Our Swansea vs Wrexham tips come from a fixture where one side keeps clean sheets and the other cannot, and we have three selections from 10/11 to 10/3.
Swansea have kept 7 clean sheets in 20. Wrexham have seen goals at both ends in 13 of theirs.
Swansea City vs Wrexham
Swansea City
- W2-0Watford1 Sep
- W3-0at Derby County29 Aug
- D0-0Sheffield United22 Aug
- W2-1at Stoke City15 Aug
- W3-1Charlton Athletic2 May
- D1-1at Norwich City25 Apr
Wrexham
- W3-0at Millwall2 Sep
- L1-2Birmingham City28 Aug
- D1-1Watford22 Aug
- D1-1at Cardiff City17 Aug
- D2-2Middlesbrough2 May
- L1-3at Coventry City25 Apr
Where the Odds and the Stats Disagree
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Windass Anytime Goalscorer | 10/3 | 43% | 23% | +20 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 10/11 | 60% | 52% | +8 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Evens | 55% | 50% | +5 |
| Ž. Vipotnik Anytime Goalscorer | 6/5 | 45% | 45% | -0 |
| Over 3.5 Cards | 8/11 | 55% | 58% | -3 |
| Both Teams to Score | 8/11 | 55% | 58% | -3 |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
Swansea vs Wrexham Prediction
We are predicting 2-1 to Swansea. The market makes them 42.7%, the draw 28.9% and Wrexham 28.4%. Our model gives Swansea 44%, the draw 27% and Wrexham 29% — agreement inside two points on every outcome, the closest of any Championship fixture this weekend.
Swansea have won 4 of their last 6 and kept 7 clean sheets in 20, conceding 0.90 a game at home. Wrexham have won once in 6 and concede 1.80 a game away from a home record that is worse still.
Gonçalo Franco is out, which matters more than an injury list usually does. He leads Swansea for tackles with 46 and fouls drawn with 34, both by a distance, and he is their only player above 40 in either.
More Championship Tips
- Championship best bets for every fixture this round
- Value bets across all three divisions
- Corner predictions this weekend
- Anytime goalscorer tips across the round
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.