Italy vs Belgium Bet Builder Tips, Prediction and Stats

Italy vs Belgium bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Nations League fixture on Friday 25th September 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

UEFA Nations League - Last 20 Games

Italy vs Belgium Team Stats

19:45

ItalyvBelgium
WWDWLW
Recent form
LWDWDD
2.15
Goals scored per game
2.95
1.30
Goals conceded per game
1.00
55%
Both teams scored
60%
85%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
65%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
45%
Over 3.5 goals
55%

ItalyvBelgium
15.9
Shots per game
18.9
5.7
Shots on target
6.8

ItalyvBelgium
1.35
Expected goals for
2.23
0.75
Expected goals against
0.89
54.75
Possession %
59.25

ItalyvBelgium
5.7
Corners per game
7.35
3.05
First half corners
4.0

ItalyvBelgium
10.6
Fouls per game
10.85
1.55
Own cards per game
1.2
3.2
Cards in match
3.4

Belgium take 18.9 shots a game and hit 6.8 on target, the highest of any side playing this week, and Italy are close behind at 15.9 and 5.7. Both foul at a similar rate, 10.85 and 10.60 a game. That gives a long list of builder legs with a real record behind them, and ten more below that beat the price bet365 are offering. Everything here is free this week.

What Is the Best Italy vs Belgium Bet Builder?

A. Bastoni 2+ Fouls Drawn, K. De Bruyne 1+ Shot on Target, S. Tonali 1+ Shot on Target, B. Mechele 1+ Shots and T. Castagne 1+ Fouls Drawn, about 47/1 combined.

Every leg beats its own price before they are put together, which is the only sound way to build one. De Bruyne has had a shot on target in seven of his last ten internationals at 1.45 per 90; Bastoni has been fouled twice or more in six of his last ten, with Belgium committing 10.85 fouls a game; Tonali has hit the target in six of his last ten; Mechele has had a shot in six of his last ten; Castagne has been fouled in five of his last ten. If five legs is longer than you want, the potential legs table runs from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. The legs are listed in full below with our percentage beside bet365’s on each. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Italy vs Belgium Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten internationals beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Get Free Bets from a Bookies Sign-up Offer for Italy vs Belgium

Use one of these bookies welcome offers below to get free bets when you bet on Italy vs Belgium, or any of the Nations League matches this week. These are all new customer offers so if you haven’t opened a betting account with them before, you will qualify for the free bets.

Italy vs Belgium Bet Builder FAQs

What is the best Italy vs Belgium bet builder?

A. Bastoni 2+ Fouls Drawn, K. De Bruyne 1+ Shot on Target, S. Tonali 1+ Shot on Target, B. Mechele 1+ Shots and T. Castagne 1+ Fouls Drawn, at about 47/1 combined with bet365. All 5 legs beat their own price on our numbers.

Can you put odds-on legs in a bet builder?

Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a builder leg at 1/4 we make a 90% chance is a sound anchor. Barella, Di Lorenzo and Trossard all qualify on this fixture.

What is the Italy vs Belgium prediction?

Italy are 43% to win, the draw 27% and Belgium 30% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out, which is close to a true three-way market. The value is in the player legs rather than the result.

What time is Italy vs Belgium?

Friday 25 September 2026, 19:45 UK time, at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.

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