Georgia vs Hungary Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
Georgia v Hungary - Nations League predictions and stats
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Georgia vs Hungary

Sat 14 Nov, 17:00 · Nations League

GeorgiaDLDLWD
HungaryWWDLWW

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Georgia 8 in the Nations League and 12 across two others, Hungary 8 in the Nations League and 12 across two others

Goals

1.35Scored per game1.20
1.25Conceded per game1.40
Home gamesAway games
1.58Scored1.25
1.17Conceded1.62
Correct Score 0-111/2

On the venue splits this projects Georgia 1.56 against Hungary 1.09, and 0-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.6%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Hungary, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

0.96xG for1.30
1.11xG against1.20
+0.39Goals vs xG-0.10

Under and Over

75%Over 1.5 goals70%
45%Over 2.5 goals55%
25%Over 3.5 goals35%
Over 2.5 Goals6/4

Georgia are expected 1.60 at home and Hungary 1.21 away, so 2.81 in the match. Our numbers make it 53% against the 40% the price implies.

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Both Teams to Score

45%Both teams scored50%
7 of 20Clean sheets6 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score6 of 20
Both Teams to Score11/10

Both sides are expected to score – 1.60 and 1.21. Our numbers make it 56% against the 48% the price implies.

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Shots

11.33Shots per game15.00
3.80On target per game4.45
33.5%Accuracy29.7%

Corners

4.80Won per game4.70
1.93First half2.25
40.2%Share before the break47.9%
Over 8.5 Corners10/11

Georgia win 4.8 corners a game and Hungary 4.7, with 1.93 and 2.25 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 10 in the match, a 61% chance of 9 or more against the 52% implied by 10/11.

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Cards and Fouls

4.20Cards in the match4.85
1.87Own cards per game2.10
1.33Cards by half time1.50
11.00Fouls committed10.85

Shooting Detail

6.53Shots inside the box9.75
4.20Shots outside the box5.25
4.67Off target6.45
2.87Blocked4.10

Big Chances

1.67Big chances created2.45
0.87Big chances missed1.65
48%Taken33%
20.13Touches in the box21.55

Record

6-6-8Won, drawn, lost8-5-7
7 of 20Clean sheets6 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score6 of 20

Possession

54.60%Average share48.30%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Giorgi KochorashviliGeorgia · M10661.270.421.62.792.24
Otar KakabadzeGeorgia · D10470.090.090.950.522.062
Luka LochoshviliGeorgia · D10330.70.171.220.441.133
Saba GoglichidzeGeorgia · D8290.330.01.411.630.981
Anzor MekvabishviliGeorgia · M8020.560.112.241.011.912
Georges MikautadzeGeorgia · F7562.621.430.711.070.02
Otar KiteishviliGeorgia · M7341.590.371.231.232.332
Zuriko DavitashviliGeorgia · M7241.490.50.751.371.120
Guram KashiaGeorgia · D5850.460.150.460.311.232
Lasha DvaliGeorgia · D5810.310.150.620.151.551
Giorgi TsitaishviliGeorgia · F4690.770.190.581.341.541
Budu ZivzivadzeGeorgia · F4652.130.581.160.971.160
Giorgi ChakvetadzeGeorgia · M4361.650.831.240.831.240
Giorgi GocholeishviliGeorgia · D4250.210.211.481.481.481
Willi OrbanHungary · D18001.10.150.450.651.053
Dominik SzoboszlaiHungary · M17732.390.760.661.931.223
Andras SchaferHungary · M13411.410.341.341.682.215
Milos KerkezHungary · D12100.970.370.61.791.042
Barnabas VargaHungary · F9952.891.091.092.350.634
Bendeguz BollaHungary · D8861.220.31.020.911.420
Roland SallaiHungary · F8384.31.721.722.260.540
Loic NegoHungary · D8070.450.220.781.02.010
Alex TothHungary · F7941.250.451.130.791.930
Zsolt NagyHungary · D7451.930.361.811.213.022
Marton DardaiHungary · D6920.260.131.950.522.343
Daniel LukacsHungary · F6321.140.571.420.570.852
Attila SzalaiHungary · D5700.950.471.260.790.632
Milan VitalisHungary · M5181.040.01.041.042.951
Callum StylesHungary · D5030.890.00.890.721.431
Attila OsvathHungary · D4950.910.01.641.272.182
Mark CsingerHungary · D4440.610.21.421.222.230

Advised props

Giorgi Kochorashvili 1+ Fouls Committed

Giorgi Kochorashvili has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Georgia, at 1.6 per 90 across 1,066 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

Hungary hold 48.3% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%Georgia · Last sixGeorgia have gone past two and a half goals in 0 of their last six.
0/60%Georgia · Last sixGeorgia have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six.
6/6100%Hungary · Last sixHungary have picked up two or more cards in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Hungary · Last six awayHungary are unbeaten in every one of their last six on the road.
1/617%Hungary · Last sixHungary have gone past three and a half goals in one of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Georgia

05 OctNorthern Ireland (A)0-0D
02 OctHungary (A)0-1L
28 SepUkraine (H)0-0D
25 SepNorthern Ireland (H)0-1L
05 JunBahrain (H)2-0W
02 JunRomania (H)1-1D

Hungary

05 OctUkraine (A)2-1W
02 OctGeorgia (H)1-0W
28 SepNorthern Ireland (A)0-0D
25 SepUkraine (H)0-1L
09 JunKazakhstan (H)3-1W
05 JunFinland (H)2-1W
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Build Your Own Georgia vs Hungary Bet

Giorgi Kochorashvili 1+ Fouls Committed
Why this betGiorgi Kochorashvili has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Georgia, at 1.6 per 90 across 1,066 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Hungary hold 48.3% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Over 8.5 Corners10/111.91
Why this betGeorgia win 4.8 corners a game and Hungary 4.7, with 1.93 and 2.25 of those in the first half.That leaves about 10 in the match, a 61% chance of 9 or more against the 52% implied by 10/11.
Correct Score 0-111/26.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Georgia 1.56 against Hungary 1.09, and 0-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.6%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Hungary, which is where the board has the match too.
Over 2.5 Goals6/42.50
Why this betGeorgia are expected 1.60 at home and Hungary 1.21 away, so 2.81 in the match. Our numbers make it 53% against the 40% the price implies.
Both Teams to Score11/102.10
Why this betBoth sides are expected to score – 1.60 and 1.21. Our numbers make it 56% against the 48% the price implies.
Under 4.5 Cards5/61.83
Why this betGeorgia average 4.20 cards in a match and Hungary 4.85, so 4.53 here. Our numbers make it 53% against the 55% the price implies.
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