FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Predictions and Betting Tips

Andy Clark

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Champions League fixture on Tuesday 20th October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Champions League - Last 20 Games

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Team Stats

20:00

FC PortovPSV Eindhoven
LWWWLW
Recent form
LLWLWD
1.75
Goals scored per game
2.70
0.90
Goals conceded per game
1.60
50%
Both teams scored
80%
80%
Over 1.5 goals
95%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
30%
Over 3.5 goals
70%

FC PortovPSV Eindhoven
14.9
Shots per game
17.05
5.15
Shots on target
6.75

FC PortovPSV Eindhoven
1.74
Expected goals for
2.05
0.97
Expected goals against
1.39
52.4
Possession %
58.5

FC PortovPSV Eindhoven
5.75
Corners per game
6.75
2.75
First half corners
3.15

FC PortovPSV Eindhoven
13.8
Fouls per game
9.65
1.75
Own cards per game
1.7
4.15
Cards in match
3.5
1.4
First half cards
1.05
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FC Porto take 14.9 shots a game and hit 5.15 on target, against PSV Eindhoven’s 17.05 and 6.75. FC Porto commit 13.8 fouls a game to PSV Eindhoven’s 9.65, with 4.15 and 3.5 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it FC Porto 59%, the draw 23% and PSV Eindhoven 19%. 5 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Bet Builder Tip

1Lutsharel Geertruida 1+ Foul Committed5 of his last 7, 1.04 per 90
Why this Leg

Lutsharel Geertruida has committed a foul in 5 of his last 7 for PSV Eindhoven, at 1.04 per 90 across 519 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

FC Porto hold 52.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 71% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

2André Silva 2+ Shots4 of his last 10, 2.37 per 90
Why this Leg

André Silva has had 2 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for FC Porto, at 2.37 per 90 across 684 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.

FC Porto take 14.9 shots a game and hit 5.15 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 86% implied by 1/6.

3Jan Bednarek 1+ Shots7 of his last 10, 0.64 per 90
Why this Leg

Jan Bednarek has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for FC Porto, at 0.64 per 90 across 1,401 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

FC Porto take 14.9 shots a game and hit 5.15 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.

4Armando Obispo to be Carded5 of his last 10, 0.43 per 90
Why this Leg

Armando Obispo has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for PSV Eindhoven, at 0.43 per 90 across 1,042 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

PSV Eindhoven pick up 1.7 cards a game and there are 3.5 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

5Gabri Veiga Anytime Goalscorer5 of his last 10, 0.47 per 90
Why this Leg

Gabri Veiga has scored in 5 of his last 10 for FC Porto, at 0.47 per 90 across 1,160 minutes, and he averages 61 minutes a game when he plays.

FC Porto score 1.75 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.

bet365Add 5-Leg Build to Betslip

What Is the Best FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Bet Builder?

Lutsharel Geertruida 1+ Foul Committed, André Silva 2+ Shots, Jan Bednarek 1+ Shots, Armando Obispo to be Carded and Gabri Veiga Anytime Goalscorer, around 59/1 to 70/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.

Lutsharel Geertruida has committed a foul in 5 of his last 7 matches at 1.04 per 90, and FC Porto hold 52.4% of the ball — 71% on our numbers against an implied 58%.

André Silva has had 2 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 matches at 2.37 per 90, and FC Porto take 14.9 shots a game — 40% on our numbers against an implied 86%.

Jan Bednarek has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 matches at 0.64 per 90, and FC Porto take 14.9 shots a game — 70% on our numbers against an implied 38%.

Armando Obispo has been booked in 5 of his last 10 matches at 0.43 per 90, and PSV Eindhoven pick up 1.7 cards a game and there are 3.5 in their matches — 50% on our numbers against an implied 25%.

Gabri Veiga has scored in 5 of his last 10 matches at 0.47 per 90, and FC Porto score 1.75 a game — 50% on our numbers against an implied 32%.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Betting Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    André Silva 1+ ShotsAdd to slip1/50André Silva has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for FC Porto, at 2.37 per 90 across 684 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.FC Porto take 14.9 shots a game and hit 5.15 on target. That is about 80% on his own record, against the 98% implied by 1/50.
  2. 02
    Jan Bednarek 1+ ShotsAdd to slip13/8Jan Bednarek has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for FC Porto, at 0.64 per 90 across 1,401 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.FC Porto take 14.9 shots a game and hit 5.15 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.
  3. 03
    André Silva 2+ ShotsAdd to slip1/6André Silva has had 2 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for FC Porto, at 2.37 per 90 across 684 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.FC Porto take 14.9 shots a game and hit 5.15 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 86% implied by 1/6.
  4. 04
    Lutsharel Geertruida 1+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip8/11Lutsharel Geertruida has committed a foul in 5 of his last 7 for PSV Eindhoven, at 1.04 per 90 across 519 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.FC Porto hold 52.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 71% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
  5. 05
    Armando Obispo 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip13/8Armando Obispo has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for PSV Eindhoven, at 1.81 per 90 across 1,042 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.FC Porto hold 52.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.
  6. 06
    Gabri Veiga Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip21/10Gabri Veiga has scored in 5 of his last 10 for FC Porto, at 0.47 per 90 across 1,160 minutes, and he averages 61 minutes a game when he plays.FC Porto score 1.75 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.
  7. 07
    Ruben van Bommel to be CardedAdd to slip2/1Ruben van Bommel has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for PSV Eindhoven, at 0.6 per 90 across 751 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.PSV Eindhoven pick up 1.7 cards a game and there are 3.5 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.
  8. 08
    Armando Obispo to be CardedAdd to slip3/1Armando Obispo has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for PSV Eindhoven, at 0.43 per 90 across 1,042 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.PSV Eindhoven pick up 1.7 cards a game and there are 3.5 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
  9. 09
    FC Porto to WinAdd to slip8/13FC Porto come in on L W W W L W, and at home they have scored 1.45 a game and conceded 0.64 across 11 matches. They have won 13 of their last 20 overall, drawing 3.PSV Eindhoven average 2.70 scored and 1.60 conceded. The venue splits project 2.18 against 1.60, which puts FC Porto at about 55% to win, against 21% for the draw.
  10. 10
    Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip4/7Both teams have scored in 10 of FC Porto's last 20 matches and 16 of PSV Eindhoven's. FC Porto concede 0.90 a game and PSV Eindhoven 1.60.On the venue splits the projection is 2.18 against 1.60, which puts both teams scoring at about 68%.
  11. 11
    Over 2.5 GoalsAdd to slip8/15FC Porto have gone past 2.5 goals in 50% of their last 20 matches and PSV Eindhoven in 80%, with 80% and 95% going past 1.5.FC Porto average 1.75 scored and 0.90 conceded, PSV Eindhoven 2.70 and 1.60. On the venue splits that projects 2.18 against 1.60, about 3.8 goals in the match and 69% for over 2.5.
  12. 12
    Correct Score 2-1Add to slip15/2On the venue splits this projects FC Porto 2.18 against PSV Eindhoven 1.60, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.6%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs FC Porto, which is where the board has the match too.
  13. 13
    FC Porto to Win and Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip2/1Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: FC Porto to win is about 55% and both teams scoring about 68%. FC Porto score 1.75 a game and concede 0.90, and PSV Eindhoven have scored in 16 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 2/1.
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FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten matches beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Bet Builder?

Lutsharel Geertruida 1+ Foul Committed, André Silva 2+ Shots, Jan Bednarek 1+ Shots, Armando Obispo to be Carded and Gabri Veiga Anytime Goalscorer, at around 59/1 to 70/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. André Silva 1+ Shots, which we make 80% against 98% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.

What Is an Attacking FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Bet Builder?

For a builder built on attacking output rather than the fouls markets our main tip leans on: André Silva 1+ Shots, Jan Bednarek 1+ Shots and Gabri Veiga 3+ Shots, around 15/2 combined with bet365. We make them Silva 80%, Bednarek 70%, Veiga 70%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Is There a Shorter-priced FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Bet Builder?

For something shorter, all three of these are odds-on and all three are ones our numbers make likelier than the price suggests: André Silva 1+ Shots, Lutsharel Geertruida 1+ Foul Committed and Gabri Veiga 3+ Shots, around 9/2 combined with bet365. We make them Silva 80%, Geertruida 71%, Veiga 70%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

Ricardo Pepi of PSV Eindhoven. He has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 3.09 per 90 across 1,078 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays. PSV Eindhoven take 17.05 shots a game and hit 6.75 on target. bet365 list Ricardo Pepi 1+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

William Gomes of FC Porto. He has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 matches, at 1.01 per 90 across 1,074 minutes, and he averages 63 minutes a game when he plays. FC Porto take 14.9 shots a game and hit 5.15 on target. bet365 list William Gomes 1+ Shot on Target, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

Sergiño Dest of PSV Eindhoven. He has been fouled 2 times or more in 7 of his last 10 matches, at 2.41 per 90 across 1,084 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays. FC Porto commit 13.8 fouls a game. bet365 have not put this market up for him, so the odds are still TBC.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

Francisco Moura of FC Porto. He has made a tackle in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 2.66 per 90 across 608 minutes, and he averages 61 minutes a game when he plays. PSV Eindhoven hold 58.5% of the ball, and FC Porto commit 13.8 fouls a game. bet365 list him at 2+ rather than 1+, a line he has cleared in 5 of those 10.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

Alberto Costa of FC Porto. He has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 matches, at 2.51 per 90 across 1,468 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays. PSV Eindhoven hold 58.5% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 list Alberto Costa 2+ Foul Committed, with the current price in the leg finder below.

What Is the FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction?

FC Porto are 59% to win, the draw 23% and PSV Eindhoven 19% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Both Teams to Score is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

Tuesday 20th October 2026, 20:00 UK time.

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