Bodø/Glimt arrive in Nijmegen on six straight wins, with sixteen victories from their last twenty and a defensive record that reads two goals conceded in ten home matches. NEC have gone the other way entirely: both teams have scored in eighteen of their last twenty, and the Dutch side have failed to score in none of them.
That gives one of the widest splits we have seen on a single market. Both teams to score has landed 90% of the time for NEC and 30% for Bodø/Glimt, and the two records are almost mirror images.
Our model makes Bodø/Glimt 45% to win, NEC 32% and the draw 23%, after adjusting the Norwegian side’s figures down for the gap between the two leagues. They are favourites despite that adjustment, which is unusual — their underlying numbers are strong enough to absorb it.
One number worth a second look. Referee François Letexier averages 3.99 yellow cards and 0.28 reds a game across 285 career matches, and that red rate is roughly one every three and a half games. Both these sides are disciplined in their own leagues, so the card markets come down to which figure you trust.
Full comparison and the ranked selections are below.
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodø/Glimt Free Bets and Betting Offers
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
