Sweden vs Romania Predictions, Betting Tips and Stats for a Bet Builder

Our Sweden vs Romania prediction is both teams to score at 8/11. We make it a 54% chance against the 58% the price implies, so it is the likeliest outcome rather than a value call.

Sweden are 62% on the market’s numbers, the shortest home price on Friday, but they concede 1.80 a game, and both teams have scored in 65% of their last twenty. Romania match them for shots, 14.06 to 12.55. bet365 have shots and bookings priced, and nothing on the player side beats its price by enough to bet. Everything on this page is free this week.

UEFA Nations League - Last 20 Games

Sweden vs Romania Team Stats

19:45

SwedenvRomania
LDLWDL
Recent form
WDLLWL
1.95
Goals scored per game
1.95
1.80
Goals conceded per game
1.25
65%
Both teams scored
55%
90%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
65%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
55%
Over 3.5 goals
30%

SwedenvRomania
12.55
Shots per game
14.06
5.15
Shots on target
5.29

SwedenvRomania
1.17
Expected goals for
1.12
1.54
Expected goals against
0.84
51.95
Possession %
52.06

SwedenvRomania
5.15
Corners per game
5.12
2.3
First half corners
2.47

SwedenvRomania
12.9
Fouls per game
12.41
1.6
Own cards per game
1.71
3.6
Cards in match
4.76

Sweden vs Romania Prediction

Both teams to score, 8/11. Nothing on this fixture beats its price by enough to be one of our tracked bets, so this is the likeliest outcome rather than a value call, and we would rather label it than dress it up.

What We Are Not Backing, and Why

The markets we looked at and left alone, with the numbers, because a preview that only tells you what to back is hiding half the work.

  • Sweden to win at 12/25. Odds-on and correctly priced at 62%.
  • Under 2.5 goals at 5/4. 42% against 44% implied.

 

Corners selections sit alongside the rest of our value bets.

Team News and Who Is Actually Available

We do not publish a predicted eleven. Nobody knows one this far out and a guess dressed as team news helps no one. What we publish instead is who the bookmaker has priced, which is a harder signal: bet365 will not put a price on a player who cannot feature, and they have money riding on being right.

18 Sweden players and 15 Romania players carry prices on this fixture. Every one appears in the tables below. Anyone not priced has been stripped out.

Sweden vs Romania Corners

Sweden win 5.15 corners a game and Romania 5.12, with 2.3 and 2.47 of those in the first half. Sweden take 12.55 shots a game to Romania’s 14.06, and shot volume is what drives corner counts. The line is 9.5 and we make 10 or more a 58% chance against the 52% implied by 10/11.

Bet Builder Leg Finder Tool

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten internationals beside the odds. Free, no sign-in, and it covers the markets bet365 price on this match. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Sweden vs Romania Tips and Best Bets

Sweden vs Romania FAQs

What is the Sweden vs Romania prediction?

Both teams to score at 8/11. we make it a 54% chance against the 58% the price implies, so it is the likeliest outcome rather than a value call.

What time is Sweden vs Romania?

Friday 25 September 2026, 19:45 UK time.

What are the Sweden vs Romania odds?

Sweden 1.48, the draw 4.333, Romania 5.5 with bet365. Stripping the margin out, that is 62.1% for Sweden, 21.2% for the draw and 16.7% for Romania.

Will both teams score?

Yes is 1.727 and no is 2.0. Both teams have scored in 65% of Sweden’s last twenty and 55% of Romania’s.

More UEFA Nations League Tips and Predictions

 

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