Gent vs Hibernian Stats, Predictions and Betting Tips

Conference League - Last 20 Games

KAA Gent vs Hibernian Team Stats

19:30Ref P. Raczkowski - 4.78 YC

Form and GoalsAttacking StatsHome and Away RecordCorner StatsCards and Fouls

KAA Gent vs Hibernian Form and Goals

KAA GentvHibernian

WWDLDD

Recent form

WLLWWL

1.00

Goals scored per game

1.40

1.30

Goals conceded per game

1.25

45%

Both teams scored

60%

70%

Over 1.5 goals

75%

40%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

30%

Over 3.5 goals

25%

KAA Gent vs Hibernian Attacking Stats

KAA GentvHibernian

11.80

Shots per game

10.85

3.50

Shots on target

3.60

1.38

Expected goals for

1.29

1.33

Expected goals against

1.32

47.2

Possession %

44.2

KAA Gent vs Hibernian Home and Away Record

KAA GentvHibernian

0.91

Home scored per game

1.20

0.82

Home conceded per game

1.00

1.11

Away scored per game

1.60

1.89

Away conceded per game

1.50

KAA Gent vs Hibernian Corner Stats

KAA GentvHibernian

4.35

Corners per game

4.70

2.45

First half corners

2.40

KAA Gent vs Hibernian Cards and Fouls

KAA GentvHibernian

9.10

Fouls per game

10.90

1.70

Own cards per game

2.35

3.10

Cards in match

4.55

0.60

First half cards

1.30

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Gent vs Hibernian Predictions

Paweł Raczkowski referees this Conference League play-off, and across 407 career matches he books 4.78 players a game — the highest rate of any official we have covered. Hibernian will not help themselves: their matches average 4.55 cards across both sides and they collect 2.35 of them, both figures higher than Gent’s.

The goals markets point the other way entirely. Gent have scored ten times in eleven home matches this season, a rate of 0.91 a game and the lowest home scoring record of any side in our data. Over 2.5 goals has landed in only 40% of their last twenty.

Our model makes Gent 52% to win, the draw 31% and Hibernian 17%, after adjusting the Scottish side’s figures for the gap between the two leagues. Belgium carries a UEFA coefficient of 36.800 against Scotland’s 15.300 — a ratio of 2.41, the widest we have handled and comparable to the step from the Championship to the Premier League.

That adjustment is worth understanding rather than taking on trust. Hibernian’s raw away figures are better than Gent’s raw home ones, so without it the model would have had this close to level. A Scottish audience will expect Hibs nearer than 17%, and the honest answer is that the leagues are further apart than the raw numbers suggest.

Full comparison and the ranked selections are above.

Gent vs Hibernian Betting Tips

• Gent to win – 4/7 with Ladbrokes.
• Both teams to score – 11/10 with bet365.
• Over 2.5 goals – Evens with SpreadEx.

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Andy Clark

Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.