Man United vs Aston Villa kicks off at 4.30pm on Sunday 8th November in the Premier League, and our bet builder for it pays 46/1 at bet365. Our numbers make over 2.5 goals about 65%.
The build is five legs drawn from the card, fouls, goals, shots and total goals markets. The one it leans on is Over 2.5 Goals — 65% on our numbers.

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Man United vs Aston Villa Bet Builder
Harry Maguire to be Carded
Harry Maguire has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.31 per 90 across 1,448 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.
Manchester United pick up 2.4 cards a game and there are 4.2 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.
Nicolas Jackson Anytime Goalscorer
Nicolas Jackson has scored in 6 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 0.76 per 90 across 947 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.
Aston Villa score 1.90 a game. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
Matheus Cunha 2+ Foul Committed
Matheus Cunha has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 1.96 per 90 across 1,284 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.
Aston Villa hold 46.85% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.
Bruno Fernandes 3+ Shots
Bruno Fernandes has had 3 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 2.58 per 90 across 1,674 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.
Manchester United take 16.45 shots a game and hit 5.35 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Over 2.5 Goals
Manchester United have gone past 2.5 goals in 55% of their last 20 matches and Aston Villa in 75%, with 85% and 80% going past 1.5.
Manchester United average 1.55 scored and 1.50 conceded, Aston Villa 1.90 and 1.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.79 against 1.60, about 3.4 goals in the match and 65% for over 2.5.
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Man United vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Tip
| 1 | Harry Maguire to be Carded5 of his last 10, 0.31 per 90Why this Leg |
| 2 | Nicolas Jackson Anytime Goalscorer6 of his last 10, 0.76 per 90Why this Leg |
| 3 | Matheus Cunha 2+ Foul Committed6 of his last 10, 1.96 per 90Why this Leg |
| 4 | Bruno Fernandes 3+ Shots6 of his last 10, 2.58 per 90Why this Leg |
| 5 | Over 2.5 Goals65% on our numbersWhy this Leg |
Today’s Football Betting Tips
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
