Our Norway vs Denmark prediction is Erling Haaland to score at 8/11, a 70% chance on his own record against the 58% the price implies.
Norway have scored 2.85 goals a game across their last twenty, the highest figure in the round, and carry an expected goals number of 2.16 against Denmark’s 1.46. Denmark stop people rather than outscore them — 10.85 fouls a game to Norway’s 8.25. Two selections come out of the two halves of that. Everything on this page is free this week, tips included.
Norway vs Denmark Team Stats
Norway vs Denmark Prediction
Erling Haaland to score, 8/11. The reasoning, the record behind it and the implied probability are all in the tips section below, and every selection on this page carries our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.
What We Are Not Backing, and Why
The markets we looked at and left alone, with the numbers, because a preview that only tells you what to back is hiding half the work.
- Norway to win at 8/11. The market gives them 55% and we make it about the same. Correctly priced.
- Over 9.5 corners at 5/6. Norway and Denmark win 5.35 and 7.3 corners a game between them, and our number comes out at 81% against 55% implied. A twenty-six point gap is further than we trust the estimate, so it goes in the builder rather than the best bets.
The fouls markets are the ones our tackles and fouls tips are built on. Corners selections sit alongside the rest of our value bets.
Team News and Who Is Actually Available
We do not publish a predicted eleven. Nobody knows one this far out and a guess dressed as team news helps no one. What we publish instead is who the bookmaker has priced, which is a harder signal: bet365 will not put a price on a player who cannot feature, and they have money riding on being right.
11 Norway players and 11 Denmark players carry prices on this fixture. Every one of them appears in the tables below. Anyone not priced has been stripped out.
Norway vs Denmark Corners
Norway win 5.35 corners a game and Denmark 7.3, with 2.7 and 3.4 of those in the first half. Norway take 14.95 shots a game to Denmark’s 16.25, and shot volume is what drives corner counts. The line is 9.5 and we make 10 or more a 81% chance against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Bet Builder Leg Finder Tool
Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten internationals beside the odds. Free, no sign-in, and it covers the markets bet365 price on this match. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.
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Norway vs Denmark Tips and Best Bets
Norway vs Denmark FAQs
What is the Norway vs Denmark prediction?
Erling Haaland to score, 8/11.
What time is Norway vs Denmark?
Thursday 24 September 2026, 19:45 UK time.
What are the Norway vs Denmark odds?
Norway 1.727, the draw 4.1, Denmark 4.333 with bet365. Stripping the margin out, that is 55.0% for Norway, 23.1% for the draw and 21.9% for Denmark.
Will both teams score?
Yes is 1.667 and no is 2.1. Both teams have scored in 70% of Norway’s last twenty and 40% of Denmark’s.
More UEFA Nations League Tips and Predictions
- Player Props Bet Finder
- Value bets
- Bet of the day
- Bet builder tips
- Yellow card tips
- UEFA Nations League tips
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
