Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction, Betting Tips and Stats

Our Poland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction is Matty Cash to have a shot on target at 11/8, a 56% chance on his own record against the 42% the price implies.

Bosnia commit 16.35 fouls a game, the most of any side playing this week, and Poland 12.41. bet365 have shots and shots on target up but not the fouls market, which is where this fixture would otherwise point. One tracked selection and a builder leg come out of it. Everything on this page is free this week, tips included.

UEFA Nations League - Last 20 Games

Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Team Stats

19:45

PolandvBosnia & Herzegovina
DLLWWD
Recent form
LWLDDD
1.60
Goals scored per game
1.55
1.55
Goals conceded per game
1.45
65%
Both teams scored
70%
85%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
55%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
40%
Over 3.5 goals
35%

PolandvBosnia & Herzegovina
15.18
Shots per game
13.18
5.65
Shots on target
4.41

PolandvBosnia & Herzegovina
1.04
Expected goals for
1.13
0.62
Expected goals against
1.0
47.06
Possession %
47.82

PolandvBosnia & Herzegovina
5.47
Corners per game
3.88
2.65
First half corners
1.53

PolandvBosnia & Herzegovina
12.41
Fouls per game
16.35
1.82
Own cards per game
2.24
3.76
Cards in match
4.06

Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction

Matty Cash to have a shot on target, 11/8. The reasoning, the record behind it and the implied probability are in the tips section below, and every selection carries our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

What We Are Not Backing, and Why

The markets we looked at and left alone, with the numbers, because a preview that only tells you what to back is hiding half the work.

  • Poland to win at 13/20. 55% once the margin comes out, and we make it the same.
  • Both teams to score at 10/11. Both teams have scored in 65% of Poland’s last twenty and 70% of Bosnia’s, but the model puts this at 52% against 52% implied once the total-goals price is taken into account. Level.

 

Our shots on target tips cover the same market across every competition we price. Corners selections sit alongside the rest of our value bets.

Team News and Who Is Actually Available

We do not publish a predicted eleven. Nobody knows one this far out and a guess dressed as team news helps no one. What we publish instead is who the bookmaker has priced, which is a harder signal: bet365 will not put a price on a player who cannot feature, and they have money riding on being right.

13 Poland players and 16 Bosnia & Herzegovina players carry prices on this fixture. Every one appears in the tables below. Anyone not priced has been stripped out.

Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Corners

Poland win 5.47 corners a game and Bosnia & Herzegovina 3.88, with 2.65 and 1.53 of those in the first half. Poland take 15.18 shots a game to Bosnia & Herzegovina’s 13.18, and shot volume is what drives corner counts. The line is 9.5 and we make 10 or more a 46% chance against the 48% implied by 11/10.

Bet Builder Leg Finder Tool

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten internationals beside the odds. Free, no sign-in, and it covers the markets bet365 price on this match. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

Loading prices…

Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Tips and Best Bets

Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FAQs

What is the Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction?

Matty cash to have a shot on target at 11/8, a 56% chance on his own record against the 42% the price implies.

What time is Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

Friday 25 September 2026, 19:45 UK time.

What are the Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina odds?

Poland 1.65, the draw 3.7, Bosnia & Herzegovina 4.5 with bet365. Stripping the margin out, that is 55.2% for Poland, 24.6% for the draw and 20.2% for Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Will both teams score?

Yes is 1.909 and no is 1.8. Both teams have scored in 65% of Poland’s last twenty and 70% of Bosnia & Herzegovina’s.

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