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Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Bet Builder Tips

Nottingham Forest vs Man City kicks off at 5.30pm on Saturday 7th November in the Premier League, and our bet builder for it pays 73/1 at bet365. Our numbers make over 9.5 corners about 74%.

The build is four legs drawn from the card, corners, fouls and shots on target markets. The one it leans on is Over 9.5 Corners — 74% on our numbers.

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Nottingham Forest vs Man City Bet Builder

Erling Haaland 3+ Shot on Target

Erling Haaland has had 3 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 2.07 per 90 across 1,520 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.

Manchester City take 17.4 shots a game and hit 6.05 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

Shots on TargetErling Haaland 3+ Shot on Target11/4Bet at Betfred

Rúben Dias 2+ Foul Committed

Rúben Dias has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.43 per 90 across 1,129 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

Nottingham Forest hold 47.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.

FoulsRúben Dias 2+ Foul Committed6/4Bet at Betfred

Over 9.5 Corners

Nottingham Forest win 4.6 corners a game and Manchester City 7.15, with 2.4 and 3.8 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 12 in the match, a 74% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.

CornersOver 9.5 Corners5/6Bet at Betfred

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Ola Aina to be Carded

Ola Aina has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Nottingham Forest, at 0.31 per 90 across 871 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

Nottingham Forest pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.3 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.

CardOla Aina to be Carded10/3Bet at Betfred

Nottingham Forest vs Man City Bet Builder Tip

1Erling Haaland 3+ Shot on Target4 of his last 10, 2.07 per 90
Why this Leg

Erling Haaland has had 3 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 2.07 per 90 across 1,520 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.

Manchester City take 17.4 shots a game and hit 6.05 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

2Rúben Dias 2+ Foul Committed6 of his last 10, 1.43 per 90
Why this Leg

Rúben Dias has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.43 per 90 across 1,129 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

Nottingham Forest hold 47.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.

3Over 9.5 Corners74% on our numbers
Why this Leg

Nottingham Forest win 4.6 corners a game and Manchester City 7.15, with 2.4 and 3.8 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 12 in the match, a 74% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.

4Ola Aina to be Carded3 of his last 10, 0.31 per 90
Why this Leg

Ola Aina has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Nottingham Forest, at 0.31 per 90 across 871 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

Nottingham Forest pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.3 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.

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Today’s Football Betting Tips

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