Bournemouth vs Lincoln Stats, Predictions and Betting Tips

Bournemouth are 1/3 and will rest most of their first team, so the squad tables below matter more than usual.

Every priced player is listed with his record, because nobody knows the XI until an hour before kick-off.

Where the Odds and the Stats Disagree

Every market we priced on this tie, including the ones we are not backing. A row without a tip is not a weaker suggestion – it is a market where our figure and the price agree, or where the price is better than our figure.

Three tips: over 3.5 cards at 5/4, the widest gap of the round; under 3.5 goals at 2/3; and over 9.5 corners at 4/5.

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Bournemouth vs Lincoln City Prediction

We are predicting 2-0 to Bournemouth. They are 21% to concede on our figures and Lincoln have scored in 9 of their last 20. The tips are the cards and the goals line rather than the result, because a rotated favourite is exactly where a 20-match model reads worst.

Cup ties break what this model reads. Our figures come from each side’s last 20 matches, and in a competition where both managers rest their regulars, those matches were played by different teams. The tips above are all team markets for that reason – corners, cards and goals depend on how two sides play rather than on which 11 players start.

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