Moise Kean has had a shot on target in 10 of his last 10 for Italy, at 2.1 per 90 across 730 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.

Italy take 16.7 shots a game and hit 5.6 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Kylian Mbappe has had 3 or more shots on target in 5 of his last 10 for France, at 2.6 per 90 across 1,143 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

France take 18.4 shots a game and hit 6.85 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

Lucas Digne has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for France, at 1.23 per 90 across 808 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.

Italy hold 53.45% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Alessandro Bastoni has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Italy, at 1.35 per 90 across 1,270 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.

France hold 61.95% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.

Kylian Mbappe has scored in 7 of his last 10 for France, at 1.18 per 90 across 1,143 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

France score 2.40 a game. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.