Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United Bet Builder Tips, Predictions and Best Bets

Andy Clark

Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Champions League fixture on Tuesday 13th October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Champions League - Last 20 Games

Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United Team Stats

20:00

Atlético MadridvManchester United
WWWWLL
Recent form
DDLWDW
1.65
Goals scored per game
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded per game
1.15
60%
Both teams scored
65%
85%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
70%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
30%
Over 3.5 goals
35%

Atlético MadridvManchester United
14.35
Shots per game
16.7
4.85
Shots on target
5.65

Atlético MadridvManchester United
1.64
Expected goals for
1.7
1.45
Expected goals against
1.32
52.2
Possession %
53.2

Atlético MadridvManchester United
5.55
Corners per game
5.7
2.25
First half corners
2.55

Atlético MadridvManchester United
11.6
Fouls per game
10.3
1.9
Own cards per game
1.9
3.5
Cards in match
3.8
1.3
First half cards
1.2

Atlético Madrid take 14.35 shots a game and hit 4.85 on target, against Manchester United’s 16.7 and 5.65. Atlético Madrid commit 11.6 fouls a game to Manchester United’s 10.3, with 3.5 and 3.8 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Atlético Madrid 50%, the draw 25% and Manchester United 26%. 4 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United Bet Builder Tip

1Matheus Cunha 2+ Foul Committed5 of his last 10, 1.41 per 90
Why this Leg

Matheus Cunha has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 1.41 per 90 across 1,527 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.

Atlético Madrid hold 52.2% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.

2Alejandro Grimaldo 2+ Shots5 of his last 8, 1.78 per 90
Why this Leg

Alejandro Grimaldo has had 2 or more shots in 5 of his last 8 for Atlético Madrid, at 1.78 per 90 across 656 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

Atlético Madrid take 14.35 shots a game and hit 4.85 on target. That is about 62% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.

3Luke Shaw to be Carded5 of his last 10, 0.43 per 90
Why this Leg

Luke Shaw has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.43 per 90 across 1,475 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

Manchester United pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.8 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.

4Lisandro Martínez 1+ Shots5 of his last 10, 0.75 per 90
Why this Leg

Lisandro Martínez has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.75 per 90 across 956 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

Manchester United take 16.7 shots a game and hit 5.65 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.

bet365Add 4-Leg Build to Betslip

What Is the Best Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United Bet Builder?

Matheus Cunha 2+ Foul Committed, Alejandro Grimaldo 2+ Shots, Luke Shaw to be Carded and Lisandro Martínez 1+ Shots, around 33/1 to 38/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.

Matheus Cunha has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 matches at 1.41 per 90, and Atlético Madrid hold 52.2% of the ball — 50% on our numbers against an implied 36%.

Alejandro Grimaldo has had 2 or more shots in 5 of his last 8 matches at 1.78 per 90, and Atlético Madrid take 14.35 shots a game — 62% on our numbers against an implied 50%.

Luke Shaw has been booked in 5 of his last 10 matches at 0.43 per 90, and Manchester United pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.8 in their matches — 50% on our numbers against an implied 38%.

Lisandro Martínez has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 matches at 0.75 per 90, and Manchester United take 16.7 shots a game — 50% on our numbers against an implied 40%.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Build Your Own Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United Bet Builder from Our Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    Harry Maguire 1+ ShotsAdd to slip11/10Harry Maguire has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.97 per 90 across 1,491 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester United take 16.7 shots a game and hit 5.65 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 48% implied by 11/10.
  2. 02
    Alejandro Grimaldo 2+ ShotsAdd to slipEvensAlejandro Grimaldo has had 2 or more shots in 5 of his last 8 for Atlético Madrid, at 1.78 per 90 across 656 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Atlético Madrid take 14.35 shots a game and hit 4.85 on target. That is about 62% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
  3. 03
    Kobbie Mainoo 1+ ShotsAdd to slip4/5Kobbie Mainoo has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.74 per 90 across 1,577 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester United take 16.7 shots a game and hit 5.65 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.
  4. 04
    Lisandro Martínez 1+ ShotsAdd to slip6/4Lisandro Martínez has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.75 per 90 across 956 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester United take 16.7 shots a game and hit 5.65 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.
  5. 05
    Amad Diallo 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip6/5Amad Diallo has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 1.29 per 90 across 840 minutes, and he averages 60 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester United take 16.7 shots a game and hit 5.65 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 45% implied by 6/5.
  6. 06
    Cristian Romero 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip6/4Cristian Romero has had a shot on target in 3 of his last 6 for Atlético Madrid, at 0.61 per 90 across 445 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Atlético Madrid take 14.35 shots a game and hit 4.85 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.
  7. 07
    Matheus Cunha 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip7/4Matheus Cunha has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 1.41 per 90 across 1,527 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.Atlético Madrid hold 52.2% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
  8. 08
    Harry Maguire 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip9/4Harry Maguire has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.97 per 90 across 1,491 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Atlético Madrid hold 52.2% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.
  9. 09
    Luke Shaw to be CardedAdd to slip13/8Luke Shaw has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.43 per 90 across 1,475 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester United pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.8 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.
  10. 10
    Over 9.5 CornersAdd to slip5/6Atlético Madrid win 5.55 corners a game and Manchester United 5.7, with 2.25 and 2.55 of those in the first half.That leaves about 11 in the match, a 69% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.
  11. 11
    Atlético Madrid to WinAdd to slip10/11Atlético Madrid come in on W W W W L L, and at home they have scored 1.78 a game and conceded 1.00 across 9 matches. They have won 10 of their last 20 overall, drawing 2.Manchester United average 1.80 scored and 1.15 conceded. The venue splits project 1.91 against 1.57, which puts Atlético Madrid at about 48% to win, against 22% for the draw.
  12. 12
    Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip4/9Both teams have scored in 12 of Atlético Madrid's last 20 matches and 13 of Manchester United's. Atlético Madrid concede 1.40 a game and Manchester United 1.15.On the venue splits the projection is 1.91 against 1.57, which puts both teams scoring at about 65%.
  13. 13
    Over 2.5 GoalsAdd to slip1/2Atlético Madrid have gone past 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 20 matches and Manchester United in 60%, with 85% and 80% going past 1.5.Atlético Madrid average 1.65 scored and 1.40 conceded, Manchester United 1.80 and 1.15. On the venue splits that projects 1.91 against 1.57, about 3.5 goals in the match and 66% for over 2.5.
  14. 14
    Correct Score 2-1Add to slip8/1On the venue splits this projects Atlético Madrid 1.91 against Manchester United 1.57, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.4%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Atlético Madrid, which is where the board has the match too.
  15. 15
    Atlético Madrid to Win and Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip21/10Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Atlético Madrid to win is about 48% and both teams scoring about 65%. Atlético Madrid score 1.65 a game and concede 1.40, and Manchester United have scored in 13 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 21/10.

Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten matches beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United Bet Builder?

Matheus Cunha 2+ Foul Committed, Alejandro Grimaldo 2+ Shots, Luke Shaw to be Carded and Lisandro Martínez 1+ Shots, at around 33/1 to 38/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. Kobbie Mainoo 1+ Shots, which we make 60% against 56% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.

What Is an Attacking Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United Bet Builder?

For a builder built on attacking output rather than the fouls markets our main tip leans on: Harry Maguire 1+ Shots, Amad Diallo 1+ Shot on Target and Alejandro Grimaldo 2+ Shots, around 8/1 combined with bet365. We make them Maguire 70%, Diallo 70%, Grimaldo 62%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?

Bryan Mbeumo of Manchester United. He has had a shot on target in 9 of his last 10 matches, at 0.71 per 90 across 1,513 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester United take 16.7 shots a game and hit 5.65 on target. bet365 list Bryan Mbeumo 1+ Shot on Target, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?

Kang-in Lee of Atlético Madrid. He has been fouled in 7 of his last 9 matches, at 1.76 per 90 across 561 minutes, and he averages 62 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester United commit 10.3 fouls a game. There is no price up for Kang-in Lee 1+ Fouls Drawn at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?

Matheus Cunha of Manchester United. He has had 2 or more shots in 9 of his last 10 matches, at 2.71 per 90 across 1,527 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester United take 16.7 shots a game and hit 5.65 on target. bet365 list Matheus Cunha 2+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?

Robin Le Normand of Atlético Madrid. He has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 1.81 per 90 across 895 minutes, and he averages 60 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester United hold 53.2% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 list Robin Le Normand 1+ Foul Committed, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?

Casemiro of Manchester United. He has made 3 or more tackles in 6 of his last 10 matches, at 3.53 per 90 across 943 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays. Atlético Madrid hold 52.2% of the ball, and Manchester United commit 10.3 fouls a game. There is no price up for Casemiro 3+ Tackles at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.

What Is the Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United Prediction?

Atlético Madrid are 50% to win, the draw 25% and Manchester United 26% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Over 2.5 Goals is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?

Tuesday 13th October 2026, 20:00 UK time.

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