Montenegro vs Latvia Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Montenegro v Latvia - Nations League predictions and stats
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Montenegro vs Latvia

Thu 12 Nov, 19:45 · Nations League

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Montenegro 6 in the Nations League and 14 across two others, Latvia 10 in the Nations League and 10 across two others

Goals

1.45Scored per game0.55
1.60Conceded per game1.40
Home gamesAway games
1.58Scored0.50
1.33Conceded1.20
Correct Score 1-011/2

On the venue splits this projects Montenegro 1.46 against Latvia 1.03, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.8%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Montenegro, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.49xG for0.70
1.21xG against1.23
-0.04Goals vs xG-0.15
Montenegro to Win3/10

Montenegro come in on D W W W D W, and at home they have scored 1.58 a game and conceded 1.33 across 12 matches. They have won 10 of their last 20 overall, drawing 3.

Latvia average 0.55 scored and 1.40 conceded. The venue splits project 1.46 against 1.03, which puts Montenegro at about 60% to win, against 26% for the draw.

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Under and Over

85%Over 1.5 goals55%
65%Over 2.5 goals40%
45%Over 3.5 goals10%
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Both Teams to Score

55%Both teams scored35%
4 of 20Clean sheets6 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score10 of 20

Shots

14.29Shots per game8.78
4.86On target per game2.11
34.0%Accuracy24.0%

Corners

5.00Won per game3.50
2.86First half1.67
57.2%Share before the break47.7%
Under 9.5 Corners4/5

Montenegro win 5.0 corners a game and Latvia 3.5, with 2.86 and 1.67 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 8 in the match, a 72% chance of 9 or fewer against the 56% implied by 4/5.

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Cards and Fouls

4.29Cards in the match3.50
2.50Own cards per game1.94
1.29Cards by half time1.00
12.50Fouls committed11.39

Shooting Detail

9.57Shots inside the box6.00
4.71Shots outside the box2.78
6.43Off target4.11
3.00Blocked2.56

Big Chances

2.29Big chances created1.50
1.64Big chances missed1.11
28%Taken26%
22.00Touches in the box14.83

Record

10-3-7Won, drawn, lost3-6-11
4 of 20Clean sheets6 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score10 of 20

Possession

51.14%Average share44.22%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Nikola KrstovicMontenegro · F12215.011.71.471.030.441
Marko JankovicMontenegro · M9650.470.091.42.891.684
Stevan JoveticMontenegro · F7532.870.960.61.310.480
Nikola SipcicMontenegro · D7130.250.131.390.761.012
Igor VujacicMontenegro · D6370.280.140.710.571.73
Stefan SavicMontenegro · D6300.290.00.570.431.01
Milutin OsmajicMontenegro · F6082.070.891.632.070.32
Andrija BulatovicMontenegro · M5581.940.322.11.133.872
Stefan LoncarMontenegro · M5560.650.162.590.491.943
Marko VesovicMontenegro · D5060.360.181.61.251.62
Milan VukoticMontenegro · M4551.780.40.590.590.591
Vasilije AdzicMontenegro · M4531.590.790.790.41.190
Milan RoganovicMontenegro · D4080.00.00.441.11.10
Dmitrijs ZelenkovsLatvia · M15950.560.110.621.131.071
Andrejs CiganiksLatvia · D15290.770.061.120.772.064
Raivis JurkovskisLatvia · D13330.270.070.470.412.162
Antonijs CernomordijsLatvia · D11870.610.231.520.760.686
Daniels BalodisLatvia · D11180.240.00.40.321.372
Vladislavs GutkovskisLatvia · F10002.340.632.342.250.363
Lukass VapneLatvia · M9140.980.30.690.691.870
Renars VarslavansLatvia · F8931.310.40.812.121.911
Janis IkaunieksLatvia · F8651.660.310.830.731.251
Roberts SavalnieksLatvia · D7050.510.01.531.021.44
Aleksejs SaveljevsLatvia · M6400.140.01.120.841.831
Deniss MelniksLatvia · D6340.430.01.280.281.281
Eduards DaskevicsLatvia · F4970.540.361.272.541.091
Dario SitsLatvia · F4552.180.792.772.571.383
Roberts UldrikisLatvia · F4192.791.071.51.290.431

Advised props

Milutin Osmajic 1+ Shots

Milutin Osmajic has had a shot in 6 of his last 8 for Montenegro, at 2.07 per 90 across 608 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

Montenegro take 14.29 shots a game and hit 4.86 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Nikola Krstovic 1+ Shots on Target

Nikola Krstovic has had a shot on target in 9 of his last 10 for Montenegro, at 1.7 per 90 across 1,221 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

Montenegro take 14.29 shots a game and hit 4.86 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Antonijs Cernomordijs 1+ Fouls Committed

Antonijs Cernomordijs has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Latvia, at 1.52 per 90 across 1,187 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.

Montenegro hold 51.14% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%Montenegro · Last sixMontenegro are unbeaten in every one of their last six.
17/2085%Montenegro · Last 20Montenegro have gone past one and a half goals in 17 of their last twenty.
5/683%Montenegro · Last sixMontenegro have scored in five of their last six.
0/60%Latvia · Last sixLatvia have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six.
0/60%Latvia · Last six awayLatvia have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six on the road.
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Build Your Own Montenegro vs Latvia Bet

Milutin Osmajic 1+ Shots
Why this betMilutin Osmajic has had a shot in 6 of his last 8 for Montenegro, at 2.07 per 90 across 608 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.Montenegro take 14.29 shots a game and hit 4.86 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Nikola Krstovic 1+ Shots on Target
Why this betNikola Krstovic has had a shot on target in 9 of his last 10 for Montenegro, at 1.7 per 90 across 1,221 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Montenegro take 14.29 shots a game and hit 4.86 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Antonijs Cernomordijs 1+ Fouls Committed
Why this betAntonijs Cernomordijs has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Latvia, at 1.52 per 90 across 1,187 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.Montenegro hold 51.14% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Under 9.5 Corners4/51.80
Why this betMontenegro win 5.0 corners a game and Latvia 3.5, with 2.86 and 1.67 of those in the first half.That leaves about 8 in the match, a 72% chance of 9 or fewer against the 56% implied by 4/5.
Montenegro to Win3/101.30
Why this betMontenegro come in on D W W W D W, and at home they have scored 1.58 a game and conceded 1.33 across 12 matches. They have won 10 of their last 20 overall, drawing 3.Latvia average 0.55 scored and 1.40 conceded. The venue splits project 1.46 against 1.03, which puts Montenegro at about 60% to win, against 26% for the draw.
Correct Score 1-011/26.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Montenegro 1.46 against Latvia 1.03, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.8%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Montenegro, which is where the board has the match too.
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