Bayern Munich vs Bodo/Glimt Betting Tips, 8/1 Bet Builder and Predictions

Andy Clark

Bayern Munich vs Bodo/Glimt betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.

Bayern are 85.5% on the market and Bodo/Glimt take 7.53 corners a game – the highest count of any side in this round. Three of our four selections are on the goals and cards markets rather than the result.

Champions League - Last 20 Games

Bayern Munich vs Bodo/Glimt Team Stats

20:00Ref Rade Obrenovič - 4.31 YC

Bayern Munich

  • D0-0at FC Schalke 0405 Sep
  • W4-1at VfL Osnabrück02 Sep
  • W5-1VfB Stuttgart28 Aug
  • W3-0VfB Stuttgart23 May
  • W5-11. FC Köln16 May
  • W1-0at VfL Wolfsburg09 May

Bodo/Glimt

  • W2-1at Fredrikstad FK04 Sep
  • W4-2Rosenborg BK30 Aug
  • W3-0NEC Nijmegen25 Aug
  • W3-1at NEC Nijmegen19 Aug
  • W2-1at Vålerenga IF08 Aug
  • W4-0Lillestrøm SK31 Jul

Bayern MunichvBodo/Glimt
DWWWWW
Recent form
WWWWDW
3.25
Goals scored per game
2.80
1.30
Goals conceded per game
0.75
70%
Both teams scored
45%
90%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
65%
Over 3.5 goals
50%

Bayern MunichvBodo/Glimt
19.89
Shots per game
18.05
8.05
Shots on target
6.95

Bayern MunichvBodo/Glimt
2.53
Expected goals for
2.05
1.38
Expected goals against
0.67
67.21
Possession %
62.16

Bayern MunichvBodo/Glimt
3.67
Home scored per game
3.00
1.33
Home conceded per game
0.55
2.91
Away scored per game
2.56
1.27
Away conceded per game
1.00

Bayern MunichvBodo/Glimt
6.79
Corners per game
7.53
2.84
First half corners
3.37

Bayern MunichvBodo/Glimt
9.32
Fouls per game
9.21
1.63
Own cards per game
0.47
3.47
Cards in match
2.32
1.26
First half cards
0.53
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Bayern Munich vs Bodo/Glimt Betting Tips

Under 4.5 Goals — Evens. Bayern Munich and Bodo/Glimt have seen 3.83 goals a game between them across their last 20, which puts fewer than five at about 62% against 50% raw and 47% once the margin is removed.

Over 2.5 Cards — 4/6. Bayern Munich’s matches averaged 3.47 cards and Bodo/Glimt’s 2.32, for 2.89 between them. Rade Obrenovic books 4.31 a game, which lifts the fixture to 3.60.

J. Stanisic 1+ Shots — 13/8. Josip Stanisic has had a shot in 3 of his last 6 for Bayern Munich. Our figure of 50% compares with the 38% implied by 13/8.

Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model

These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.

Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.

The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.

Bayern Munich vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction

We are predicting 3-1 to Bayern Munich. The market makes them 85.5%, the draw 10.0% and Bodo/Glimt 4.5%. Norway sits at 38.6 on the UEFA coefficients against Germany’s 80.4.

We do not publish a match result view on this fixture. Our model reads corners, cards and shots well and results badly, and across this competition it sits an average of 11 points from the market even after adjusting for league strength.

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