Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain Bet Builder Tips, Predictions and Best Bets

Andy Clark

Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Champions League fixture on Wednesday 14th October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Champions League - Last 20 Games

Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain Team Stats

20:00

Manchester CityvParis Saint-Germain
WWWWWW
Recent form
WWWWLD
2.00
Goals scored per game
2.05
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.10
50%
Both teams scored
60%
80%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
65%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
20%
Over 3.5 goals
30%

Manchester CityvParis Saint-Germain
17.2
Shots per game
19.2
5.95
Shots on target
6.55

Manchester CityvParis Saint-Germain
1.92
Expected goals for
2.1
1.4
Expected goals against
1.18
63.05
Possession %
64.75

Manchester CityvParis Saint-Germain
7.95
Corners per game
6.4
3.7
First half corners
3.15

Manchester CityvParis Saint-Germain
9.8
Fouls per game
7.9
1.5
Own cards per game
1.45
3.35
Cards in match
3.1
0.8
First half cards
0.9

Manchester City take 17.2 shots a game and hit 5.95 on target, against Paris Saint-Germain’s 19.2 and 6.55. Manchester City commit 9.8 fouls a game to Paris Saint-Germain’s 7.9, with 3.35 and 3.1 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Manchester City 43%, the draw 24% and Paris Saint-Germain 33%. 4 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain Bet Builder Tip

1Abdukodir Khusanov 1+ Shots5 of his last 10, 0.56 per 90
Why this Leg

Abdukodir Khusanov has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 0.56 per 90 across 1,134 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

Manchester City take 17.2 shots a game and hit 5.95 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.

2Rúben Dias 2+ Foul Committed4 of his last 10, 1.13 per 90
Why this Leg

Rúben Dias has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.13 per 90 across 1,035 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.

Paris Saint-Germain hold 64.75% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

3Erling Haaland 3+ Shot on Target4 of his last 10, 1.89 per 90
Why this Leg

Erling Haaland has had 3 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.89 per 90 across 1,478 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

Manchester City take 17.2 shots a game and hit 5.95 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

4Marc Guéhi 1+ Foul Committed6 of his last 10, 0.76 per 90
Why this Leg

Marc Guéhi has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 0.76 per 90 across 1,665 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

Paris Saint-Germain hold 64.75% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

bet365Add 4-Leg Build to Betslip

What Is the Best Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain Bet Builder?

Abdukodir Khusanov 1+ Shots, Rúben Dias 2+ Foul Committed, Erling Haaland 3+ Shot on Target and Marc Guéhi 1+ Foul Committed, around 76/1 to 90/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.

Abdukodir Khusanov has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 matches at 0.56 per 90, and Manchester City take 17.2 shots a game — 50% on our numbers against an implied 31%.

Rúben Dias has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 matches at 1.13 per 90, and Paris Saint-Germain hold 64.75% of the ball — 40% on our numbers against an implied 25%.

Erling Haaland has had 3 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 matches at 1.89 per 90, and Manchester City take 17.2 shots a game — 40% on our numbers against an implied 27%.

Marc Guéhi has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 matches at 0.76 per 90, and Paris Saint-Germain hold 64.75% of the ball — 60% on our numbers against an implied 58%.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Build Your Own Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain Bet Builder from Our Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    Abdukodir Khusanov 1+ ShotsAdd to slip9/4Abdukodir Khusanov has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 0.56 per 90 across 1,134 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City take 17.2 shots a game and hit 5.95 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.
  2. 02
    Erling Haaland 3+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip11/4Erling Haaland has had 3 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.89 per 90 across 1,478 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City take 17.2 shots a game and hit 5.95 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
  3. 03
    Marc Guéhi 1+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip8/11Marc Guéhi has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 0.76 per 90 across 1,665 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Paris Saint-Germain hold 64.75% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
  4. 04
    Rúben Dias 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip3/1Rúben Dias has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.13 per 90 across 1,035 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.Paris Saint-Germain hold 64.75% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
  5. 05
    Erling Haaland Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip4/5Erling Haaland has scored in 9 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 0.85 per 90 across 1,478 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City score 2.00 a game. That is about 90% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.
  6. 06
    Marquinhos to be CardedAdd to slip5/1Marquinhos has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Paris Saint-Germain, at 0.23 per 90 across 1,185 minutes, and he averages 91 minutes a game when he plays.Paris Saint-Germain pick up 1.45 cards a game and there are 3.1 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 17% implied by 5/1.
  7. 07
    Nuno Mendes to be CardedAdd to slip3/1Nuno Mendes has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Paris Saint-Germain, at 0.38 per 90 across 705 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.Paris Saint-Germain pick up 1.45 cards a game and there are 3.1 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
  8. 08
    Manchester City to WinAdd to slip23/20Manchester City come in on W W W W W W, and at home they have scored 2.22 a game and conceded 1.22 across 9 matches. They have won 13 of their last 20 overall, drawing 4.Paris Saint-Germain average 2.05 scored and 1.10 conceded. The venue splits project 2.04 against 1.55, which puts Manchester City at about 46% to win, against 21% for the draw.
  9. 09
    Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip2/5Both teams have scored in 10 of Manchester City's last 20 matches and 12 of Paris Saint-Germain's. Manchester City concede 1.00 a game and Paris Saint-Germain 1.10.On the venue splits the projection is 2.04 against 1.55, which puts both teams scoring at about 62%.
  10. 10
    Over 2.5 GoalsAdd to slip4/9Manchester City have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Paris Saint-Germain in 60%, with 80% and 85% going past 1.5.Manchester City average 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, Paris Saint-Germain 2.05 and 1.10. On the venue splits that projects 2.04 against 1.55, about 3.6 goals in the match and 66% for over 2.5.
  11. 11
    Correct Score 2-1Add to slip17/2On the venue splits this projects Manchester City 2.04 against Paris Saint-Germain 1.55, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.2%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Manchester City, which is where the board has the match too.
  12. 12
    Manchester City to Win and Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip12/5Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Manchester City to win is about 46% and both teams scoring about 62%. Manchester City score 2.00 a game and concede 1.00, and Paris Saint-Germain have scored in 12 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 12/5.

Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten matches beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Get Free Bets from a Bookies Sign-up Offer for Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain

Use one of these bookies welcome offers below to get free bets when you bet on Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain, or any of the Champions League matches this week. These are all new customer offers so if you haven’t opened a betting account with them before, you will qualify for the free bets.

Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain Bet Builder?

Abdukodir Khusanov 1+ Shots, Rúben Dias 2+ Foul Committed, Erling Haaland 3+ Shot on Target and Marc Guéhi 1+ Foul Committed, at around 76/1 to 90/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer, which we make 90% against 56% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.

What Is an Attacking Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain Bet Builder?

For a builder built on attacking output rather than the fouls markets our main tip leans on: Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer, Enzo Fernández 1+ Shot on Target and Achraf Hakimi 1+ Shot on Target, around 11/2 combined with bet365. We make them Haaland 90%, Fernández 80%, Hakimi 50%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Is There a Shorter-priced Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain Bet Builder?

For something shorter, all three of these are odds-on and all three are ones our numbers make likelier than the price suggests: Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer, Enzo Fernández 1+ Shot on Target and Marc Guéhi 1+ Foul Committed, around 9/2 combined with bet365. We make them Haaland 90%, Fernández 80%, Guéhi 60%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Erling Haaland of Manchester City. He has had a shot on target in 10 of his last 10 matches, at 1.89 per 90 across 1,478 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester City take 17.2 shots a game and hit 5.95 on target. bet365 list Erling Haaland 1+ Shot on Target, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Nico O’Reilly of Manchester City. He has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 matches, at 1.8 per 90 across 1,001 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays. Paris Saint-Germain hold 64.75% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 list Nico O’Reilly 1+ Foul Committed, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain?

João Neves of Paris Saint-Germain. He has been fouled in 7 of his last 10 matches, at 1.69 per 90 across 1,120 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester City commit 9.8 fouls a game. bet365 have not put this market up for him, so the odds are still TBC.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Bernardo Silva of Manchester City. He has made a tackle in 7 of his last 10 matches, at 2.4 per 90 across 977 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays. Paris Saint-Germain hold 64.75% of the ball, and Manchester City commit 9.8 fouls a game. bet365 have not listed Bernardo Silva 1+ Tackles yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Ousmane Dembélé of Paris Saint-Germain. He has had 3 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 matches, at 5.65 per 90 across 955 minutes, and he averages 60 minutes a game when he plays. Paris Saint-Germain take 19.2 shots a game and hit 6.55 on target. bet365 list Ousmane Dembélé 3+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

What Is the Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction?

Manchester City are 43% to win, the draw 24% and Paris Saint-Germain 33% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Manchester City to Win is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Wednesday 14th October 2026, 20:00 UK time.

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