West Ham vs Wrexham betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.
Five selections, and four of them are on Wrexham players. West Ham are 60% on the market and Wrexham 17%, and a side that spends the night defending fouls more, gets fouled more and defends more set pieces than the scoreline suggests.
West Ham United vs Wrexham Team Stats
West Ham United
- W3-2at Bolton Wanderers08 Sep
- W3-0Derby County05 Sep
- W4-2Wolverhampton01 Sep
- D1-1at Watford29 Aug
- L1-2Charlton Athletic22 Aug
- D2-2at Burnley16 Aug
Wrexham
- D1-1Burnley08 Sep
- D0-0at Swansea City05 Sep
- W3-0at Millwall02 Sep
- L1-2Birmingham City28 Aug
- D1-1Watford22 Aug
- D1-1at Cardiff City17 Aug
West Ham vs Wrexham Betting Tips
C. Doyle 2+ Shots — 10/3. Callum Doyle has had two or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Wrexham, at 1.20 per 90 across 1,800 minutes, and has started all 6 of their matches this season.
D. Hyam 2+ Fouls Drawn — 3/1. Dominic Hyam has been fouled twice or more in 4 of his last 10 for Wrexham, at 0.95 per 90 across 1,710 minutes, starting all 6 this season.
J. Windass 2+ Shots — 4/5. Josh Windass has had two or more shots in 7 of his last 10 for Wrexham, at 3.21 per 90 – the highest shot rate of any player in this fixture.
P. Felipe 2+ Fouls Committed — 13/8. Pedro Felipe has committed two or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Wrexham, at 2.12 per 90 across 764 minutes, starting all 3 this season.
M. Kilman 1+ Shot — 4/5. Max Kilman has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for West Ham, at 0.67 per 90 across 540 minutes, starting all 6 this season.
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Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Doyle 2+ Shots | 10/3 | 40% | 23% | +17 |
| D. Hyam 2+ Fouls Drawn | 3/1 | 40% | 25% | +15 |
| J. Windass 2+ Shots | 4/5 | 70% | 56% | +14 |
| P. Felipe 2+ Fouls Committed | 13/8 | 50% | 38% | +12 |
| M. Kilman 1+ Shot | 4/5 | 67% | 56% | +11 |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.
The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.
What We Are Leaving Out
Both teams to score at 4/6. West Ham saw goals at both ends in 10 of their last 20 and Wrexham in 13, which gives about 57% against a fair 56%. The market has it.
Every card market. The two sides average 3.60 cards between them and Sam Barrott books 4.10 across his Premier League matches, which blends to 3.85 – close enough to the line that there is nothing to say. His Championship record is one match, so the Premier League figure is all there is to use.
West Ham vs Wrexham Prediction
We are predicting 2-1 to West Ham. The market makes it 60% West Ham, 23% the draw and 17% Wrexham.
West Ham have won 3 of their last 6 and score 1.90 goals a game at home against 0.80 conceded. Wrexham have won 1 of their last 6 and conceded 12 in 10 away matches.
Our model has West Ham at 55%, five points below the market – one of the closer agreements on this round, and the home side is where both views point.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.