Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Predictions and Betting Tips

Andy Clark

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Champions League fixture on Wednesday 21st October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Champions League - Last 20 Games

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Team Stats

20:00

Real MadridvRB Leipzig
WWWLWW
Recent form
LWWLWL
2.25
Goals scored per game
2.10
1.20
Goals conceded per game
1.60
65%
Both teams scored
60%
85%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
60%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
40%
Over 3.5 goals
55%

Real MadridvRB Leipzig
16.4
Shots per game
15.9
6.65
Shots on target
6.3

Real MadridvRB Leipzig
2.05
Expected goals for
2.07
1.12
Expected goals against
1.64
53.45
Possession %
53.15

Real MadridvRB Leipzig
6.1
Corners per game
5.35
3.05
First half corners
2.1

Real MadridvRB Leipzig
9.5
Fouls per game
9.85
2.15
Own cards per game
1.55
4.3
Cards in match
3.0
1.45
First half cards
1.05
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Real Madrid take 16.4 shots a game and hit 6.65 on target, against RB Leipzig’s 15.9 and 6.3. Real Madrid commit 9.5 fouls a game to RB Leipzig’s 9.85, with 4.3 and 3.0 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Real Madrid 76%, the draw 15% and RB Leipzig 9%. 3 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Bet Builder Tip

1Ibrahima Konaté to be Carded4 of his last 10, 0.4 per 90
Why this Leg

Ibrahima Konaté has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Real Madrid, at 0.4 per 90 across 900 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Real Madrid pick up 2.15 cards a game and there are 4.3 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.

2Kylian Mbappé 4+ Shot on Target5 of his last 10, 2.7 per 90
Why this Leg

Kylian Mbappé has had 4 or more shots on target in 5 of his last 10 for Real Madrid, at 2.7 per 90 across 1,535 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.

Real Madrid take 16.4 shots a game and hit 6.65 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.

3Both Teams to Score68% on our numbers
Why this Leg

Both teams have scored in 13 of Real Madrid's last 20 matches and 12 of RB Leipzig's. Real Madrid concede 1.20 a game and RB Leipzig 1.60.

On the venue splits the projection is 2.93 against 1.53, which puts both teams scoring at about 68%.

bet365Add 3-Leg Build to Betslip

What Is the Best Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Bet Builder?

Ibrahima Konaté to be Carded, Kylian Mbappé 4+ Shot on Target and Both Teams to Score, around 16/1 to 18/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.

Ibrahima Konaté has been booked in 4 of his last 10 matches at 0.4 per 90, and Real Madrid pick up 2.15 cards a game and there are 4.3 in their matches — 40% on our numbers against an implied 23%.

Kylian Mbappé has had 4 or more shots on target in 5 of his last 10 matches at 2.7 per 90, and Real Madrid take 16.4 shots a game — 50% on our numbers against an implied 36%.

Both Teams to Score. Real Madrid win 6.1 corners a game and RB Leipzig 5.35, which makes this about 68% on our numbers against the 67% its price implies. Corners are a separate market from the player legs, so this one multiplies into the builder cleanly.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Betting Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    Rômulo 1+ Shotsbet365TBCRômulo has had a shot in 10 of his last 10 for RB Leipzig, at 2.82 per 90 across 1,118 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.RB Leipzig take 15.9 shots a game and hit 6.3 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
  2. 02
    Kylian Mbappé 4+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip7/4Kylian Mbappé has had 4 or more shots on target in 5 of his last 10 for Real Madrid, at 2.7 per 90 across 1,535 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.Real Madrid take 16.4 shots a game and hit 6.65 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
  3. 03
    Vinícius Júnior 1+ Foul Committedbet365TBCVinícius Júnior has committed a foul in 7 of his last 10 for Real Madrid, at 1.51 per 90 across 1,432 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.RB Leipzig hold 53.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against — worth a look when the market opens.
  4. 04
    Ibrahima Konaté to be CardedAdd to slip10/3Ibrahima Konaté has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Real Madrid, at 0.4 per 90 across 900 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Real Madrid pick up 2.15 cards a game and there are 4.3 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.
  5. 05
    Antonio Nusa to be CardedAdd to slip11/2Antonio Nusa has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for RB Leipzig, at 0.21 per 90 across 1,304 minutes, and he averages 65 minutes a game when he plays.RB Leipzig pick up 1.55 cards a game and there are 3.0 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 15% implied by 11/2.
  6. 06
    Real Madrid to WinAdd to slip1/4Real Madrid come in on W W W L W W, and at home they have scored 2.80 a game and conceded 0.80 across 10 matches. They have won 14 of their last 20 overall, drawing 2.RB Leipzig average 2.10 scored and 1.60 conceded. The venue splits project 2.93 against 1.53, which puts Real Madrid at about 71% to win, against 16% for the draw.
  7. 07
    Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip1/2Both teams have scored in 13 of Real Madrid's last 20 matches and 12 of RB Leipzig's. Real Madrid concede 1.20 a game and RB Leipzig 1.60.On the venue splits the projection is 2.93 against 1.53, which puts both teams scoring at about 68%.
  8. 08
    Correct Score 2-1Add to slip9/1On the venue splits this projects Real Madrid 2.93 against RB Leipzig 1.53, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.3%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Real Madrid, which is where the board has the match too.
  9. 09
    Real Madrid to Win and Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip21/20Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Real Madrid to win is about 71% and both teams scoring about 68%. Real Madrid score 2.25 a game and concede 1.20, and RB Leipzig have scored in 12 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 21/20.
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Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten matches beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Bet Builder?

Ibrahima Konaté to be Carded, Kylian Mbappé 4+ Shot on Target and Both Teams to Score, at around 16/1 to 18/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but inside a builder a short leg we rate well above its price is a sound anchor.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Kylian Mbappé of Real Madrid. He has had 3 or more shots in 9 of his last 10 matches, at 5.28 per 90 across 1,535 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays. Real Madrid take 16.4 shots a game and hit 6.65 on target. bet365 list Kylian Mbappé 3+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Christoph Baumgartner of RB Leipzig. He has had a shot on target in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 1.17 per 90 across 1,076 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays. RB Leipzig take 15.9 shots a game and hit 6.3 on target. There is no price up for Christoph Baumgartner 1+ Shot on Target at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Jude Bellingham of Real Madrid. He has been fouled 3 times or more in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 3.16 per 90 across 1,537 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays. RB Leipzig commit 9.85 fouls a game. bet365 have not put this market up for him, so the odds are still TBC.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Christopher Nkunku of RB Leipzig. He has committed a foul in 6 of his last 8 matches, at 1.59 per 90 across 508 minutes, and he averages 64 minutes a game when he plays. Real Madrid hold 53.45% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 list Christopher Nkunku 1+ Foul Committed, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Marc Cucurella of Real Madrid. He has made 2 or more tackles in 7 of his last 10 matches, at 3.07 per 90 across 733 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays. RB Leipzig hold 53.15% of the ball, and Real Madrid commit 9.5 fouls a game. bet365 list him at 3+ rather than 2+, a line he has cleared in 4 of those 10.

What Is the Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Prediction?

Real Madrid are 76% to win, the draw 15% and RB Leipzig 9% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Both Teams to Score is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Wednesday 21st October 2026, 20:00 UK time.

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