VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid Predictions and Betting Tips

Andy Clark

VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Champions League fixture on Tuesday 20th October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Champions League - Last 20 Games

VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid Team Stats

20:00

VfB StuttgartvAtlético Madrid
LWWLLW
Recent form
WWWWWW
1.90
Goals scored per game
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded per game
1.20
60%
Both teams scored
50%
85%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
65%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
50%
Over 3.5 goals
30%

VfB StuttgartvAtlético Madrid
16.05
Shots per game
14.45
6.05
Shots on target
5.05

VfB StuttgartvAtlético Madrid
1.9
Expected goals for
1.66
1.79
Expected goals against
1.32
56.8
Possession %
53.75

VfB StuttgartvAtlético Madrid
6.35
Corners per game
5.85
3.4
First half corners
2.45

VfB StuttgartvAtlético Madrid
10.85
Fouls per game
11.25
1.6
Own cards per game
2.0
3.6
Cards in match
3.5
0.85
First half cards
1.3
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VfB Stuttgart take 16.05 shots a game and hit 6.05 on target, against Atlético Madrid’s 14.45 and 5.05. VfB Stuttgart commit 10.85 fouls a game to Atlético Madrid’s 11.25, with 3.6 and 3.5 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it VfB Stuttgart 29%, the draw 26% and Atlético Madrid 45%. 5 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid Bet Builder Tip

1Marcos Llorente 1+ Shot on Target4 of his last 10, 0.5 per 90
Why this Leg

Marcos Llorente has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Atlético Madrid, at 0.5 per 90 across 1,272 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.

Atlético Madrid take 14.45 shots a game and hit 5.05 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

2Alejandro Grimaldo 2+ Shots6 of his last 10, 1.82 per 90
Why this Leg

Alejandro Grimaldo has had 2 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Atlético Madrid, at 1.82 per 90 across 791 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

Atlético Madrid take 14.45 shots a game and hit 5.05 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 48% implied by 11/10.

3Over 9.5 Corners77% on our numbers
Why this Leg

VfB Stuttgart win 6.35 corners a game and Atlético Madrid 5.85, with 3.4 and 2.45 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 12 in the match, a 77% chance of 10 or more against the 58% implied by 8/11.

4Over 2.5 Goals68% on our numbers
Why this Leg

VfB Stuttgart have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Atlético Madrid in 60%, with 85% and 80% going past 1.5.

VfB Stuttgart average 1.90 scored and 1.60 conceded, Atlético Madrid 1.70 and 1.20. On the venue splits that projects 2.10 against 1.69, about 3.8 goals in the match and 68% for over 2.5.

5Both Teams to Score63% on our numbers
Why this Leg

Both teams have scored in 12 of VfB Stuttgart's last 20 matches and 10 of Atlético Madrid's. VfB Stuttgart concede 1.60 a game and Atlético Madrid 1.20.

On the venue splits the projection is 2.10 against 1.69, which puts both teams scoring at about 63%.

bet365Add 5-Leg Build to Betslip

What Is the Best VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid Bet Builder?

Marcos Llorente 1+ Shot on Target, Alejandro Grimaldo 2+ Shots, Over 9.5 Corners, Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score, around 28/1 to 34/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder. Two of these are match markets rather than player props, and in one game those move with each other, so bet365 will price the pair shorter than multiplying them suggests.

Marcos Llorente has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 matches at 0.5 per 90, and Atlético Madrid take 14.45 shots a game — 40% on our numbers against an implied 25%.

Alejandro Grimaldo has had 2 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 matches at 1.82 per 90, and Atlético Madrid take 14.45 shots a game — 60% on our numbers against an implied 48%.

Over 9.5 Corners. VfB Stuttgart win 6.35 corners a game and Atlético Madrid 5.85, which makes this about 77% on our numbers against the 58% its price implies. Corners are a separate market from the player legs, so this one multiplies into the builder cleanly.

Over 2.5 Goals. VfB Stuttgart win 6.35 corners a game and Atlético Madrid 5.85, which makes this about 68% on our numbers against the 65% its price implies. Corners are a separate market from the player legs, so this one multiplies into the builder cleanly.

Both Teams to Score. VfB Stuttgart win 6.35 corners a game and Atlético Madrid 5.85, which makes this about 63% on our numbers against the 69% its price implies. Corners are a separate market from the player legs, so this one multiplies into the builder cleanly.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid Betting Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    Alejandro Grimaldo 2+ ShotsAdd to slip11/10Alejandro Grimaldo has had 2 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Atlético Madrid, at 1.82 per 90 across 791 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Atlético Madrid take 14.45 shots a game and hit 5.05 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 48% implied by 11/10.
  2. 02
    Jeff Chabot 1+ Shotsbet365TBCJeff Chabot has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for VfB Stuttgart, at 1.04 per 90 across 1,551 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.VfB Stuttgart take 16.05 shots a game and hit 6.05 on target. That is about 60% on his own record. There is no price up for this line yet.
  3. 03
    Marcos Llorente 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip3/1Marcos Llorente has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Atlético Madrid, at 0.5 per 90 across 1,272 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.Atlético Madrid take 14.45 shots a game and hit 5.05 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
  4. 04
    Over 9.5 CornersAdd to slip8/11VfB Stuttgart win 6.35 corners a game and Atlético Madrid 5.85, with 3.4 and 2.45 of those in the first half.That leaves about 12 in the match, a 77% chance of 10 or more against the 58% implied by 8/11.
  5. 05
    Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip4/9Both teams have scored in 12 of VfB Stuttgart's last 20 matches and 10 of Atlético Madrid's. VfB Stuttgart concede 1.60 a game and Atlético Madrid 1.20.On the venue splits the projection is 2.10 against 1.69, which puts both teams scoring at about 63%.
  6. 06
    Over 2.5 GoalsAdd to slip8/15VfB Stuttgart have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Atlético Madrid in 60%, with 85% and 80% going past 1.5.VfB Stuttgart average 1.90 scored and 1.60 conceded, Atlético Madrid 1.70 and 1.20. On the venue splits that projects 2.10 against 1.69, about 3.8 goals in the match and 68% for over 2.5.
  7. 07
    Correct Score 1-2Add to slip8/1On the venue splits this projects VfB Stuttgart 2.10 against Atlético Madrid 1.69, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.3%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Atlético Madrid, which is where the board has the match too.
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VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten matches beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid Bet Builder?

Marcos Llorente 1+ Shot on Target, Alejandro Grimaldo 2+ Shots, Over 9.5 Corners, Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score, at around 28/1 to 34/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. Alejandro Grimaldo 2+ Shots, which we make 60% against 48% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.

What Is an Attacking VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid Bet Builder?

For a builder built on attacking output rather than the fouls markets our main tip leans on: Alejandro Grimaldo 2+ Shots, Marcos Llorente 1+ Shots and Chris Führich 1+ Shot on Target, around 11/2 combined with bet365. We make them Grimaldo 60%, Llorente 50%, Führich 50%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?

Deniz Undav of VfB Stuttgart. He has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 3.64 per 90 across 1,531 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays. VfB Stuttgart take 16.05 shots a game and hit 6.05 on target. bet365 list Deniz Undav 1+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?

Kang-in Lee of Atlético Madrid. He has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 1.84 per 90 across 684 minutes, and he averages 62 minutes a game when he plays. VfB Stuttgart hold 56.8% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 list Kang-in Lee 1+ Foul Committed, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?

Pablo Barrios of Atlético Madrid. He has been fouled in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 1.57 per 90 across 629 minutes, and he averages 63 minutes a game when he plays. VfB Stuttgart commit 10.85 fouls a game. bet365 have not put this market up for him, so the odds are still TBC.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?

Marcos Llorente of Atlético Madrid. He has made 2 or more tackles in 7 of his last 10 matches, at 2.97 per 90 across 1,272 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays. VfB Stuttgart hold 56.8% of the ball, and Atlético Madrid commit 11.25 fouls a game. bet365 list him at 3+ rather than 2+, a line he has cleared in 3 of those 10.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?

Antoine Griezmann of Atlético Madrid. He has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 9 matches, at 1.06 per 90 across 595 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays. Atlético Madrid take 14.45 shots a game and hit 5.05 on target. There is no price up for Antoine Griezmann 1+ Shot on Target at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.

What Is the VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid Prediction?

VfB Stuttgart are 29% to win, the draw 26% and Atlético Madrid 45% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Over 2.5 Goals is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?

Tuesday 20th October 2026, 20:00 UK time.

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