Slavia Praha vs Lens betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.
The two sides take 13.95 corners a game between them, the highest pairing of Thursday’s card. The market makes it 37.9% Slavia and 35.1% Lens, the second closest tie of the round.
Slavia Praha vs RC Lens
Slavia Praha
- W4-0FC Zbrojovka Brno05 Sep
- W3-0at AC Sparta Praha30 Aug
- D2-2Bohemians Praha 190522 Aug
- D1-1at FC Slovan Liberec16 Aug
- W2-1FK Pardubice09 Aug
- W4-0at Baník Ostrava01 Aug
RC Lens
- L0-1Lorient05 Sep
- L1-2at RC Strasbourg29 Aug
- W5-2Auxerre22 Aug
- W1-0Paris Saint-Germain16 Aug
- W3-1Nice22 May
- W4-0at Olympique Lyonnais17 May
Slavia Praha vs Lens Betting Tips
Over 2.5 Goals — 4/5. Slavia Praha and RC Lens have seen 3.10 goals a game between them across their last 20, which puts three or more at about 67% against 56% raw and 53% once the margin is removed.
Under 4.5 Cards — 8/11. Slavia Praha’s matches averaged 3.45 cards and RC Lens’ 3.50, for 3.48 between them. Vassilis Fotias books 4.81 a game, which lifts the fixture to 4.14.
D. Zima 1+ Fouls Drawn — 4/5. David Zima has been fouled in 4 of his last 6 for Slavia Praha, and has started all 6 of their matches this season – the most complete starting record of any selection in this round.
Where the Odds and the Stats Disagree
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge | Tip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 4/5 | 67% | 56% | +11 | Tipped |
| D. Zima 1+ Fouls Drawn | 4/5 | 67% | 56% | +11 | Tipped |
| Under 4.5 Cards | 8/11 | 60% | 58% | +2 | Tipped |
| F. Thauvin Anytime Goalscorer | 2/1 | 53% | 33% | +20 | — |
| M. Chytil Anytime Goalscorer | 2/1 | 50% | 33% | +17 | — |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
Every market we priced at 4/6 or longer, including the ones we are not backing. A row without a tip is not a weaker suggestion – it is a market where our figure and the price agree, or where the price is better than ours. Shorter prices are in the bet builder legs below.
Potential Bet Builder Legs
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
These are not tips. Every row is priced too short to back on its own – at 1/4 or 2/5 you are risking a lot to win a little, and a 100% record across six matches is not a guarantee of a seventh. They are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. None of them is in our record, because we are not recommending them.
Slavia Praha vs Lens Prediction
We are predicting 2-1 to Slavia Praha. The market makes it 37.9% Slavia, 27.1% the draw and 35.1% Lens.
We do not publish a match result view on this fixture. Our model reads corners, cards and shots well and results badly, and across this competition it sits an average of 11 points from the market even after adjusting for league strength.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.