Sunderland vs Arsenal betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.
4 selections, and the sequences behind them run ten matches rather than six. Brooks, John books 3.91 yellows a game.
Sunderland vs Arsenal Team Stats
Sunderland
- D1-1at Brentford05 Sep
- W1-0Fulham30 Aug
- L1-2at Ipswich Town22 Aug
- W2-1Chelsea24 May
- W3-1at Everton17 May
- D0-0Manchester United09 May
Arsenal
- W1-0at Napoli09 Sep
- W2-1Chelsea06 Sep
- W1-0at Aston Villa31 Aug
- W3-0Coventry City21 Aug
- D1-1at Paris Saint-Germain30 May
- W2-1at Crystal Palace24 May
Sunderland vs Arsenal Betting Tips
E. Le Fée 3+ Shots — 10/3. Enzo Le Fée has had 3 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Sunderland, at 1.39 per 90 across 1,623 minutes, and has started 3 of 3 this season.
G. Xhaka 1+ Shots — 6/5. Granit Xhaka has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Sunderland, at 0.76 per 90 across 1,300 minutes, and has started 3 of 3 this season.
N. Mukiele 2+ Fouls Committed — 11/4. Nordi Mukiele has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Sunderland, at 1.29 per 90 across 1,257 minutes, and has started 2 of 2 this season.
D. Rice 1+ Fouls Committed — 8/11. Declan Rice has committed a foul in 7 of his last 10 for Arsenal, at 0.96 per 90 across 1,687 minutes, and has started 4 of 4 this season.
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Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Le Fee 2+ Shots | 11/10 | 70% | 48% | +22 |
| E. Le Fée 3+ Shots | 10/3 | 40% | 23% | +17 |
| G. Xhaka 1+ Shots | 6/5 | 60% | 45% | +15 |
| G. Xhaka 1+ Shot | 6/5 | 60% | 45% | +15 |
| N. Mukiele 2+ Fouls Committed | 11/4 | 40% | 27% | +13 |
| D. Rice 1+ Fouls Committed | 8/11 | 70% | 58% | +12 |
| D. Rice 1+ Foul Committed | 8/11 | 70% | 58% | +12 |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.
The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.
Sunderland vs Arsenal Prediction
We are predicting 0-2 to Arsenal. The market makes it 13% Sunderland, 23% the draw and 64% Arsenal.
Arsenal have won 4 of their last 6 and conceded 8 in 10 away matches. Sunderland score 1.30 a game at home.
Our model has Arsenal at 44% rather than 64%, which is the promoted-side problem again – Sunderland’s last 20 include Championship football.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.