Leeds vs Newcastle betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.
4 selections, and the sequences behind them run ten matches rather than six. not yet appointed books 0.0 yellows a game.
Leeds United vs Newcastle United Team Stats
Leeds United
- D1-1Brentford30 Aug
- W1-0at Nottingham Forest22 Aug
- L0-3at West Ham United24 May
- D1-1at Tottenham Hotspur11 May
- W3-1Burnley01 May
- D2-2at Bournemouth22 Apr
Newcastle United
- D2-2Bournemouth05 Sep
- W2-0at Tottenham Hotspur29 Aug
- D2-2Liverpool23 Aug
- L0-2at Fulham24 May
- W3-1West Ham United17 May
- D1-1at Nottingham Forest10 May
Leeds vs Newcastle Betting Tips
A. Stach 2+ Fouls Drawn — 11/4. Anton Stach has been fouled twice or more in 4 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 1.21 per 90 across 1,115 minutes, and has started 3 of 3 this season.
J. Willock 1+ Shots on Target — 6/4. Joe Willock has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Newcastle United, at 0.68 per 90 across 929 minutes, and has started 2 of 3 this season.
D. Calvert-Lewin 2+ Fouls Committed — Evens. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 1.57 per 90 across 1,665 minutes, and has started 3 of 3 this season.
J. Justin 1+ Shots on Target — 9/4. James Justin has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 0.41 per 90 across 1,736 minutes, and has started 3 of 3 this season.
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Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stach 2+ Fouls Drawn | 11/4 | 40% | 27% | +13 |
| J. Willock 1+ Shots on Target | 6/4 | 50% | 40% | +10 |
| D. Calvert-Lewin 2+ Fouls Committed | Evens | 60% | 50% | +10 |
| J. Justin 1+ Shots on Target | 9/4 | 40% | 31% | +9 |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.
The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.
Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction
We are predicting 1-1. The market makes it 40% Leeds, 27% the draw and 33% Newcastle.
Leeds score 1.50 a game at home and Newcastle have conceded 11 in 10 away.
Our model has this at 42/26/33 against the market’s 40/27/33 – the closest agreement of the ten, and both views say the same thing: a tight match with the draw well in play.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.