NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt Team Stats
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NEC Nijmegen vs Bodø/Glimt Prediction
We are predicting a 1-2 Bodø/Glimt win. Our model gives the visitors 45%, NEC 32% and the draw 23%, from expected goals of 1.72 to 2.04. Both teams to score sits at 73% and over 2.5 goals at the same figure.
Bodø/Glimt arrive on six straight wins with sixteen victories from their last twenty. Their home record reads 34 goals scored and two conceded in ten matches, and they have kept twelve clean sheets across the twenty.
They are favourites despite the league adjustment running against them. The Netherlands carries a UEFA coefficient of 31.500 to Norway’s 19.625, a damped factor of 1.27 — and their underlying numbers are strong enough to absorb it, which is not something we have seen before.
NEC are the opposite profile entirely. Both sides have scored in eighteen of their last twenty and the Dutch club have failed to score in none of them, but they have kept only two clean sheets.
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodø/Glimt Betting Tips
1. Both Teams to Score. This has landed in 18 of NEC’s last 20 matches. They have failed to score in none of their last twenty, and Bodø/Glimt have scored in every match of their six-game winning run.
2. Over 2.5 Goals. Fourteen of NEC’s last 20 have cleared it. Bodø/Glimt average 2.75 goals a game and NEC concede 1.45, so the goals should come from both directions rather than one.
3. Bodø/Glimt to Win. Sixteen wins in twenty, six in a row, and an expected goals figure of 2.36 for against 0.87 against — the best defensive number in any fixture we have covered. The market will not offer much, but the underlying case is strong.
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodø/Glimt Stats
| Market | NEC Nijmegen | Bodø/Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per game | 2.05 | 2.75 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.45 | 0.65 |
| Home scored / conceded | 1.91 / 1.55 | 3.40 / 0.20 |
| Away scored / conceded | 2.22 / 1.33 | 2.10 / 1.10 |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 2 of 20 | 12 of 20 |
| Expected goals for | 1.90 | 2.36 |
| Expected goals against | 1.34 | 0.87 |
| Corners per game | 6.65 | 7.50 |
| Cards in match | 3.20 | 1.95 |
Figures cover each side’s last 20 league matches.
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodø/Glimt Key Stats
- 34 scored and 2 conceded in 10 home matches for Bodø/Glimt, a defensive record without equal in our data
- 12 clean sheets in 20 for Bodø/Glimt, against 2 for NEC
- 18 of NEC’s last 20 have seen both teams score, against 6 of Bodø/Glimt’s
- 20 of NEC’s last 20 have gone over 1.5 goals
- 16 wins in 20 for Bodø/Glimt, including their last six in a row
- 0.87 expected goals against per game for Bodø/Glimt, the best figure in any fixture we have covered
- 3.99 yellow cards a game for referee François Letexier, with a red card rate of 0.28 — roughly one every three and a half matches
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodø/Glimt Team News
NEC are without Sami Ouaissa, Philippe Sandler, Yassin Moslih, Koki Ogawa and Freek Entius, five absentees with most due back in September.
Bodø/Glimt are missing nine. Håkon Evjen, August Mikkelsen, Ulrik Saltnes, Daniel Bassi, Magnus Riisnæs and Sondre Fet are all injured, and Patrick Berg, Jens Petter Hauge and Fredrik André Bjørkan are suspended. Three suspensions in one squad is unusual for a side collecting only 0.40 cards a game, and they are almost certainly European bans carried over from an earlier qualifying round.
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodø/Glimt Corners and Cards
Bodø/Glimt take 7.50 corners a game to NEC’s 6.65, with 3.55 and 3.15 of those in the first half. A combined 14 a match makes the corners line worth a look.
Cards are the reverse. Bodø/Glimt collect 0.40 a game, the lowest figure of any side in our data, and their matches produce 1.95 across both teams against NEC’s 3.20. Referee François Letexier averages 3.99, so the fixture and the official disagree sharply here. His red card rate of 0.28 is double that of any other referee we have logged, which is the one card market worth a price.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.