Liverpool vs Chelsea Predictions and Betting Tips

Andy Clark

Liverpool vs Chelsea bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Carabao Cup fixture on Wednesday 28th October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Carabao Cup - Last 20 Games

Liverpool vs Chelsea Team Stats

20:00

LiverpoolvChelsea
WWWWLW
Recent form
LWWLDL
1.80
Goals scored per game
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded per game
2.10
60%
Both teams scored
55%
90%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
55%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
35%
Over 3.5 goals
35%

LiverpoolvChelsea
15.55
Shots per game
13.3
5.0
Shots on target
4.6

LiverpoolvChelsea
1.58
Expected goals for
1.33
1.4
Expected goals against
1.35
52.75
Possession %
50.45

LiverpoolvChelsea
5.95
Corners per game
5.75
3.0
First half corners
3.1

LiverpoolvChelsea
11.8
Fouls per game
9.95
1.6
Own cards per game
2.2
3.55
Cards in match
4.5
1.05
First half cards
1.25
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Liverpool take 15.55 shots a game and hit 5.0 on target, against Chelsea’s 13.3 and 4.6. Liverpool commit 11.8 fouls a game to Chelsea’s 9.95, with 3.55 and 4.5 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Liverpool 44%, the draw 24% and Chelsea 32%. 5 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Liverpool vs Chelsea Bet Builder Tip

1Dominik Szoboszlai 1+ Shot on Target7 of his last 10, 0.66 per 90
Why this Leg

Dominik Szoboszlai has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for Liverpool, at 0.66 per 90 across 1,361 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.

Liverpool take 15.55 shots a game and hit 5.0 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.

2Alexis Mac Allister 1+ Shot on Target5 of his last 10, 0.45 per 90
Why this Leg

Alexis Mac Allister has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Liverpool, at 0.45 per 90 across 1,401 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.

Liverpool take 15.55 shots a game and hit 5.0 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

3Pedro Neto 1+ Shot on Target7 of his last 10, 0.85 per 90
Why this Leg

Pedro Neto has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for Chelsea, at 0.85 per 90 across 1,270 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

Chelsea take 13.3 shots a game and hit 4.6 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

4Morgan Rogers Anytime Goalscorer4 of his last 8, 0.51 per 90
Why this Leg

Morgan Rogers has scored in 4 of his last 8 for Chelsea, at 0.51 per 90 across 703 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

Chelsea score 1.40 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

5Over 9.5 Corners73% on our numbers
Why this Leg

Liverpool win 5.95 corners a game and Chelsea 5.75, with 3.0 and 3.1 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 12 in the match, a 73% chance of 10 or more against the 60% implied by 4/6.

bet365Add 5-Leg Build to Betslip

What Is the Best Liverpool vs Chelsea Bet Builder?

Dominik Szoboszlai 1+ Shot on Target, Alexis Mac Allister 1+ Shot on Target, Pedro Neto 1+ Shot on Target, Morgan Rogers Anytime Goalscorer and Over 9.5 Corners, around 54/1 to 63/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.

Dominik Szoboszlai has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 ties at 0.66 per 90, and Liverpool take 15.55 shots a game — 70% on our numbers against an implied 52%.

Alexis Mac Allister has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 ties at 0.45 per 90, and Liverpool take 15.55 shots a game — 50% on our numbers against an implied 33%.

Pedro Neto has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 ties at 0.85 per 90, and Chelsea take 13.3 shots a game — 70% on our numbers against an implied 55%.

Morgan Rogers has scored in 4 of his last 8 ties at 0.51 per 90, and Chelsea score 1.40 a game — 50% on our numbers against an implied 29%.

Over 9.5 Corners. Liverpool win 5.95 corners a game and Chelsea 5.75, which makes this about 73% on our numbers against the 60% its price implies. Corners are a separate market from the player legs, so this one multiplies into the builder cleanly.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Liverpool vs Chelsea Betting Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    Ryan Gravenberch 2+ ShotsAdd to slip5/2Ryan Gravenberch has had 2 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Liverpool, at 1.5 per 90 across 1,200 minutes, and he averages 63 minutes a game when he plays.Liverpool take 15.55 shots a game and hit 5.0 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.
  2. 02
    Dominik Szoboszlai 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip10/11Dominik Szoboszlai has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for Liverpool, at 0.66 per 90 across 1,361 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.Liverpool take 15.55 shots a game and hit 5.0 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.
  3. 03
    Pedro Neto 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip5/6Pedro Neto has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for Chelsea, at 0.85 per 90 across 1,270 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Chelsea take 13.3 shots a game and hit 4.6 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
  4. 04
    Morgan Rogers 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip8/11Morgan Rogers has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 8 for Chelsea, at 0.77 per 90 across 703 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Chelsea take 13.3 shots a game and hit 4.6 on target. That is about 62% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
  5. 05
    Alexis Mac Allister 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip2/1Alexis Mac Allister has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Liverpool, at 0.45 per 90 across 1,401 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.Liverpool take 15.55 shots a game and hit 5.0 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.
  6. 06
    Alexander Isak Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip11/8Alexander Isak has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Liverpool, at 0.67 per 90 across 935 minutes, and he averages 62 minutes a game when he plays.Liverpool score 1.80 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.
  7. 07
    Morgan Rogers Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip12/5Morgan Rogers has scored in 4 of his last 8 for Chelsea, at 0.51 per 90 across 703 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Chelsea score 1.40 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.
  8. 08
    Over 9.5 CornersAdd to slip4/6Liverpool win 5.95 corners a game and Chelsea 5.75, with 3.0 and 3.1 of those in the first half.That leaves about 12 in the match, a 73% chance of 10 or more against the 60% implied by 4/6.
  9. 09
    Liverpool to WinAdd to slip23/20Liverpool come in on W W W W L W, and at home they have scored 1.55 a game and conceded 1.27 across 11 matches. They have won 10 of their last 20 overall, drawing 5.Chelsea average 1.40 scored and 2.10 conceded. The venue splits project 2.24 against 1.35, which puts Liverpool at about 51% to win, against 20% for the draw.
  10. 10
    Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip4/9Both teams have scored in 12 of Liverpool's last 20 matches and 11 of Chelsea's. Liverpool concede 1.50 a game and Chelsea 2.10.On the venue splits the projection is 2.24 against 1.35, which puts both teams scoring at about 62%.
  11. 11
    Over 2.5 GoalsAdd to slip1/2Liverpool have gone past 2.5 goals in 55% of their last 20 matches and Chelsea in 75%, with 90% and 90% going past 1.5.Liverpool average 1.80 scored and 1.50 conceded, Chelsea 1.40 and 2.10. On the venue splits that projects 2.24 against 1.35, about 3.6 goals in the match and 67% for over 2.5.
  12. 12
    Correct Score 2-1Add to slip17/2On the venue splits this projects Liverpool 2.24 against Chelsea 1.35, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.4%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Liverpool, which is where the board has the match too.
  13. 13
    Liverpool to Win and Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip12/5Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Liverpool to win is about 51% and both teams scoring about 62%. Liverpool score 1.80 a game and concede 1.50, and Chelsea have scored in 11 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 12/5.
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Liverpool vs Chelsea Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten ties beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Liverpool vs Chelsea Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Liverpool vs Chelsea Bet Builder?

Dominik Szoboszlai 1+ Shot on Target, Alexis Mac Allister 1+ Shot on Target, Pedro Neto 1+ Shot on Target, Morgan Rogers Anytime Goalscorer and Over 9.5 Corners, at around 54/1 to 63/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. Dominik Szoboszlai 2+ Shots, which we make 70% against 56% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.

What Is an Attacking Liverpool vs Chelsea Bet Builder?

For a builder built on attacking output rather than the fouls markets our main tip leans on: Dominik Szoboszlai 2+ Shots, Pedro Neto 1+ Shot on Target and Morgan Rogers 1+ Shot on Target, around 9/2 combined with bet365. We make them Szoboszlai 70%, Neto 70%, Rogers 62%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Is There a Shorter-priced Liverpool vs Chelsea Bet Builder?

For something shorter, all three of these are odds-on and all three are ones our numbers make likelier than the price suggests: Dominik Szoboszlai 2+ Shots, Pedro Neto 1+ Shot on Target and Morgan Rogers 1+ Shot on Target, around 9/2 combined with bet365. We make them Szoboszlai 70%, Neto 70%, Rogers 62%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Cody Gakpo of Liverpool. He has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 ties, at 2.84 per 90 across 1,203 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays. Liverpool take 15.55 shots a game and hit 5.0 on target. bet365 list Cody Gakpo 1+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Moisés Caicedo of Chelsea. He has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 ties, at 1.67 per 90 across 1,291 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays. Liverpool hold 52.75% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 list Moisés Caicedo 1+ Foul Committed, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Alexander Isak of Liverpool. He has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 ties, at 1.16 per 90 across 935 minutes, and he averages 62 minutes a game when he plays. Liverpool take 15.55 shots a game and hit 5.0 on target. bet365 list Alexander Isak 1+ Shot on Target, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Miloš Kerkez of Liverpool. He has been fouled in 8 of his last 10 ties, at 1.93 per 90 across 1,167 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays. Chelsea commit 9.95 fouls a game. bet365 have not listed Miloš Kerkez 1+ Fouls Drawn yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Jorrel Hato of Chelsea. He has made 2 or more tackles in 6 of his last 10 ties, at 2.41 per 90 across 1,194 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays. Liverpool hold 52.75% of the ball, and Chelsea commit 9.95 fouls a game. bet365 list Jorrel Hato 2+ Tackles, with the current price in the leg finder below.

What Is the Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction?

Liverpool are 44% to win, the draw 24% and Chelsea 32% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Liverpool to Win is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Wednesday 28th October 2026, 20:00 UK time.

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