Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough Bet Builder Tips, Predictions and Best Bets

Andy Clark

Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Championship fixture on Friday 23rd October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Championship - Last 20 Games

Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough Team Stats

20:00

Bolton WanderersvMiddlesbrough
DWLWWL
Recent form
DWWDDW
1.70
Goals scored per game
1.75
1.55
Goals conceded per game
1.30
60%
Both teams scored
70%
70%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
50%
Over 3.5 goals
50%

Bolton WanderersvMiddlesbrough
15.0
Shots per game
18.8
4.95
Shots on target
5.85

Bolton WanderersvMiddlesbrough
1.5
Expected goals for
1.94
1.56
Expected goals against
1.12
52.5
Possession %
59.0

Bolton WanderersvMiddlesbrough
5.45
Corners per game
6.4
2.6
First half corners
2.95

Bolton WanderersvMiddlesbrough
10.75
Fouls per game
9.75
1.5
Own cards per game
1.35
3.35
Cards in match
3.4
1.05
First half cards
0.8
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Bolton Wanderers take 15.0 shots a game and hit 4.95 on target, against Middlesbrough’s 18.8 and 5.85. Bolton Wanderers commit 10.75 fouls a game to Middlesbrough’s 9.75, with 3.35 and 3.4 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Bolton Wanderers 17%, the draw 22% and Middlesbrough 61%. 5 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough Bet Builder Tip

1Adilson Malanda 1+ Shot on Target4 of his last 10, 0.26 per 90
Why this Leg

Adilson Malanda has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.26 per 90 across 1,714 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Middlesbrough take 18.8 shots a game and hit 5.85 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

2Ashley Phillips 1+ Shots5 of his last 8, 0.78 per 90
Why this Leg

Ashley Phillips has had a shot in 5 of his last 8 for Middlesbrough, at 0.78 per 90 across 579 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.

Middlesbrough take 18.8 shots a game and hit 5.85 on target. That is about 62% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.

3Aidan Morris 3+ Shots4 of his last 10, 1.97 per 90
Why this Leg

Aidan Morris has had 3 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 1.97 per 90 across 1,740 minutes, and he averages 92 minutes a game when he plays.

Middlesbrough take 18.8 shots a game and hit 5.85 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

4Over 10.5 Corners64% on our numbers
Why this Leg

Bolton Wanderers win 5.45 corners a game and Middlesbrough 6.4, with 2.6 and 2.95 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 12 in the match, a 64% chance of 11 or more against the 50% implied by Evens.

5Will Lankshear Anytime Goalscorer6 of his last 10, 0.91 per 90
Why this Leg

Will Lankshear has scored in 6 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.91 per 90 across 886 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

Middlesbrough score 1.75 a game. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

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What Is the Best Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough Bet Builder?

Adilson Malanda 1+ Shot on Target, Ashley Phillips 1+ Shots, Aidan Morris 3+ Shots, Over 10.5 Corners and Will Lankshear Anytime Goalscorer, around 85/1 to 100/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.

Adilson Malanda has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 matches at 0.26 per 90, and Middlesbrough take 18.8 shots a game — 40% on our numbers against an implied 27%.

Ashley Phillips has had a shot in 5 of his last 8 matches at 0.78 per 90, and Middlesbrough take 18.8 shots a game — 62% on our numbers against an implied 50%.

Aidan Morris has had 3 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 matches at 1.97 per 90, and Middlesbrough take 18.8 shots a game — 40% on our numbers against an implied 29%.

Over 10.5 Corners. Bolton Wanderers win 5.45 corners a game and Middlesbrough 6.4, which makes this about 64% on our numbers against the 50% its price implies. Corners are a separate market from the player legs, so this one multiplies into the builder cleanly.

Will Lankshear has scored in 6 of his last 10 matches at 0.91 per 90, and Middlesbrough score 1.75 a game — 60% on our numbers against an implied 55%.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough Betting Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    Adilson Malanda 1+ ShotsAdd to slip6/4Adilson Malanda has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.84 per 90 across 1,714 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough take 18.8 shots a game and hit 5.85 on target. That is about 80% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.
  2. 02
    Ashley Phillips 1+ ShotsAdd to slipEvensAshley Phillips has had a shot in 5 of his last 8 for Middlesbrough, at 0.78 per 90 across 579 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough take 18.8 shots a game and hit 5.85 on target. That is about 62% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
  3. 03
    Aidan Morris 2+ ShotsAdd to slip4/5Aidan Morris has had 2 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 1.97 per 90 across 1,740 minutes, and he averages 92 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough take 18.8 shots a game and hit 5.85 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.
  4. 04
    Aidan Morris 3+ ShotsAdd to slip12/5Aidan Morris has had 3 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 1.97 per 90 across 1,740 minutes, and he averages 92 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough take 18.8 shots a game and hit 5.85 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.
  5. 05
    Adilson Malanda 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip11/4Adilson Malanda has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.26 per 90 across 1,714 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough take 18.8 shots a game and hit 5.85 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
  6. 06
    Will Lankshear Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip5/6Will Lankshear has scored in 6 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.91 per 90 across 886 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough score 1.75 a game. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
  7. 07
    Over 10.5 CornersAdd to slipEvensBolton Wanderers win 5.45 corners a game and Middlesbrough 6.4, with 2.6 and 2.95 of those in the first half.That leaves about 12 in the match, a 64% chance of 11 or more against the 50% implied by Evens.
  8. 08
    Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip4/7Both teams have scored in 12 of Bolton Wanderers' last 20 matches and 14 of Middlesbrough's. Bolton Wanderers concede 1.55 a game and Middlesbrough 1.30.On the venue splits the projection is 1.69 against 1.53, which puts both teams scoring at about 64%.
  9. 09
    Over 2.5 GoalsAdd to slip1/2Bolton Wanderers have gone past 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Middlesbrough in 60%, with 70% and 70% going past 1.5.Bolton Wanderers average 1.70 scored and 1.55 conceded, Middlesbrough 1.75 and 1.30. On the venue splits that projects 1.69 against 1.53, about 3.2 goals in the match and 61% for over 2.5.
  10. 10
    Correct Score 1-2Add to slip15/2On the venue splits this projects Bolton Wanderers 1.69 against Middlesbrough 1.53, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.2%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Middlesbrough, which is where the board has the match too.
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Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten matches beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough Bet Builder?

Adilson Malanda 1+ Shot on Target, Ashley Phillips 1+ Shots, Aidan Morris 3+ Shots, Over 10.5 Corners and Will Lankshear Anytime Goalscorer, at around 85/1 to 100/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. Aidan Morris 2+ Shots, which we make 60% against 56% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.

What Is an Attacking Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough Bet Builder?

For a builder built on attacking output rather than the fouls markets our main tip leans on: Adilson Malanda 1+ Shots, Ashley Phillips 1+ Shots and Aidan Morris 2+ Shots, around 8/1 combined with bet365. We make them Malanda 80%, Phillips 62%, Morris 60%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Is There a Shorter-priced Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough Bet Builder?

For something shorter, all three of these are odds-on and all three are ones our numbers make likelier than the price suggests: Ashley Phillips 1+ Shots, Aidan Morris 2+ Shots and David Strelec 1+ Foul Committed, around 5/1 combined with bet365. We make them Phillips 62%, Morris 60%, Strelec 60%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?

Will Lankshear of Middlesbrough. He has had a shot in 10 of his last 10 matches, at 3.76 per 90 across 886 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays. Middlesbrough take 18.8 shots a game and hit 5.85 on target. bet365 list Will Lankshear 1+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?

Mason Burstow of Bolton Wanderers. He has committed a foul in 9 of his last 9 matches, at 2.12 per 90 across 552 minutes, and he averages 61 minutes a game when he plays. Middlesbrough hold 59.0% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for Mason Burstow 1+ Foul Committed at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?

Sam Dalby of Bolton Wanderers. He has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 matches, at 0.75 per 90 across 1,201 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays. Bolton Wanderers take 15.0 shots a game and hit 4.95 on target. bet365 list Sam Dalby 1+ Shot on Target, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?

Rúben Rodrigues of Bolton Wanderers. He has been fouled 2 times or more in 6 of his last 10 matches, at 2.57 per 90 across 1,015 minutes, and he averages 60 minutes a game when he plays. Middlesbrough commit 9.75 fouls a game. bet365 have not listed Rúben Rodrigues 2+ Fouls Drawn yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?

Aidan Morris of Middlesbrough. He has made 3 or more tackles in 6 of his last 10 matches, at 3.52 per 90 across 1,740 minutes, and he averages 92 minutes a game when he plays. Bolton Wanderers hold 52.5% of the ball, and Middlesbrough commit 9.75 fouls a game. bet365 list Aidan Morris 3+ Tackles, with the current price in the leg finder below.

What Is the Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough Prediction?

Bolton Wanderers are 17% to win, the draw 22% and Middlesbrough 61% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Both Teams to Score is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?

Friday 23rd October 2026, 20:00 UK time.

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