Liverpool vs Fulham betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.
3 selections, and the sequences behind them run ten matches rather than six. Thomas Bramall books 3.24 yellows a game.
Liverpool vs Fulham Team Stats
Liverpool
- W2-1Atlético Madrid09 Sep
- W2-0at Ipswich Town04 Sep
- D2-2Nottingham Forest29 Aug
- D2-2at Newcastle United23 Aug
- D1-1Brentford24 May
- L2-4at Aston Villa15 May
Fulham
- L2-3Crystal Palace05 Sep
- L0-1at Sunderland30 Aug
- L2-3Chelsea24 Aug
- W2-0Newcastle United24 May
- D1-1at Wolverhampton17 May
- L0-1Bournemouth09 May
Liverpool vs Fulham Betting Tips
D. Szoboszlai 1+ Shots on Target — 8/11. Dominik Szoboszlai has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for Liverpool, at 0.7 per 90 across 1,788 minutes, and has started 4 of 4 this season.
V. van Dijk 1+ Shots on Target — 12/5. Virgil van Dijk has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Liverpool, at 0.45 per 90 across 1,800 minutes, and has started 4 of 4 this season.
T. Castagne 1+ Shots on Target — 12/5. Timothy Castagne has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Fulham, at 0.34 per 90 across 1,334 minutes, and has started 3 of 3 this season.
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Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Szoboszlai 1+ Shots on Target | 8/11 | 70% | 58% | +12 |
| V. van Dijk 1+ Shots on Target | 12/5 | 40% | 29% | +11 |
| T. Castagne 1+ Shots on Target | 12/5 | 40% | 29% | +11 |
| V. van Dijk 1+ Shot on Target | 12/5 | 40% | 29% | +11 |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.
The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.
Liverpool vs Fulham Prediction
We are predicting 2-0 to Liverpool. The market makes them 65%, the draw 19% and Fulham 16%.
Liverpool score 2.10 goals a game at home against 1.10 conceded. Fulham have lost 4 of their last 6 and scored 6 in 10 away matches.
Our model has Liverpool at 60%, five points from the market – the closest agreement on this fixture and one of the closest on the card.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.