Last Updated on 20/02/2026 by Andy Clark
Chelsea v Burnley Predictions, Betting Tips and Bet Builder – Premier League Match Preview
Chelsea welcome Burnley to Stamford Bridge on Saturday afternoon as the Blues look to continue their push for a top-four finish in the Premier League. Below you will find our Chelsea vs Burnley betting tips, match predictions and a bet builder for Saturday’s 3pm kick-off.
Key Betting Stats – Chelsea v Burnley
- Chelsea have scored at least two goals in each of their last five Premier League matches
- Chelsea have scored in 17 consecutive home matches in the Premier League
- Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 12 meetings with Burnley across all competitions, winning nine of them
- Burnley have conceded goals in 13 consecutive away matches in the Premier League this season
- Burnley have conceded a league-high 51 Premier League goals this season, the most in the division
- Cole Palmer has scored in each of his last six Premier League starts, netting four goals in his last two
Chelsea Form and Match Preview
Chelsea are in fifth place in the Premier League with 44 points, having won 12, drawn eight and lost six of their 26 league matches. Under new manager Liam Rosenior, who took charge in January, the Blues have been finding their form at just the right time, scoring 13 goals in four league wins from their last five Premier League outings.
The mood around the club is positive after a thumping 4-0 FA Cup win at Hull City last Friday, with Pedro Neto helping himself to a hat-trick. Chelsea will be without Marc Cucurella, Levi Colwill and Jamie Bynoe-Gittens through injury, but they have more than enough quality available to deal with a Burnley side fighting at the bottom of the table. With a top-four place very much in their sights, there is every incentive for Chelsea to put in a big performance on home soil this afternoon.
Burnley Form and Match Preview
Burnley are in serious trouble, sitting 19th in the Premier League with just 18 points from 26 matches, nine points adrift of safety. Scott Parker’s side have won just twice in their last 19 Premier League matches and have the worst defensive record in the division, having shipped 51 goals.
Their week took a further blow when they were knocked out of the FA Cup at home by League One side Mansfield Town, losing 2-1 despite leading. That follows on from a 2-0 league defeat to West Ham, making it a difficult run of results for Parker. On the road, Burnley have managed just one win in their last eight away games and have conceded in 13 consecutive Premier League away matches. The only bright spot recently was a spirited 3-2 comeback win at Crystal Palace in the league, but trips to top-half sides away from home represent a very different challenge. Chelsea at Stamford Bridge on a Saturday afternoon is about as tough as it gets.
Chelsea vs Burnley Bet Builder Tip
Chelsea v Burnley Betting Tips and Best Bets
- Cole Palmer to score anytime (19/20)
- Enzo Fernandez to have over 0.5 shots on target (4/9)
- Florentino to be booked (11/4)
Best Bet Builder Tip – Cole Palmer to Score Anytime
Palmer has scored four goals in his last two matches. His goal against Leeds came from two shots on target; he also missed an absolute sitter in that game, putting the ball over the crossbar from five yards out. Before that, he scored a hat-trick against Wolves in the first half, including two penalties. He’s scored in each of his last six starts in the Premier League.
The wider season stats paint an equally impressive picture. According to Footystats, Palmer has scored eight Premier League goals in just 15 appearances this season, averaging 0.72 goals per 90 minutes. He has also taken 34 shots in those 15 league matches, with 15 of them on target – a rate of over two shots on target per game when you account for his minutes played. He made history against Wolves, becoming the first player to score three separate first-half hat-tricks in top-flight league history. At 19/20, scoring anytime against the division’s leakiest defence feels like outstanding value, and this is our standout selection of the bet builder.
Enzo Fernandez to Have Over 0.5 Shots on Target (4/9)
Fernandez has had exactly one shot on target in each of his last six starts, scoring three times in that run. He averages 0.9 shots on target per match this season.
While 4/9 is a short price, this is the kind of selection that makes a bet builder work. Fernandez has been remarkably consistent in getting at least one effort on target, managing it in every single one of his last six starts. He has also been contributing directly to goals, scoring three times in that run, which shows he is arriving in dangerous positions regularly. With Chelsea expected to dominate possession against a Burnley side likely to sit deep, Fernandez will have ample opportunity to get forward and test the keeper. This selection is all about building the bet builder on a rock-solid foundation before the bigger-priced picks are added.
Florentino to Be Booked (11/4)
Burnley’s midfielder has been carded in each of his last two starts, against Mansfield in the cup and in the 2-0 loss to West Ham in the league. He will be in for a busy afternoon at Stamford Bridge, with Burnley expected to be on the back foot for large parts of the match. He has made at least one foul in all but one of his Premier League starts this season.
The context here makes this selection particularly easy to bet on. Burnley will almost certainly spend large periods of this match without the ball, leaving Florentino to do a significant amount of defensive work in the middle of the park. Chelsea’s technical midfielders and attacking runners are the kind of players who draw fouls, and with Florentino arriving in this game having been booked in back-to-back matches, there is every chance the referee will be keeping a close eye on him. At 11/4, this looks a strong value addition to round off the bet builder.
Chelsea v Burnley Predictions Summary
To summarise our Chelsea vs Burnley betting tips and predictions for Saturday’s Premier League clash:
Cole Palmer is our best bet, with the England international in the form of his life and facing the Premier League’s leakiest defence at Stamford Bridge. Our bet builder combines his anytime scorer selection with Enzo Fernandez having over 0.5 shots on target and Florentino to be booked.
Chelsea have scored in 17 consecutive home league matches and are unbeaten in their last 12 meetings with Burnley. With the Clarets having conceded in 13 straight away games and shipping 51 goals this season, this looks a very favourable afternoon for the Blues and for our selections.
How to Get a Free Bet for Chelsea vs Burnley
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More from Thatsagoal in February
As well as our Premier League predictions for all the upcoming fixtures, we also have you covered for bet builder tips ahead of the weekend action. We will pick out the best bets for each match and add them to a bet builder. Once you have picked out your football tips, you will need some free bets to use and there are plenty available at the moment, including the Midnite welcome offer and BetGoodwin’s welcome bonus for new customers.
If you have used all the well-known bookmakers before, then look through the list of new UK bookies who also have sign-up bonuses.
If horse racing is more your thing, our Cheltenham 2026 tips are in full swing with predictions already made for most of the 28 races. Cheltenham free bets are starting to emerge as well, and there is a quick list of offers below, which you should start signing up for and saving the free bets for Cheltenham week, starting Tuesday, 10th March.
Midnite £30 Cheltenham sign-up offer.
BetGoodwin £10 Cheltenham sign-up offer.
bet365 £30 Cheltenham sign-up offer.
BetVictor £30 Cheltenham sign-up offer.
Jake has been on the thatsagoal.com team for over 5 years, and he is the person responsible for the bet builders across the Premier League and Champions League. His background in journalism means the articles are perfectly written, and each prediction is explained with stats and reasoning to back them up. There have been countless winners from Jake, including a 66/1 win in the FA Cup final when Manchester City were beaten by Crystal Palace.
