Tottenham vs Everton betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.
5 selections, and the sequences behind them run ten matches rather than six. Darren England books 3.67 yellows a game.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton Team Stats
Tottenham Hotspur
- D0-0at Nottingham Forest05 Sep
- L0-2Newcastle United29 Aug
- L0-3at Brentford22 Aug
- W1-0Everton24 May
- L1-2at Chelsea19 May
- D1-1Leeds United11 May
Everton
- D2-2Manchester United06 Sep
- D1-1at Bournemouth29 Aug
- W2-0Crystal Palace22 Aug
- L0-1at Tottenham Hotspur24 May
- L1-3Sunderland17 May
- D2-2at Crystal Palace10 May
Tottenham vs Everton Betting Tips
J. Garner 2+ Fouls Committed — 9/4. James Garner has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Everton, at 1.39 per 90 across 1,680 minutes, and has started 2 of 3 this season.
P. Porro 2+ Shots — 10/11. Pedro Porro has had 2 or more shots in 7 of his last 10 for Tottenham Hotspur, at 1.64 per 90 across 1,318 minutes, and has started 2 of 2 this season.
J. Branthwaite 1+ Shots on Target — 10/3. Jarrad Branthwaite has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Everton, at 0.47 per 90 across 959 minutes, and has started 3 of 3 this season.
K. Dewsbury-Hall 1+ Shots on Target — 11/10. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Everton, at 0.77 per 90 across 1,642 minutes, and has started 3 of 3 this season.
Both Teams to Score — 3/4. Our model gives this about 62% against the 57% implied by 3/4.
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Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Garner 2+ Fouls Committed | 9/4 | 50% | 31% | +19 |
| P. Porro 2+ Shots | 10/11 | 70% | 52% | +18 |
| J. Branthwaite 1+ Shots on Target | 10/3 | 40% | 23% | +17 |
| K. Dewsbury-Hall 1+ Shots on Target | 11/10 | 60% | 48% | +12 |
| K. Dewsbury-Hall 1+ Shot on Target | 11/10 | 60% | 48% | +12 |
| J. Garner to be Carded | 11/4 | 35% | 27% | +8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 3/4 | 62% | 57% | +5 |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.
The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.
Tottenham vs Everton Prediction
We are predicting 1-1. The market makes it 47% Tottenham, 26% the draw and 26% Everton.
Tottenham score 1.70 a game at home. Everton have kept 6 clean sheets in 20 and lost 2 of their last 6.
Our model has Tottenham at 29% and Everton at 47%, which reverses the market – and on a fixture this close we would not back our own figures against the price. The draw is where the two views meet.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.