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Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Portugal 5 in the Nations League and 15 across three others, Denmark 9 in the Nations League and 11 across two others
Goals
On the venue splits this projects Portugal 1.87 against Denmark 1.24, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Portugal, which is where the board has the match too.
Expected Goals
Portugal come in on W W W W L W, and at home they have scored 2.42 a game and conceded 0.92 across 12 matches. They have won 13 of their last 20 overall, drawing 5.
Denmark average 2.05 scored and 1.15 conceded. The venue splits project 1.87 against 1.24, which puts Portugal at about 58% to win, against 23% for the draw.
Under and Over
Portugal have gone past 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Denmark in 65%, with 75% and 75% going past 1.5.
Portugal average 2.25 scored and 0.90 conceded, Denmark 2.05 and 1.15. On the venue splits that projects 1.87 against 1.24, about 3.1 goals in the match and 61% for over 2.5.
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Both Teams to Score
Both teams have scored in 11 of Portugal’s last 20 matches and 10 of Denmark’s. Portugal concede 0.90 a game and Denmark 1.15.
On the venue splits the projection is 1.87 against 1.24, which puts both teams scoring at about 56%.
Shots
Corners

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Cards and Fouls
Shooting Detail
Big Chances
Record
Possession
Player Props
Per 90| Player | Mins | Shots | On target | Fouls | Fouled | Tackles | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno FernandesPortugal · M | 1505 | 2.15 | 0.84 | 0.66 | 1.2 | 0.96 | 3 |
| Ruben DiasPortugal · D | 1495 | 0.48 | 0.06 | 0.72 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 3 |
| VitinhaPortugal · M | 1422 | 1.46 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.63 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Renato VeigaPortugal · D | 1326 | 0.61 | 0.07 | 1.15 | 0.54 | 0.68 | 3 |
| Pedro NetoPortugal · F | 1142 | 1.18 | 0.24 | 1.1 | 1.02 | 0.47 | 2 |
| Cristiano RonaldoPortugal · F | 1081 | 5.33 | 2.08 | 0.42 | 0.58 | 0.25 | 0 |
| Joao NevesPortugal · M | 928 | 1.45 | 0.58 | 0.78 | 1.26 | 2.42 | 1 |
| Ruben NevesPortugal · M | 852 | 1.9 | 0.85 | 0.74 | 0.32 | 1.27 | 1 |
| Joao FelixPortugal · F | 823 | 3.83 | 1.31 | 0.98 | 2.41 | 1.64 | 2 |
| Bernardo SilvaPortugal · M | 675 | 0.8 | 0.27 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.6 | 4 |
| Goncalo RamosPortugal · F | 662 | 3.94 | 1.5 | 1.09 | 0.68 | 0.82 | 0 |
| Nelson SemedoPortugal · D | 543 | 0.99 | 0.17 | 0.66 | 1.49 | 1.33 | 1 |
| Diogo DalotPortugal · D | 451 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Goncalo InacioPortugal · D | 414 | 0.43 | 0.22 | 0.65 | 1.09 | 1.09 | 1 |
| Morten HjulmandDenmark · M | 1453 | 1.18 | 0.12 | 1.18 | 1.73 | 1.73 | 0 |
| Joachim AndersenDenmark · D | 1328 | 0.75 | 0.41 | 1.36 | 0.75 | 1.69 | 5 |
| Pierre-Emile HojbjergDenmark · M | 1327 | 2.24 | 0.81 | 0.61 | 0.95 | 1.42 | 3 |
| Rasmus HojlundDenmark · F | 1223 | 3.24 | 1.47 | 1.1 | 1.55 | 0.29 | 0 |
| Rasmus KristensenDenmark · D | 1217 | 0.59 | 0.3 | 1.48 | 0.3 | 2.29 | 3 |
| Gustav IsaksenDenmark · M | 1116 | 3.71 | 1.85 | 1.05 | 3.55 | 0.73 | 2 |
| Joakim MaehleDenmark · D | 1108 | 0.97 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.65 | 2.6 | 3 |
| Mikkel DamsgaardDenmark · M | 1106 | 1.71 | 0.81 | 0.49 | 1.06 | 1.95 | 0 |
| Jannik VestergaardDenmark · D | 891 | 0.71 | 0.0 | 0.81 | 0.3 | 1.52 | 1 |
| Christian EriksenDenmark · M | 872 | 3.72 | 1.24 | 0.31 | 0.52 | 1.03 | 1 |
| Victor FroholdtDenmark · F | 794 | 1.25 | 0.34 | 0.91 | 1.81 | 0.68 | 1 |
| Patrick DorguDenmark · F | 751 | 1.92 | 0.6 | 1.56 | 3.36 | 2.52 | 1 |
| Christian NorgaardDenmark · M | 699 | 0.52 | 0.26 | 1.29 | 0.39 | 2.19 | 2 |
| Andreas ChristensenDenmark · D | 597 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.75 | 1.96 | 0 |
| Oliver ProvstgaardDenmark · D | 444 | 0.61 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.22 | 0 |
Advised props
Cristiano Ronaldo has had 3 or more shots in 9 of his last 10 for Portugal, at 5.33 per 90 across 1,081 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.
Portugal take 17.25 shots a game and hit 5.8 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Bruno Fernandes has had 2 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Portugal, at 2.15 per 90 across 1,505 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.
Portugal take 17.25 shots a game and hit 5.8 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 85% implied by 2/11.
Bruno Fernandes has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for Portugal, at 0.84 per 90 across 1,505 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.
Portugal take 17.25 shots a game and hit 5.8 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 73% implied by 4/11.
Rasmus Kristensen has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Denmark, at 1.48 per 90 across 1,217 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.
Portugal hold 60.75% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
Joakim Maehle has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Denmark, at 0.24 per 90 across 1,108 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.
Denmark pick up 1.4 cards a game and there are 3.55 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 21% implied by 15/4.
Trends
Window shown per lineLast Six Matches
Most recent firstPortugal
Denmark

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Build Your Own Portugal vs Denmark Bet
Why this bet
Cristiano Ronaldo has had 3 or more shots in 9 of his last 10 for Portugal, at 5.33 per 90 across 1,081 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.Portugal take 17.25 shots a game and hit 5.8 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.Why this bet
Bruno Fernandes has had 2 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Portugal, at 2.15 per 90 across 1,505 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Portugal take 17.25 shots a game and hit 5.8 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 85% implied by 2/11.Why this bet
Bruno Fernandes has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for Portugal, at 0.84 per 90 across 1,505 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Portugal take 17.25 shots a game and hit 5.8 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 73% implied by 4/11.Why this bet
Rasmus Kristensen has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Denmark, at 1.48 per 90 across 1,217 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Portugal hold 60.75% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.Why this bet
Joakim Maehle has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Denmark, at 0.24 per 90 across 1,108 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.Denmark pick up 1.4 cards a game and there are 3.55 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 21% implied by 15/4.Why this bet
Portugal come in on W W W W L W, and at home they have scored 2.42 a game and conceded 0.92 across 12 matches. They have won 13 of their last 20 overall, drawing 5.Denmark average 2.05 scored and 1.15 conceded. The venue splits project 1.87 against 1.24, which puts Portugal at about 58% to win, against 23% for the draw.Why this bet
Both teams have scored in 11 of Portugal’s last 20 matches and 10 of Denmark’s. Portugal concede 0.90 a game and Denmark 1.15.On the venue splits the projection is 1.87 against 1.24, which puts both teams scoring at about 56%.Why this bet
Portugal have gone past 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Denmark in 65%, with 75% and 75% going past 1.5.Portugal average 2.25 scored and 0.90 conceded, Denmark 2.05 and 1.15. On the venue splits that projects 1.87 against 1.24, about 3.1 goals in the match and 61% for over 2.5.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Portugal 1.87 against Denmark 1.24, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Portugal, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Portugal to win is about 58% and both teams scoring about 56%. Portugal score 2.25 a game and concede 0.90, and Denmark have scored in 10 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 7/4.Prices change, so check the slip before you stake. bet365 does not allow every combination of legs within one game.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
