Chelsea vs Manchester United Bet Builder Tips, Predictions and Best Bets

Andy Clark

Chelsea vs Manchester United bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Premier League fixture on Saturday 31st October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Premier League - Last 20 Games

Chelsea vs Manchester United Team Stats

12:30

ChelseavManchester United
LWWLDL
Recent form
LLDLDD
1.40
Goals scored per game
1.65
2.10
Goals conceded per game
1.45
55%
Both teams scored
60%
90%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
35%
Over 3.5 goals
40%

ChelseavManchester United
13.3
Shots per game
16.6
4.6
Shots on target
5.35

ChelseavManchester United
1.33
Expected goals for
1.66
1.35
Expected goals against
1.48
50.45
Possession %
50.75

ChelseavManchester United
5.75
Corners per game
5.85
3.1
First half corners
2.45

ChelseavManchester United
9.95
Fouls per game
10.45
2.2
Own cards per game
2.1
4.5
Cards in match
3.9
1.25
First half cards
1.25
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Chelsea take 13.3 shots a game and hit 4.6 on target, against Manchester United’s 16.6 and 5.35. Chelsea commit 9.95 fouls a game to Manchester United’s 10.45, with 4.5 and 3.9 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Chelsea 52%, the draw 25% and Manchester United 24%. 5 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Chelsea vs Manchester United Bet Builder Tip

1Morgan Rogers Anytime Goalscorer4 of his last 8, 0.51 per 90
Why this Leg

Morgan Rogers has scored in 4 of his last 8 for Chelsea, at 0.51 per 90 across 703 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

Chelsea score 1.40 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

2Pedro Neto 1+ Shot on Target7 of his last 10, 0.85 per 90
Why this Leg

Pedro Neto has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for Chelsea, at 0.85 per 90 across 1,270 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

Chelsea take 13.3 shots a game and hit 4.6 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

3Matheus Cunha 2+ Foul Committed5 of his last 10, 1.66 per 90
Why this Leg

Matheus Cunha has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 1.66 per 90 across 1,300 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.

Chelsea hold 50.45% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.

4Over 10.5 Corners61% on our numbers
Why this Leg

Chelsea win 5.75 corners a game and Manchester United 5.85, with 3.1 and 2.45 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 12 in the match, a 61% chance of 11 or more against the 48% implied by 11/10.

5Over 2.5 Goals66% on our numbers
Why this Leg

Chelsea have gone past 2.5 goals in 75% of their last 20 matches and Manchester United in 60%, with 90% and 85% going past 1.5.

Chelsea average 1.40 scored and 2.10 conceded, Manchester United 1.65 and 1.45. On the venue splits that projects 1.59 against 1.75, about 3.3 goals in the match and 66% for over 2.5.

bet365Add 5-Leg Build to Betslip

What Is the Best Chelsea vs Manchester United Bet Builder?

Morgan Rogers Anytime Goalscorer, Pedro Neto 1+ Shot on Target, Matheus Cunha 2+ Foul Committed, Over 10.5 Corners and Over 2.5 Goals, around 40/1 to 47/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder. Two of these are match markets rather than player props, and in one game those move with each other, so bet365 will price the pair shorter than multiplying them suggests.

Morgan Rogers has scored in 4 of his last 8 matches at 0.51 per 90, and Chelsea score 1.40 a game — 50% on our numbers against an implied 33%.

Pedro Neto has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 matches at 0.85 per 90, and Chelsea take 13.3 shots a game — 70% on our numbers against an implied 58%.

Matheus Cunha has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 matches at 1.66 per 90, and Chelsea hold 50.45% of the ball — 50% on our numbers against an implied 38%.

Over 10.5 Corners. Chelsea win 5.75 corners a game and Manchester United 5.85, which makes this about 61% on our numbers against the 48% its price implies. Corners are a separate market from the player legs, so this one multiplies into the builder cleanly.

Over 2.5 Goals. Chelsea win 5.75 corners a game and Manchester United 5.85, which makes this about 66% on our numbers against the 64% its price implies. Corners are a separate market from the player legs, so this one multiplies into the builder cleanly.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Chelsea vs Manchester United Betting Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    Pedro Neto 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip8/11Pedro Neto has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for Chelsea, at 0.85 per 90 across 1,270 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Chelsea take 13.3 shots a game and hit 4.6 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
  2. 02
    Matheus Cunha 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip13/8Matheus Cunha has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 1.66 per 90 across 1,300 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Chelsea hold 50.45% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.
  3. 03
    Morgan Rogers Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip2/1Morgan Rogers has scored in 4 of his last 8 for Chelsea, at 0.51 per 90 across 703 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Chelsea score 1.40 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.
  4. 04
    Luke Shaw to be Cardedbet365TBCLuke Shaw has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.45 per 90 across 1,210 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester United pick up 2.1 cards a game and there are 3.9 in their matches. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
  5. 05
    Over 10.5 CornersAdd to slip11/10Chelsea win 5.75 corners a game and Manchester United 5.85, with 3.1 and 2.45 of those in the first half.That leaves about 12 in the match, a 61% chance of 11 or more against the 48% implied by 11/10.
  6. 06
    Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip4/7Both teams have scored in 11 of Chelsea's last 20 matches and 12 of Manchester United's. Chelsea concede 2.10 a game and Manchester United 1.45.On the venue splits the projection is 1.59 against 1.75, which puts both teams scoring at about 62%.
  7. 07
    Over 2.5 GoalsAdd to slip4/7Chelsea have gone past 2.5 goals in 75% of their last 20 matches and Manchester United in 60%, with 90% and 85% going past 1.5.Chelsea average 1.40 scored and 2.10 conceded, Manchester United 1.65 and 1.45. On the venue splits that projects 1.59 against 1.75, about 3.3 goals in the match and 66% for over 2.5.
  8. 08
    Correct Score 2-1Add to slip17/2On the venue splits this projects Chelsea 1.59 against Manchester United 1.75, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Chelsea, which is where the board has the match too.
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Chelsea vs Manchester United Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten matches beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Chelsea vs Manchester United Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Chelsea vs Manchester United Bet Builder?

Morgan Rogers Anytime Goalscorer, Pedro Neto 1+ Shot on Target, Matheus Cunha 2+ Foul Committed, Over 10.5 Corners and Over 2.5 Goals, at around 40/1 to 47/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. Pedro Neto 1+ Shot on Target, which we make 70% against 58% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Bryan Mbeumo of Manchester United. He has had a shot on target in 9 of his last 10 matches, at 0.94 per 90 across 1,539 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester United take 16.6 shots a game and hit 5.35 on target. bet365 list Bryan Mbeumo 1+ Shot on Target, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Moisés Caicedo of Chelsea. He has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 1.67 per 90 across 1,291 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester United hold 50.75% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 list Moisés Caicedo 1+ Foul Committed, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Youri Tielemans of Manchester United. He has been fouled in 7 of his last 10 matches, at 2.04 per 90 across 793 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays. Chelsea commit 9.95 fouls a game. bet365 have not put this market up for him, so the odds are still TBC.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Matheus Cunha of Manchester United. He has had 2 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 matches, at 3.12 per 90 across 1,300 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester United take 16.6 shots a game and hit 5.35 on target. bet365 list Matheus Cunha 2+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Jorrel Hato of Chelsea. He has made 2 or more tackles in 6 of his last 10 matches, at 2.41 per 90 across 1,194 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester United hold 50.75% of the ball, and Chelsea commit 9.95 fouls a game. bet365 list Jorrel Hato 2+ Tackles, with the current price in the leg finder below.

What Is the Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction?

Chelsea are 52% to win, the draw 25% and Manchester United 24% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Over 2.5 Goals is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Saturday 31st October 2026, 12:30 UK time.

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