners per game
5.55
3.35
First half corners
2.45

ComovRB Leipzig
11.5
Fouls per game
9.35
1.5
Own cards per game
1.65
3.45
Cards in match
3.05
0.6
First half cards
0.9
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Como vs RB Leipzig Betting Tips

Under 3.5 Cards — 6/5. Como’s matches averaged 3.45 cards and RB Leipzig’s 3.05, for 3.25 between them – the lowest pairing of Thursday’s card. Serdar Gozubuyuk books 3.54 a game, the lowest of the six officials appointed.

D. Raum 1+ Shots — 11/10. David Raum has had a shot in 4 of his last 6 for RB Leipzig, and has started all 3 of their matches this season. Our figure of 67% compares with the 48% implied by 11/10.

J. Ramon 1+ Fouls Drawn — 13/8. Jesus Ramon has been fouled in 3 of his last 6 for Como, starting all 3 this season. Our figure of 50% compares with the 38% implied by 13/8.

C. Lukeba 1+ Fouls Drawn — 4/5. Castello Lukeba has been fouled in 4 of his last 6 for RB Leipzig across both his starts this season. Our figure of 67% compares with the 56% implied by 4/5.

Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model

These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.

Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.

The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.

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