Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Predictions and Betting Tips

Andy Clark

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Carabao Cup fixture on Wednesday 28th October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Carabao Cup - Last 20 Games

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Team Stats

19:45

BournemouthvAston Villa
WWWWLL
Recent form
WWWWDW
1.70
Goals scored per game
2.05
1.10
Goals conceded per game
1.35
60%
Both teams scored
55%
85%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
65%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
25%
Over 3.5 goals
50%

BournemouthvAston Villa
14.9
Shots per game
13.6
4.7
Shots on target
5.2

BournemouthvAston Villa
1.88
Expected goals for
1.65
1.21
Expected goals against
1.4
50.8
Possession %
48.4

BournemouthvAston Villa
5.1
Corners per game
4.95
2.55
First half corners
2.9

BournemouthvAston Villa
12.75
Fouls per game
11.35
2.45
Own cards per game
1.7
4.35
Cards in match
4.05
1.55
First half cards
1.45
New Customer Offer · Midnite

Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets

Claim Offer

New customers only. Place a £10+ bet at min odds 1/1 (2.0) within 14 days of sign-up. Get £30 in Free Bets, valid for 7 days on selected bets only. Free stake not returned with winnings. T&Cs apply. 18+ | #ad | BeGambleAware.org

Bournemouth take 14.9 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target, against Aston Villa’s 13.6 and 5.2. Bournemouth commit 12.75 fouls a game to Aston Villa’s 11.35, with 4.35 and 4.05 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Bournemouth 42%, the draw 27% and Aston Villa 31%. 4 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Tip

1Nicolas Jackson Anytime Goalscorer5 of his last 10, 0.81 per 90
Why this Leg

Nicolas Jackson has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 0.81 per 90 across 780 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.

Aston Villa score 2.05 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.

2Boubacar Kamara 2+ Foul Committed6 of his last 10, 2.21 per 90
Why this Leg

Boubacar Kamara has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 2.21 per 90 across 855 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.

Bournemouth hold 50.8% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.

3Adrien Truffert 3+ Foul Committed5 of his last 10, 1.48 per 90
Why this Leg

Adrien Truffert has committed 3 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 1.48 per 90 across 1,704 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Aston Villa hold 48.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

4Marcus Tavernier Anytime Goalscorer5 of his last 10, 0.43 per 90
Why this Leg

Marcus Tavernier has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 0.43 per 90 across 1,679 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Bournemouth score 1.70 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

bet365Add 4-Leg Build to Betslip

What Is the Best Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Bet Builder?

Nicolas Jackson Anytime Goalscorer, Boubacar Kamara 2+ Foul Committed, Adrien Truffert 3+ Foul Committed and Marcus Tavernier Anytime Goalscorer, around 71/1 to 83/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.

Nicolas Jackson has scored in 5 of his last 10 ties at 0.81 per 90, and Aston Villa score 2.05 a game — 50% on our numbers against an implied 35%.

Boubacar Kamara has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 ties at 2.21 per 90, and Bournemouth hold 50.8% of the ball — 60% on our numbers against an implied 50%.

Adrien Truffert has committed 3 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 ties at 1.48 per 90, and Aston Villa hold 48.4% of the ball — 50% on our numbers against an implied 25%.

Marcus Tavernier has scored in 5 of his last 10 ties at 0.43 per 90, and Bournemouth score 1.70 a game — 50% on our numbers against an implied 29%.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Betting Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    António Silva 1+ ShotsAdd to slip5/6António Silva has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 0.73 per 90 across 990 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Bournemouth take 14.9 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
  2. 02
    Rayan 1+ Shot on Targetbet365TBCRayan has had a shot on target in 8 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 1.09 per 90 across 1,493 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.Bournemouth take 14.9 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
  3. 03
    Boubacar Kamara 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slipEvensBoubacar Kamara has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 2.21 per 90 across 855 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.Bournemouth hold 50.8% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
  4. 04
    Matty Cash 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip5/6Matty Cash has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 1.44 per 90 across 1,433 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Bournemouth hold 50.8% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
  5. 05
    Adrien Truffert 3+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip3/1Adrien Truffert has committed 3 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 1.48 per 90 across 1,704 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Aston Villa hold 48.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
  6. 06
    Marcus Tavernier Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip12/5Marcus Tavernier has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 0.43 per 90 across 1,679 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Bournemouth score 1.70 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.
  7. 07
    Johan Manzambi Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip9/4Johan Manzambi has scored in 3 of his last 6 for Aston Villa, at 0.68 per 90 across 396 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.Aston Villa score 2.05 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.
  8. 08
    Nicolas Jackson Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip15/8Nicolas Jackson has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 0.81 per 90 across 780 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.Aston Villa score 2.05 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.
  9. 09
    Matty Cash to be CardedAdd to slip3/1Matty Cash has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 0.38 per 90 across 1,433 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Aston Villa pick up 1.7 cards a game and there are 4.05 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
  10. 10
    Bournemouth to WinAdd to slip5/4Bournemouth come in on W W W W L L, and at home they have scored 1.90 a game and conceded 0.90 across 10 matches. They have won 9 of their last 20 overall, drawing 8.Aston Villa average 2.05 scored and 1.35 conceded. The venue splits project 1.71 against 1.30, which puts Bournemouth at about 44% to win, against 24% for the draw.
  11. 11
    Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip4/7Both teams have scored in 12 of Bournemouth's last 20 matches and 11 of Aston Villa's. Bournemouth concede 1.10 a game and Aston Villa 1.35.On the venue splits the projection is 1.71 against 1.30, which puts both teams scoring at about 59%.
  12. 12
    Over 2.5 GoalsAdd to slip7/10Bournemouth have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Aston Villa in 75%, with 85% and 75% going past 1.5.Bournemouth average 1.70 scored and 1.10 conceded, Aston Villa 2.05 and 1.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.71 against 1.30, about 3.0 goals in the match and 64% for over 2.5.
  13. 13
    Correct Score 2-1Add to slip17/2On the venue splits this projects Bournemouth 1.71 against Aston Villa 1.30, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.4%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Bournemouth, which is where the board has the match too.
  14. 14
    Bournemouth to Win and Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip3/1Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Bournemouth to win is about 44% and both teams scoring about 59%. Bournemouth score 1.70 a game and concede 1.10, and Aston Villa have scored in 11 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 3/1.
New Customer Offer · StarSports

Bet £40 Get £20 in Free Bets

Claim Offer

Offer available to new customers only who sign up with Promo Code BET40GET20. Place a bet of £40 (or more) at EVS (2.0) or greater and Get 2 x £10 Free Bets. 1 x £10 Free Bet paid automatically & following £10 Free Bet after 24hrs. Min Free Bet odds 4/1 (5.0). Free Bets expire after 24hrs. Full T&Cs apply. 18+ | #ad | BeGambleAware.org

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten ties beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

Loading prices…

Get Free Bets from a Bookies Sign-up Offer for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

Use one of these bookies welcome offers below to get free bets when you bet on Bournemouth vs Aston Villa, or any of the Carabao Cup matches this week. These are all new customer offers so if you haven’t opened a betting account with them before, you will qualify for the free bets.

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Bet Builder?

Nicolas Jackson Anytime Goalscorer, Boubacar Kamara 2+ Foul Committed, Adrien Truffert 3+ Foul Committed and Marcus Tavernier Anytime Goalscorer, at around 71/1 to 83/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. António Silva 1+ Shots, which we make 60% against 55% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.

What Is an Attacking Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Bet Builder?

For a builder built on attacking output rather than the fouls markets our main tip leans on: António Silva 1+ Shots, Alex Scott 2+ Shots and Nicolas Jackson Anytime Goalscorer, around 10/1 combined with bet365. We make them Silva 60%, Scott 50%, Jackson 50%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Is There a Shorter-priced Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Bet Builder?

For something shorter, all three of these are odds-on and all three are ones our numbers make likelier than the price suggests: António Silva 1+ Shots, Boubacar Kamara 2+ Foul Committed and Matty Cash 2+ Foul Committed, around 11/2 combined with bet365. We make them Silva 60%, Kamara 60%, Cash 60%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

Rayan of Bournemouth. He has had a shot on target in 8 of his last 10 ties, at 1.09 per 90 across 1,493 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays. Bournemouth take 14.9 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. bet365 have not listed Rayan 1+ Shot on Target yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

Nicolas Jackson of Aston Villa. He has had 3 or more shots in 7 of his last 10 ties, at 3.58 per 90 across 780 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays. Aston Villa take 13.6 shots a game and hit 5.2 on target. bet365 list Nicolas Jackson 3+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

João Gomes of Aston Villa. He has made 2 or more tackles in 5 of his last 8 ties, at 3.29 per 90 across 547 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays. Bournemouth hold 50.8% of the ball, and Aston Villa commit 11.35 fouls a game. bet365 list him at 3+ rather than 2+, a line he has cleared in 3 of those 8.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

Boubacar Kamara of Aston Villa. He has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 ties, at 2.21 per 90 across 855 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays. Bournemouth hold 50.8% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 list Boubacar Kamara 2+ Foul Committed, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

Alex Scott of Bournemouth. He has been fouled 3 times or more in 6 of his last 10 ties, at 2.51 per 90 across 1,255 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays. Aston Villa commit 11.35 fouls a game. There is no price up for Alex Scott 3+ Fouls Drawn at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.

What Is the Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction?

Bournemouth are 42% to win, the draw 27% and Aston Villa 31% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Over 2.5 Goals is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

Wednesday 28th October 2026, 19:45 UK time.

More Carabao Cup Tips and Predictions

 

Claim a Free Bet Before Kick-off

 

Competition

Today

19:45Leicester City vs Wigan AthleticLeague One9 tips19:45Luton Town vs Doncaster RoversLeague One10 tips19:45Milton Keynes Dons vs BromleyLeague One12 tips19:45Oxford United vs Stockport CountyLeague One9 tips19:45Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge UnitedLeague One11 tips19:45Barnet vs York CityLeague Two13 tips19:45Bradford City vs Peterborough UnitedCarabao Cup11 tips20:00Fleetwood Town vs ArsenalCarabao Cup12 tips

Tomorrow

19:30Manchester City vs Brighton and Hove AlbionCarabao Cup14 tips19:45Bournemouth vs Aston VillaCarabao Cup18 tips19:45Fulham vs Crystal PalaceCarabao Cup15 tips19:45Sunderland vs BrentfordCarabao Cup17 tips20:00Liverpool vs ChelseaCarabao Cup18 tips

Thu 29 Oct

19:45Everton vs Newcastle UnitedCarabao Cup18 tips

Thatsagoal Features

More features