
Bet £20 Get a £40 Free Bet
New Players Only. Min £20 qualifying bets, stake not returned. Free bet — one-time stake of £40, min odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wager the winnings. Wager from real balance first. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Max conversion: £200. Valid for 7 days from issue. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full T&Cs Apply. 18+ | #ad | GambleAware.org
Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Nottingham Forest 16 in the Premier League and 4 in the Europa League, Manchester City 16 in the Premier League and 4 in the Champions League
Goals
On the venue splits this projects Nottingham Forest 1.33 against Manchester City 1.50, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.9%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Manchester City, which is where the board has the match too.
Expected Goals
Manchester City have won 14 of their last 20, drawing 2, and on the road they have scored 2.11 a game and conceded 1.00 across 9 matches.
Nottingham Forest average 1.30 scored and 1.25 conceded. The venue splits project 1.33 against 1.50, which puts Manchester City at about 48% to win, against 25% for the draw.
Under and Over

Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
New customers only. Place a £10+ bet at min odds 1/1 (2.0) within 14 days of sign-up. Get £30 in Free Bets, valid for 7 days on selected bets only. Free stake not returned with winnings. T&Cs apply. 18+ | #ad | GambleAware.org
Both Teams to Score
Both teams have scored in 11 of Nottingham Forest’s last 20 matches and 12 of Manchester City’s. Nottingham Forest concede 1.25 a game and Manchester City 1.20.
On the venue splits the projection is 1.33 against 1.50, which puts both teams scoring at about 57%.
Shots
Corners
Nottingham Forest win 4.6 corners a game and Manchester City 7.15, with 2.4 and 3.8 of those in the first half.
That leaves about 12 in the match, a 74% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.

Bet £40 Get £20 in Free Bets
Offer available to new customers only who sign up with Promo Code BET40GET20. Place a bet of £40 (or more) at EVS (2.0) or greater and Get 2 x £10 Free Bets. 1 x £10 Free Bet paid automatically & following £10 Free Bet after 24hrs. Min Free Bet odds 4/1 (5.0). Free Bets expire after 24hrs. Full T&Cs apply. 18+ | #ad | GambleAware.org
Cards and Fouls
Shooting Detail
Big Chances
Record
Possession
Player Props
Per 90| Player | Mins | Shots | On target | Fouls | Fouled | Tackles | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neco WilliamsNottingham Forest · D | 1689 | 1.44 | 0.37 | 0.85 | 1.28 | 2.4 | 2 |
| Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest · F | 1424 | 2.4 | 0.88 | 0.63 | 0.88 | 0.82 | 0 |
| Nikola MilenkovicNottingham Forest · D | 1285 | 0.28 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.35 | 1.61 | 2 |
| JairNottingham Forest · D | 1114 | 0.32 | 0.16 | 0.81 | 0.97 | 1.29 | 3 |
| MurilloNottingham Forest · D | 1059 | 1.53 | 0.34 | 1.36 | 0.17 | 2.04 | 4 |
| James McAteeNottingham Forest · M | 1024 | 1.85 | 0.53 | 1.05 | 1.58 | 2.2 | 3 |
| Ola AinaNottingham Forest · D | 871 | 0.41 | 0.1 | 0.72 | 1.34 | 2.69 | 3 |
| Dan NdoyeNottingham Forest · F | 756 | 2.62 | 0.48 | 1.43 | 1.43 | 0.71 | 1 |
| Chris WoodNottingham Forest · F | 699 | 1.67 | 0.77 | 0.64 | 0.52 | 0.0 | 0 |
| MoratoNottingham Forest · D | 680 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 1.06 | 0.0 | 1.46 | 2 |
| Xaver SchlagerNottingham Forest · M | 667 | 1.62 | 0.13 | 1.35 | 0.67 | 3.78 | 1 |
| Omari HutchinsonNottingham Forest · M | 657 | 1.1 | 0.55 | 1.37 | 1.23 | 1.37 | 2 |
| Liam DelapNottingham Forest · F | 593 | 3.64 | 0.46 | 2.28 | 1.21 | 0.61 | 2 |
| Ibrahim SangareNottingham Forest · M | 568 | 0.32 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.95 | 2.22 | 0 |
| Daniel MunozNottingham Forest · D | 519 | 1.39 | 0.17 | 1.91 | 0.35 | 3.47 | 1 |
| Erling HaalandManchester City · F | 1520 | 4.2 | 2.07 | 0.83 | 0.59 | 0.12 | 2 |
| Marc GuehiManchester City · D | 1485 | 0.48 | 0.12 | 1.03 | 1.39 | 0.79 | 2 |
| Abdukodir KhusanovManchester City · D | 1225 | 0.44 | 0.22 | 0.81 | 0.37 | 2.2 | 2 |
| Matheus NunesManchester City · D | 1191 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.53 | 0.45 | 1.44 | 1 |
| Rayan CherkiManchester City · M | 1164 | 3.63 | 1.08 | 0.85 | 1.01 | 0.54 | 2 |
| Ruben DiasManchester City · D | 1129 | 0.48 | 0.24 | 1.43 | 0.16 | 0.72 | 0 |
| Elliot AndersonManchester City · M | 989 | 1.18 | 0.27 | 1.37 | 3.19 | 3.09 | 2 |
| Josko GvardiolManchester City · D | 937 | 1.15 | 0.58 | 1.15 | 1.34 | 2.5 | 4 |
| Nico O’ReillyManchester City · D | 865 | 1.66 | 0.52 | 1.77 | 0.73 | 1.46 | 2 |
| Enzo FernandezManchester City · M | 856 | 2.1 | 0.63 | 1.16 | 2.21 | 0.84 | 1 |
| Jeremy DokuManchester City · F | 855 | 2.84 | 0.95 | 0.74 | 3.79 | 1.05 | 1 |
| Phil FodenManchester City · M | 846 | 2.23 | 0.85 | 0.74 | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1 |
| Iliman NdiayeManchester City · M | 657 | 2.6 | 0.82 | 0.68 | 2.88 | 1.37 | 0 |
| Bernardo SilvaManchester City · M | 551 | 1.8 | 0.16 | 0.33 | 0.49 | 2.94 | 1 |
Advised props
Murillo has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Nottingham Forest, at 1.53 per 90 across 1,059 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.
Nottingham Forest take 14.0 shots a game and hit 3.9 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Enzo Fernandez has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 0.63 per 90 across 856 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.
Manchester City take 17.4 shots a game and hit 6.05 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.
Erling Haaland has had 3 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 2.07 per 90 across 1,520 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.
Manchester City take 17.4 shots a game and hit 6.05 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
Ruben Dias has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.43 per 90 across 1,129 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.
Nottingham Forest hold 47.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.
Marc Guehi has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.03 per 90 across 1,485 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.
Nottingham Forest hold 47.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Trends
Window shown per lineLast Six Matches
Most recent firstNottingham Forest
Manchester City

Bet £10 Get £50 in Free Bets
New customers only. Register, deposit with a Debit Card, and place a first bet of £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports, to be settled within 7 days, to get £30 in Sports Free Bets and £20 in Bet Builder Free Bets within 24 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply. 18+ | #ad | GambleAware.org
Build Your Own Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Bet
Why this bet
Murillo has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Nottingham Forest, at 1.53 per 90 across 1,059 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.Nottingham Forest take 14.0 shots a game and hit 3.9 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.Why this bet
Enzo Fernandez has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 0.63 per 90 across 856 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City take 17.4 shots a game and hit 6.05 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.Why this bet
Erling Haaland has had 3 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 2.07 per 90 across 1,520 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City take 17.4 shots a game and hit 6.05 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.Why this bet
Ruben Dias has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.43 per 90 across 1,129 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.Nottingham Forest hold 47.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.Why this bet
Marc Guehi has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.03 per 90 across 1,485 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Nottingham Forest hold 47.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.Why this bet
Erling Haaland has scored in 9 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.12 per 90 across 1,520 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City score 2.30 a game. That is about 90% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.Why this bet
Josko Gvardiol has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 0.38 per 90 across 937 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City pick up 1.5 cards a game and there are 3.5 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 15% implied by 11/2.Why this bet
James McAtee has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Nottingham Forest, at 0.26 per 90 across 1,024 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.Nottingham Forest pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.3 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 21% implied by 15/4.Why this bet
Ola Aina has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Nottingham Forest, at 0.31 per 90 across 871 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Nottingham Forest pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.3 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.Why this bet
Nottingham Forest win 4.6 corners a game and Manchester City 7.15, with 2.4 and 3.8 of those in the first half.That leaves about 12 in the match, a 74% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.Why this bet
Manchester City have won 14 of their last 20, drawing 2, and on the road they have scored 2.11 a game and conceded 1.00 across 9 matches.Nottingham Forest average 1.30 scored and 1.25 conceded. The venue splits project 1.33 against 1.50, which puts Manchester City at about 48% to win, against 25% for the draw.Why this bet
Both teams have scored in 11 of Nottingham Forest’s last 20 matches and 12 of Manchester City’s. Nottingham Forest concede 1.25 a game and Manchester City 1.20.On the venue splits the projection is 1.33 against 1.50, which puts both teams scoring at about 57%.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Nottingham Forest 1.33 against Manchester City 1.50, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Manchester City, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Manchester City to win is about 48% and both teams scoring about 57%. Manchester City score 2.30 a game and concede 1.20, and Nottingham Forest have scored in 11 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 11/5.Prices change, so check the slip before you stake. bet365 does not allow every combination of legs within one game.
More Premier League Predictions
Tomorrow
20:00Everton vs Coventry CityPremier League9 tipsSat 7 Nov
12:30Leeds United vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League15 tips15:00Arsenal vs Hull CityPremier League15 tips15:00Fulham vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League16 tips17:30Nottingham Forest vs Manchester CityPremier League18 tipsSun 8 Nov
14:00Brighton and Hove Albion vs BrentfordPremier League14 tips14:00Crystal Palace vs LiverpoolPremier League17 tips14:00Ipswich Town vs BournemouthPremier League15 tipsToday’s Football Tips
Thatsagoal Features
More features
Our Clonmel Oil Steeplechase Tip, Plus £50 in Free Bets With Betfred
Bet £10 on Rokanako, our 1.25pm NAP at Clonmel, with a new Betfred account and you’ll get £50 in free bets.
12 hours ago-
Rokanako Is Our Clonmel NAP: Bet £10 and Get £30 in Free Bets
12 hours ago -
Correct Score Tip at 17/2 in Celtic vs Beşiktaş, Plus a £30 Free Bet
13 hours ago -
A £40 Free Bet for Thursday’s Card Bets in the Europa League
13 hours ago -
A £50 Free Bet for Thursday’s Football Tips from the Europa League
13 hours ago -
BetGoodwin Horse Racing Refund: Beaten Half a Length in a Chase
22 Oct 2026

Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
