Our Netherlands vs Germany prediction is Tijjani Reijnders to have a shot on target at 10/11, a 70% chance on his own record against the 52% the price implies.
Two of the three highest shot counts in Thursday’s programme meet in Amsterdam. Germany take 17.6 shots a game and hit 6.75 on target, the Netherlands 14.65 and 5.8, and neither defends by fouling. Five selections come out of that, all of them in the shooting and fouls-drawn markets. Everything on this page is free this week, tips included.
Netherlands vs Germany Team Stats
Netherlands vs Germany Prediction
Tijjani Reijnders to have a shot on target, 10/11. The reasoning, the record behind it and the implied probability are all in the tips section below, and every selection on this page carries our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.
What We Are Not Backing, and Why
The markets we looked at and left alone, with the numbers, because a preview that only tells you what to back is hiding half the work.
- The result at 2.375, 3.80 and 2.70. Stripping the margin out leaves the Netherlands at 40%, Germany 35% and the draw 25%. That is as close to a true three-way market as Thursday offers and there is nothing to bet into.
- Over 9.5 corners at 10/11. Both sides win a lot of them — 5.15 and 6.7 a game — and we make the over a 74% chance against 52% implied. That gap is bigger than we trust our own number to be, so it sits as a builder leg rather than a selection.
The fouls markets are the ones our tackles and fouls tips are built on. Corners selections sit alongside the rest of our value bets.
Team News and Who Is Actually Available
We do not publish a predicted eleven. Nobody knows one this far out and a guess dressed as team news helps no one. What we publish instead is who the bookmaker has priced, which is a harder signal: bet365 will not put a price on a player who cannot feature, and they have money riding on being right.
18 Netherlands players and 8 Germany players carry prices on this fixture. Every one of them appears in the tables below. Anyone not priced has been stripped out.
Netherlands vs Germany Team Stats
Netherlands vs Germany Corners
Netherlands win 5.15 corners a game and Germany 6.7, with 2.75 and 3.75 of those in the first half. Netherlands take 14.65 shots a game to Germany’s 17.6, and shot volume is what drives corner counts. The line is 9.5 and we make 10 or more a 74% chance against the 52% implied by 10/11.
Bet Builder Leg Finder Tool
Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten internationals beside the odds. Free, no sign-in, and it covers the markets bet365 price on this match. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.
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Netherlands vs Germany Tips and Best Bets
Netherlands vs Germany FAQs
What is the Netherlands vs Germany prediction?
Tijjani Reijnders to have a shot on target, 10/11.
What time is Netherlands vs Germany?
Thursday 24 September 2026, 19:45 UK time.
What are the Netherlands vs Germany odds?
Netherlands 2.375, the draw 3.8, Germany 2.7 with bet365. Stripping the margin out, that is 39.9% for Netherlands, 25.0% for the draw and 35.1% for Germany.
Will both teams score?
Yes is 1.444 and no is 2.625. Both teams have scored in 65% of Netherlands’s last twenty and 60% of Germany’s.
More Football Tips
- All UEFA Nations League predictions and betting tips
- Bet Builder Leg Finder Tool
- Tackles And Fouls Tips
- Value Bets
- Bet Of The Day
- England’s Nations League 2026/27 fixtures
- Today’s bet builder tips
- Football accumulator tips
- bet365 betting offers
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
