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Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Romania 6 in the Nations League and 14 across two others, Poland 6 in the Nations League and 14 across two others
Goals
On the venue splits this projects Romania 1.83 against Poland 1.41, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.8%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Poland, which is where the board has the match too.
Expected Goals
Under and Over
Romania have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Poland in 50%, with 80% and 80% going past 1.5.
Romania average 1.65 scored and 1.70 conceded, Poland 1.60 and 1.30. On the venue splits that projects 1.83 against 1.41, about 3.2 goals in the match and 60% for over 2.5.
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Both Teams to Score
Both teams have scored in 12 of Romania’s last 20 matches and 11 of Poland’s. Romania concede 1.70 a game and Poland 1.30.
On the venue splits the projection is 1.83 against 1.41, which puts both teams scoring at about 60%.
Shots
Corners
Romania win 4.65 corners a game and Poland 5.94, with 2.35 and 2.94 of those in the first half.
That leaves about 11 in the match, a 73% chance of 9 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.
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Cards and Fouls
Shooting Detail
Big Chances
Record
Possession
Player Props
Per 90| Player | Mins | Shots | On target | Fouls | Fouled | Tackles | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei RatiuRomania · D | 1345 | 0.8 | 0.27 | 0.47 | 0.8 | 1.94 | 0 |
| Dennis ManRomania · F | 1157 | 1.87 | 0.7 | 1.32 | 1.24 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Andrei BurcaRomania · D | 912 | 0.39 | 0.1 | 0.89 | 0.49 | 0.99 | 3 |
| Nicusor BancuRomania · D | 893 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 1.91 | 3 |
| Nicolae StanciuRomania · M | 710 | 2.54 | 0.63 | 1.27 | 2.28 | 1.27 | 3 |
| Marius MarinRomania · M | 688 | 0.13 | 0.0 | 2.35 | 2.09 | 2.88 | 0 |
| Ianis HagiRomania · M | 654 | 2.48 | 0.41 | 0.96 | 1.51 | 1.79 | 1 |
| Daniel BirligeaRomania · F | 651 | 2.76 | 1.24 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 0.83 | 0 |
| Denis DragusRomania · F | 617 | 3.5 | 1.46 | 2.19 | 2.19 | 1.17 | 0 |
| Vlad DragomirRomania · M | 609 | 1.48 | 0.15 | 1.77 | 1.48 | 0.59 | 1 |
| Valentin MihailaRomania · F | 597 | 1.66 | 0.15 | 0.75 | 1.36 | 0.75 | 2 |
| Virgil GhitaRomania · D | 575 | 0.47 | 0.16 | 1.41 | 0.31 | 1.25 | 2 |
| Mihai PopescuRomania · D | 458 | 1.18 | 0.39 | 1.18 | 0.98 | 1.18 | 0 |
| Jakub KiwiorPoland · D | 1395 | 0.71 | 0.32 | 0.97 | 0.39 | 2.19 | 2 |
| Sebastian SzymanskiPoland · M | 1123 | 2.08 | 0.72 | 0.8 | 2.56 | 2.72 | 0 |
| Piotr ZielinskiPoland · M | 1109 | 2.11 | 0.57 | 0.65 | 0.49 | 0.73 | 3 |
| Matty CashPoland · D | 958 | 2.82 | 1.03 | 1.32 | 0.56 | 1.97 | 1 |
| Nicola ZalewskiPoland · M | 948 | 1.52 | 0.28 | 0.95 | 1.99 | 0.85 | 3 |
| Jakub KaminskiPoland · M | 902 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Robert LewandowskiPoland · F | 868 | 3.42 | 1.14 | 1.76 | 2.18 | 1.04 | 3 |
| Karol SwiderskiPoland · M | 668 | 2.69 | 1.48 | 1.08 | 2.02 | 0.27 | 2 |
| Bartosz SliszPoland · M | 570 | 0.63 | 0.16 | 1.42 | 0.47 | 1.42 | 2 |
| Przemyslaw WisniewskiPoland · D | 513 | 0.88 | 0.18 | 2.11 | 0.35 | 1.93 | 3 |
| Michal SkorasPoland · F | 447 | 1.01 | 0.2 | 1.01 | 2.42 | 2.82 | 0 |
| Przemyslaw FrankowskiPoland · D | 406 | 2.44 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 2.44 | 1 |
Advised props
Jakub Kiwior has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Poland, at 0.71 per 90 across 1,395 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.
Poland take 16.76 shots a game and hit 6.18 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.
Przemyslaw Frankowski has had 3 or more shots in 3 of his last 6 for Poland, at 2.44 per 90 across 406 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.
Poland take 16.76 shots a game and hit 6.18 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 17% implied by 5/1.
Matty Cash has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Poland, at 1.03 per 90 across 958 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.
Poland take 16.76 shots a game and hit 6.18 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.
Robert Lewandowski has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Poland, at 1.76 per 90 across 868 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.
Romania hold 51.59% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.
Andrei Coubis has committed 3 or more fouls in 2 of his last 5 for Romania, at 2.01 per 90 across 359 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.
Poland hold 50.29% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 9% implied by 10/1.
Trends
Window shown per lineLast Six Matches
Most recent firstRomania
Poland

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Build Your Own Romania vs Poland Bet
Why this bet
Jakub Kiwior has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Poland, at 0.71 per 90 across 1,395 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Poland take 16.76 shots a game and hit 6.18 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.Why this bet
Przemyslaw Frankowski has had 3 or more shots in 3 of his last 6 for Poland, at 2.44 per 90 across 406 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.Poland take 16.76 shots a game and hit 6.18 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 17% implied by 5/1.Why this bet
Matty Cash has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Poland, at 1.03 per 90 across 958 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Poland take 16.76 shots a game and hit 6.18 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.Why this bet
Robert Lewandowski has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Poland, at 1.76 per 90 across 868 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Romania hold 51.59% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.Why this bet
Andrei Coubis has committed 3 or more fouls in 2 of his last 5 for Romania, at 2.01 per 90 across 359 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Poland hold 50.29% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 9% implied by 10/1.Why this bet
Nicola Zalewski has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Poland, at 0.28 per 90 across 948 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Poland pick up 1.94 cards a game and there are 4.06 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 21% implied by 15/4.Why this bet
Romania win 4.65 corners a game and Poland 5.94, with 2.35 and 2.94 of those in the first half.That leaves about 11 in the match, a 73% chance of 9 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.Why this bet
Both teams have scored in 12 of Romania’s last 20 matches and 11 of Poland’s. Romania concede 1.70 a game and Poland 1.30.On the venue splits the projection is 1.83 against 1.41, which puts both teams scoring at about 60%.Why this bet
Romania have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Poland in 50%, with 80% and 80% going past 1.5.Romania average 1.65 scored and 1.70 conceded, Poland 1.60 and 1.30. On the venue splits that projects 1.83 against 1.41, about 3.2 goals in the match and 60% for over 2.5.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Romania 1.83 against Poland 1.41, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.8%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Poland, which is where the board has the match too.Prices change, so check the slip before you stake. bet365 does not allow every combination of legs within one game.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
