Millwall vs Lincoln City Bet Builder Tips, Predictions and Best Bets

Andy Clark

Millwall vs Lincoln City bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Championship fixture on Saturday 17th October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Championship - Last 20 Games

Millwall vs Lincoln City Team Stats

12:30

MillwallvLincoln City
LWDDLW
Recent form
LLLWWD
1.40
Goals scored per game
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded per game
1.35
45%
Both teams scored
50%
80%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
30%
Over 3.5 goals
30%

MillwallvLincoln City
13.85
Shots per game
12.9
4.1
Shots on target
3.85

MillwallvLincoln City
1.59
Expected goals for
1.51
1.4
Expected goals against
1.18
48.15
Possession %
38.95

MillwallvLincoln City
5.85
Corners per game
4.45
3.05
First half corners
2.4

MillwallvLincoln City
12.0
Fouls per game
12.75
1.6
Own cards per game
2.05
3.35
Cards in match
3.9
1.6
First half cards
1.45
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Millwall take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.1 on target, against Lincoln City’s 12.9 and 3.85. Millwall commit 12.0 fouls a game to Lincoln City’s 12.75, with 3.35 and 3.9 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Millwall 56%, the draw 25% and Lincoln City 20%. 4 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Millwall vs Lincoln City Bet Builder Tip

1Jenson Metcalfe to be Carded4 of his last 10, 0.47 per 90
Why this Leg

Jenson Metcalfe has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.47 per 90 across 772 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.

Millwall pick up 1.6 cards a game and there are 3.35 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

2Ryan Leonard 1+ Shots4 of his last 6, 1.05 per 90
Why this Leg

Ryan Leonard has had a shot in 4 of his last 6 for Millwall, at 1.05 per 90 across 516 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.

Millwall take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.1 on target. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

3Freddie Draper to be Carded4 of his last 10, 0.56 per 90
Why this Leg

Freddie Draper has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Lincoln City, at 0.56 per 90 across 648 minutes, and he averages 65 minutes a game when he plays.

Lincoln City pick up 2.05 cards a game and there are 3.9 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.

4Camiel Neghli 1+ Shot on Target6 of his last 10, 0.67 per 90
Why this Leg

Camiel Neghli has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.67 per 90 across 1,749 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

Millwall take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.1 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

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What Is the Best Millwall vs Lincoln City Bet Builder?

Jenson Metcalfe to be Carded, Ryan Leonard 1+ Shots, Freddie Draper to be Carded and Camiel Neghli 1+ Shot on Target, around 33/1 to 39/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.

Jenson Metcalfe has been booked in 4 of his last 10 matches at 0.47 per 90, and Millwall pick up 1.6 cards a game and there are 3.35 in their matches — 40% on our numbers against an implied 27%.

Ryan Leonard has had a shot in 4 of his last 6 matches at 1.05 per 90, and Millwall take 13.85 shots a game — 67% on our numbers against an implied 58%.

Freddie Draper has been booked in 4 of his last 10 matches at 0.56 per 90, and Lincoln City pick up 2.05 cards a game and there are 3.9 in their matches — 40% on our numbers against an implied 32%.

Camiel Neghli has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 matches at 0.67 per 90, and Millwall take 13.85 shots a game — 60% on our numbers against an implied 55%.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Build Your Own Millwall vs Lincoln City Bet Builder from Our Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    Ryan Leonard 1+ ShotsAdd to slip8/11Ryan Leonard has had a shot in 4 of his last 6 for Millwall, at 1.05 per 90 across 516 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.1 on target. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
  2. 02
    Casper De Norre 1+ ShotsAdd to slip8/11Casper De Norre has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.94 per 90 across 954 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.1 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
  3. 03
    Derek Mazou-Sacko 1+ ShotsAdd to slip8/11Derek Mazou-Sacko has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.81 per 90 across 1,000 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.1 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
  4. 04
    Camiel Neghli 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip5/6Camiel Neghli has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.67 per 90 across 1,749 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.1 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
  5. 05
    Jenson Metcalfe 1+ Foul Committedbet365TBCJenson Metcalfe has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 2.68 per 90 across 772 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.Lincoln City hold 38.95% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
  6. 06
    Jenson Metcalfe to be CardedAdd to slip11/4Jenson Metcalfe has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.47 per 90 across 772 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall pick up 1.6 cards a game and there are 3.35 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
  7. 07
    Freddie Draper to be CardedAdd to slip21/10Freddie Draper has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Lincoln City, at 0.56 per 90 across 648 minutes, and he averages 65 minutes a game when he plays.Lincoln City pick up 2.05 cards a game and there are 3.9 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.
  8. 08
    Millwall to WinAdd to slip4/6Millwall have won 8 of their last 20, drawing 6, and at home they have scored 1.56 a game and conceded 1.11 across 9 matches.Lincoln City average 1.50 scored and 1.35 conceded. The venue splits project 1.41 against 1.21, which puts Millwall at about 49% to win, against 26% for the draw.
  9. 09
    Correct Score 1-0Add to slip13/2On the venue splits this projects Millwall 1.41 against Lincoln City 1.21, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.0%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Millwall, which is where the board has the match too.
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Millwall vs Lincoln City Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten matches beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Millwall vs Lincoln City Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Millwall vs Lincoln City Bet Builder?

Jenson Metcalfe to be Carded, Ryan Leonard 1+ Shots, Freddie Draper to be Carded and Camiel Neghli 1+ Shot on Target, at around 33/1 to 39/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. Casper De Norre 1+ Shots, which we make 60% against 58% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.

What Is an Attacking Millwall vs Lincoln City Bet Builder?

For a builder built on attacking output rather than the fouls markets our main tip leans on: Ryan Leonard 1+ Shots, Casper De Norre 1+ Shots and Derek Mazou-Sacko 1+ Shots, around 4/1 combined with bet365. We make them Leonard 67%, Norre 60%, Sacko 60%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Is There a Shorter-priced Millwall vs Lincoln City Bet Builder?

For something shorter, all three of these are odds-on and all three are ones our numbers make likelier than the price suggests: Ryan Leonard 1+ Shots, Casper De Norre 1+ Shots and Derek Mazou-Sacko 1+ Shots, around 4/1 combined with bet365. We make them Leonard 67%, Norre 60%, Sacko 60%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Millwall vs Lincoln City?

Jack Moylan of Lincoln City. He has been fouled in 7 of his last 10 matches, at 2.16 per 90 across 709 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays. Millwall commit 12.0 fouls a game. bet365 have not listed Jack Moylan 1+ Fouls Drawn yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in Millwall vs Lincoln City?

Josh Coburn of Millwall. He has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 matches, at 1.1 per 90 across 986 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays. Millwall take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.1 on target. bet365 list Josh Coburn 1+ Shot on Target, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Millwall vs Lincoln City?

Tairyk Arconte of Millwall. He has had a shot in 8 of his last 8 matches, at 2.59 per 90 across 591 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays. Millwall take 13.85 shots a game and hit 4.1 on target. bet365 list Tairyk Arconte 1+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Millwall vs Lincoln City?

Freddie Draper of Lincoln City. He has committed 4 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 matches, at 5.0 per 90 across 648 minutes, and he averages 65 minutes a game when he plays. Millwall hold 48.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 have not listed Freddie Draper 4+ Foul Committed yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in Millwall vs Lincoln City?

Ben House of Lincoln City. He has made 3 or more tackles in 6 of his last 10 matches, at 3.11 per 90 across 1,387 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays. Millwall hold 48.15% of the ball, and Lincoln City commit 12.75 fouls a game. There is no price up for Ben House 3+ Tackles at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.

What Is the Millwall vs Lincoln City Prediction?

Millwall are 56% to win, the draw 25% and Lincoln City 20% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The value is in the player legs rather than the result.

What Time Is Millwall vs Lincoln City?

Saturday 17th October 2026, 12:30 UK time.

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