Bayern Munich vs Bodo/Glimt betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.
Bayern are 85.5% on the market and Bodo/Glimt take 7.53 corners a game – the highest count of any side in this round. Three of our four selections are on the goals and cards markets rather than the result.
Bayern Munich vs Bodo/Glimt
Bayern Munich
- D0-0at FC Schalke 0405 Sep
- W4-1at VfL Osnabrück02 Sep
- W5-1VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
- W3-0VfB Stuttgart23 May
- W5-11. FC Köln16 May
- W1-0at VfL Wolfsburg09 May
Bodo/Glimt
- W2-1at Fredrikstad FK04 Sep
- W4-2Rosenborg BK30 Aug
- W3-0NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
- W3-1at NEC Nijmegen19 Aug
- W2-1at Vålerenga IF08 Aug
- W4-0Lillestrøm SK31 Jul
Bayern Munich vs Bodo/Glimt Betting Tips
Under 4.5 Goals — Evens. Bayern Munich and Bodo/Glimt have seen 3.83 goals a game between them across their last 20, which puts fewer than five at about 62% against 50% raw and 47% once the margin is removed.
Over 2.5 Cards — 4/6. Bayern Munich’s matches averaged 3.47 cards and Bodo/Glimt’s 2.32, for 2.89 between them. Rade Obrenovic books 4.31 a game, which lifts the fixture to 3.60.
J. Stanisic 1+ Shots — 13/8. Josip Stanisic has had a shot in 3 of his last 6 for Bayern Munich. Our figure of 50% compares with the 38% implied by 13/8.
Where the Odds and the Stats Disagree
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge | Tip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Aleesami 1+ Shots | 9/4 | 50% | 31% | +19 | Tipped |
| Under 4.5 Goals | Evens | 62% | 50% | +12 | Tipped |
| J. Stanisic 1+ Shots | 13/8 | 50% | 38% | +12 | Tipped |
| Over 2.5 Cards | 4/6 | 70% | 60% | +10 | Tipped |
| A. Helmersen Anytime Goalscorer | 11/4 | 51% | 27% | +24 | — |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
Every market we priced at 4/6 or longer, including the ones we are not backing. A row without a tip is not a weaker suggestion – it is a market where our figure and the price agree, or where the price is better than ours. Shorter prices are in the bet builder legs below.
Potential Bet Builder Legs
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Helmersen 2+ Shots | 1/3 | 100% | 75% | +25 |
| S. Auklend 1+ Fouls Drawn | 1/5 | 100% | 83% | +17 |
| A. Pavlović 1+ Fouls Drawn | 4/9 | 83% | 69% | +14 |
| O. Didrik Blomberg 1+ Fouls Drawn | 1/3 | 83% | 75% | +8 |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
These are not tips. Every row is priced too short to back on its own – at 1/4 or 2/5 you are risking a lot to win a little, and a 100% record across six matches is not a guarantee of a seventh. They are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. None of them is in our record, because we are not recommending them.
Bayern Munich vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction
We are predicting 4-1 to Bayern Munich. The market makes them 85.5%, the draw 10.0% and Bodo/Glimt 4.5%. Norway sits at 38.6 on the UEFA coefficients against Germany’s 80.4.
We do not publish a match result view on this fixture. Our model reads corners, cards and shots well and results badly, and across this competition it sits an average of 11 points from the market even after adjusting for league strength.
More Champions League Tips and Predictions
Today
17:45VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FKChampions League8 tips20:00Barcelona vs FeyenoordChampions League8 tips20:00Paris Saint-Germain vs Slovan BratislavaChampions League8 tips20:00Sporting vs GalatasarayChampions League8 tips20:00Liverpool vs Atletico MadridChampions League9 tips20:00Napoli vs ArsenalChampions League6 tipsTomorrow
17:45Fenerbahce vs RomaChampions League12 tips17:45PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar DonetskChampions League6 tips20:00Manchester United vs Sabah FKChampions League8 tips20:00Bayern Munich vs Bodo/GlimtChampions League10 tips20:00Slavia Praha vs RC LensChampions League9 tips20:00Como vs RB LeipzigChampions League12 tipsClaim a free bet before kick-off:
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware.org
Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.