Bournemouth vs Brentford betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.
1 selection, and the sequences behind them run ten matches rather than six. Jarred Gillett books 4.07 yellows a game.
Bournemouth vs Brentford Team Stats
Bournemouth
- D2-2at Newcastle United05 Sep
- D1-1Everton29 Aug
- L1-2at Manchester City23 Aug
- D1-1at Nottingham Forest24 May
- D1-1Manchester City19 May
- W1-0at Fulham09 May
Brentford
- D1-1Sunderland05 Sep
- D1-1at Leeds United30 Aug
- W3-0Tottenham Hotspur22 Aug
- D1-1at Liverpool24 May
- D2-2Crystal Palace17 May
- L0-3at Manchester City09 May
Bournemouth vs Brentford Betting Tips
Evanilson 2+ Fouls Committed — 2/1. Evanilson has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 0.96 per 90 across 1,590 minutes, and has started 3 of 3 this season.
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Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evanilson 2+ Fouls Committed | 2/1 | 50% | 33% | +17 |
| A. Smith 1+ Foul Committed | 4/7 | 80% | 64% | +16 |
| V. Janelt to be Carded | 12/5 | 45% | 29% | +16 |
| M. Tavernier Anytime Goalscorer | 10/3 | 31% | 23% | +8 |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.
The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.
Bournemouth vs Brentford Prediction
We are predicting 2-1 to Bournemouth. The market makes it 38% Bournemouth, 27% the draw and 35% Brentford.
Bournemouth score 1.70 a game at home and Brentford have conceded 14 in 10 away. Our model gives Bournemouth 46% against the market’s 38% – one of the closer agreements on the card, and the home side is where we lean.
Player Props Bet Finder Tool
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.