Everton vs Newcastle United Predictions and Betting Tips

Andy Clark

Everton vs Newcastle United bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Carabao Cup fixture on Thursday 29th October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Carabao Cup - Last 20 Games

Everton vs Newcastle United Team Stats

19:45

EvertonvNewcastle United
LLDWDD
Recent form
WLLWLD
1.30
Goals scored per game
1.40
1.45
Goals conceded per game
1.75
50%
Both teams scored
70%
80%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
35%
Over 3.5 goals
35%

EvertonvNewcastle United
12.05
Shots per game
11.9
4.65
Shots on target
4.0

EvertonvNewcastle United
1.26
Expected goals for
1.37
1.47
Expected goals against
1.8
44.25
Possession %
49.7

EvertonvNewcastle United
4.5
Corners per game
4.25
2.2
First half corners
2.3

EvertonvNewcastle United
9.75
Fouls per game
11.15
1.85
Own cards per game
2.35
3.3
Cards in match
4.75
1.15
First half cards
1.6
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Everton take 12.05 shots a game and hit 4.65 on target, against Newcastle United’s 11.9 and 4.0. Everton commit 9.75 fouls a game to Newcastle United’s 11.15, with 3.3 and 4.75 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Everton 43%, the draw 27% and Newcastle United 30%. 3 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Everton vs Newcastle United Bet Builder Tip

1Joelinton to be Carded5 of his last 10, 0.65 per 90
Why this Leg

Joelinton has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Newcastle United, at 0.65 per 90 across 826 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.

Newcastle United pick up 2.35 cards a game and there are 4.75 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 11/5.

2James Garner to be Carded4 of his last 10, 0.48 per 90
Why this Leg

James Garner has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Everton, at 0.48 per 90 across 1,680 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Everton pick up 1.85 cards a game and there are 3.3 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

3Merlin Röhl 2+ Foul Committed5 of his last 10, 1.65 per 90
Why this Leg

Merlin Röhl has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Everton, at 1.65 per 90 across 764 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays.

Newcastle United hold 49.7% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

bet365Add 3-Leg Build to Betslip

What Is the Best Everton vs Newcastle United Bet Builder?

Joelinton to be Carded, James Garner to be Carded and Merlin Röhl 2+ Foul Committed, around 33/1 to 39/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.

Joelinton has been booked in 5 of his last 10 ties at 0.65 per 90, and Newcastle United pick up 2.35 cards a game and there are 4.75 in their matches — 50% on our numbers against an implied 31%.

James Garner has been booked in 4 of his last 10 ties at 0.48 per 90, and Everton pick up 1.85 cards a game and there are 3.3 in their matches — 40% on our numbers against an implied 29%.

Merlin Röhl has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 ties at 1.65 per 90, and Newcastle United hold 49.7% of the ball — 50% on our numbers against an implied 29%.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Everton vs Newcastle United Betting Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    James Tarkowski 1+ ShotsAdd to slip8/11James Tarkowski has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Everton, at 0.74 per 90 across 1,710 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Everton take 12.05 shots a game and hit 4.65 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
  2. 02
    Dan Burn 1+ ShotsAdd to slip5/4Dan Burn has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 for Newcastle United, at 0.85 per 90 across 850 minutes, and he averages 61 minutes a game when he plays.Newcastle United take 11.9 shots a game and hit 4.0 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
  3. 03
    Harvey Barnes 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip8/11Harvey Barnes has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Newcastle United, at 0.84 per 90 across 1,400 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.Newcastle United take 11.9 shots a game and hit 4.0 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
  4. 04
    Lewis Hall 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip7/2Lewis Hall has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Newcastle United, at 0.39 per 90 across 1,596 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Newcastle United take 11.9 shots a game and hit 4.0 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 22% implied by 7/2.
  5. 05
    Jake O'Brien 1+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip10/11Jake O'Brien has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Everton, at 0.76 per 90 across 1,060 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.Newcastle United hold 49.7% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.
  6. 06
    Merlin Röhl 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip12/5Merlin Röhl has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Everton, at 1.65 per 90 across 764 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays.Newcastle United hold 49.7% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.
  7. 07
    Joelinton to be CardedAdd to slip11/5Joelinton has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Newcastle United, at 0.65 per 90 across 826 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.Newcastle United pick up 2.35 cards a game and there are 4.75 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 11/5.
  8. 08
    James Garner to be CardedAdd to slip12/5James Garner has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Everton, at 0.48 per 90 across 1,680 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Everton pick up 1.85 cards a game and there are 3.3 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.
  9. 09
    Jake O'Brien to be CardedAdd to slip4/1Jake O'Brien has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Everton, at 0.34 per 90 across 1,060 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.Everton pick up 1.85 cards a game and there are 3.3 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.
  10. 10
    Under 8.5 CornersAdd to slip13/8Everton win 4.5 corners a game and Newcastle United 4.25, with 2.2 and 2.3 of those in the first half.That leaves about 9 in the match, a 49% chance of 8 or fewer against the 38% implied by 13/8.
  11. 11
    Everton to WinAdd to slip6/5Everton have won 5 of their last 20, drawing 7, and at home they have scored 1.50 a game and conceded 1.30 across 10 matches.Newcastle United average 1.40 scored and 1.75 conceded. The venue splits project 1.78 against 1.27, which puts Everton at about 46% to win, against 23% for the draw.
  12. 12
    Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip8/13Both teams have scored in 10 of Everton's last 20 matches and 14 of Newcastle United's. Everton concede 1.45 a game and Newcastle United 1.75.On the venue splits the projection is 1.78 against 1.27, which puts both teams scoring at about 60%.
  13. 13
    Over 2.5 GoalsAdd to slip3/4Everton have gone past 2.5 goals in 50% of their last 20 matches and Newcastle United in 60%, with 80% and 85% going past 1.5.Everton average 1.30 scored and 1.45 conceded, Newcastle United 1.40 and 1.75. On the venue splits that projects 1.78 against 1.27, about 3.1 goals in the match and 57% for over 2.5.
  14. 14
    Correct Score 2-1Add to slip8/1On the venue splits this projects Everton 1.78 against Newcastle United 1.27, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.7%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Everton, which is where the board has the match too.
  15. 15
    Everton to Win and Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip3/1Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Everton to win is about 46% and both teams scoring about 60%. Everton score 1.30 a game and concede 1.45, and Newcastle United have scored in 14 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 3/1.
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Everton vs Newcastle United Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten ties beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Everton vs Newcastle United Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Everton vs Newcastle United Bet Builder?

Joelinton to be Carded, James Garner to be Carded and Merlin Röhl 2+ Foul Committed, at around 33/1 to 39/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. James Tarkowski 1+ Shots, which we make 60% against 58% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.

What Is an Attacking Everton vs Newcastle United Bet Builder?

For a builder built on attacking output rather than the fouls markets our main tip leans on: James Tarkowski 1+ Shots, Harvey Barnes 1+ Shot on Target and Dan Burn 1+ Shots, around 11/2 combined with bet365. We make them Tarkowski 60%, Barnes 60%, Burn 50%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Is There a Shorter-priced Everton vs Newcastle United Bet Builder?

For something shorter, all three of these are odds-on and all three are ones our numbers make likelier than the price suggests: James Tarkowski 1+ Shots, Harvey Barnes 1+ Shot on Target and Jake O’Brien 1+ Foul Committed, around 9/2 combined with bet365. We make them Tarkowski 60%, Barnes 60%, O’Brien 60%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in Everton vs Newcastle United?

James Garner of Everton. He has made a tackle in 9 of his last 10 ties, at 3.11 per 90 across 1,680 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays. Newcastle United hold 49.7% of the ball, and Everton commit 9.75 fouls a game. bet365 list him at 3+ rather than 1+, a line he has cleared in 4 of those 10.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Everton vs Newcastle United?

Idrissa Gana Gueye of Everton. He has been fouled in 6 of his last 8 ties, at 1.81 per 90 across 696 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays. Newcastle United commit 11.15 fouls a game. There is no price up for Idrissa Gana Gueye 1+ Fouls Drawn at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in Everton vs Newcastle United?

Iliman Ndiaye of Everton. He has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 ties, at 0.79 per 90 across 1,258 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays. Everton take 12.05 shots a game and hit 4.65 on target. bet365 have not put this market up for him, so the odds are still TBC.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Everton vs Newcastle United?

Dwight McNeil of Everton. He has had 2 or more shots in 5 of his last 8 ties, at 2.57 per 90 across 560 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays. Everton take 12.05 shots a game and hit 4.65 on target. bet365 have not listed Dwight McNeil 2+ Shots yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Everton vs Newcastle United?

Joelinton of Newcastle United. He has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 ties, at 2.62 per 90 across 826 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays. Everton hold 44.25% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 list Joelinton 2+ Foul Committed, with the current price in the leg finder below.

What Is the Everton vs Newcastle United Prediction?

Everton are 43% to win, the draw 27% and Newcastle United 30% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Over 2.5 Goals is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is Everton vs Newcastle United?

Thursday 29th October 2026, 19:45 UK time.

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