Leeds United vs Manchester United Bet Builder Tips, Predictions and Best Bets

Andy Clark

Leeds United vs Manchester United bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Premier League fixture on Sunday 18th October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Premier League - Last 20 Games

Leeds United vs Manchester United Team Stats

14:00

Leeds UnitedvManchester United
LDWDDW
Recent form
LDDLWD
1.30
Goals scored per game
1.75
0.95
Goals conceded per game
1.20
55%
Both teams scored
60%
65%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
45%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
25%
Over 3.5 goals
35%

Leeds UnitedvManchester United
12.5
Shots per game
16.7
3.9
Shots on target
5.7

Leeds UnitedvManchester United
1.45
Expected goals for
1.72
1.46
Expected goals against
1.34
45.45
Possession %
52.05

Leeds UnitedvManchester United
4.25
Corners per game
5.8
2.25
First half corners
2.55

Leeds UnitedvManchester United
11.45
Fouls per game
10.75
1.95
Own cards per game
1.9
4.05
Cards in match
3.8
1.6
First half cards
1.2
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Leeds United take 12.5 shots a game and hit 3.9 on target, against Manchester United’s 16.7 and 5.7. Leeds United commit 11.45 fouls a game to Manchester United’s 10.75, with 4.05 and 3.8 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Leeds United 41%, the draw 27% and Manchester United 33%. 4 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Leeds United vs Manchester United Bet Builder Tip

1Dominic Calvert-Lewin to be Carded5 of his last 10, 0.27 per 90
Why this Leg

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 0.27 per 90 across 1,658 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

Leeds United pick up 1.95 cards a game and there are 4.05 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.

2Luke Shaw 1+ Shots5 of his last 10, 0.52 per 90
Why this Leg

Luke Shaw has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.52 per 90 across 1,385 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

Manchester United take 16.7 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.

3Bryan Mbeumo Anytime Goalscorer5 of his last 10, 0.3 per 90
Why this Leg

Bryan Mbeumo has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,513 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

Manchester United score 1.75 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

4Noah Okafor Anytime Goalscorer4 of his last 10, 0.81 per 90
Why this Leg

Noah Okafor has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 0.81 per 90 across 782 minutes, and he averages 60 minutes a game when he plays.

Leeds United score 1.30 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.

bet365Add 4-Leg Build to Betslip

What Is the Best Leeds United vs Manchester United Bet Builder?

Dominic Calvert-Lewin to be Carded, Luke Shaw 1+ Shots, Bryan Mbeumo Anytime Goalscorer and Noah Okafor Anytime Goalscorer, around 76/1 to 89/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been booked in 5 of his last 10 matches at 0.27 per 90, and Leeds United pick up 1.95 cards a game and there are 4.05 in their matches — 50% on our numbers against an implied 32%.

Luke Shaw has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 matches at 0.52 per 90, and Manchester United take 16.7 shots a game — 50% on our numbers against an implied 36%.

Bryan Mbeumo has scored in 5 of his last 10 matches at 0.3 per 90, and Manchester United score 1.75 a game — 50% on our numbers against an implied 29%.

Noah Okafor has scored in 4 of his last 10 matches at 0.81 per 90, and Leeds United score 1.30 a game — 40% on our numbers against an implied 35%.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Leeds United vs Manchester United Betting Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    Luke Shaw 1+ ShotsAdd to slip7/4Luke Shaw has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.52 per 90 across 1,385 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester United take 16.7 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
  2. 02
    Anton Stach 2+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip6/5Anton Stach has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 1.63 per 90 across 1,217 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester United hold 52.05% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 45% implied by 6/5.
  3. 03
    Anton Stach 3+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip4/1Anton Stach has committed 3 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 1.63 per 90 across 1,217 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester United hold 52.05% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.
  4. 04
    Bryan Mbeumo Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip12/5Bryan Mbeumo has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,513 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester United score 1.75 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.
  5. 05
    Noah Okafor Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip15/8Noah Okafor has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 0.81 per 90 across 782 minutes, and he averages 60 minutes a game when he plays.Leeds United score 1.30 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.
  6. 06
    Dominic Calvert-Lewin to be CardedAdd to slip21/10Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 0.27 per 90 across 1,658 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Leeds United pick up 1.95 cards a game and there are 4.05 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.
  7. 07
    Leeds United to WinAdd to slip27/20Leeds United have won 7 of their last 20, drawing 9, and at home they have scored 1.50 a game and conceded 0.60 across 10 matches.Manchester United average 1.75 scored and 1.20 conceded. The venue splits project 1.41 against 1.10, which puts Leeds United at about 42% to win, against 27% for the draw.
  8. 08
    Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip8/15Both teams have scored in 11 of Leeds United's last 20 matches and 12 of Manchester United's. Leeds United concede 0.95 a game and Manchester United 1.20.On the venue splits the projection is 1.41 against 1.10, which puts both teams scoring at about 54%.
  9. 09
    Correct Score 2-1Add to slip9/1On the venue splits this projects Leeds United 1.41 against Manchester United 1.10, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.4%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Leeds United, which is where the board has the match too.
  10. 10
    Leeds United to Win and Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip3/1Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Leeds United to win is about 42% and both teams scoring about 54%. Leeds United score 1.30 a game and concede 0.95, and Manchester United have scored in 12 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 3/1.
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Leeds United vs Manchester United Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten matches beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Leeds United vs Manchester United Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Leeds United vs Manchester United Bet Builder?

Dominic Calvert-Lewin to be Carded, Luke Shaw 1+ Shots, Bryan Mbeumo Anytime Goalscorer and Noah Okafor Anytime Goalscorer, at around 76/1 to 89/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes, and it is often the right thing to do. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but a short leg we make a strong chance is a sound anchor. Anton Stach 2+ Foul Committed, which we make 60% against 45% implied, qualifies here — the current price is in the table above.

What Is an Attacking Leeds United vs Manchester United Bet Builder?

For a builder built on attacking output rather than the fouls markets our main tip leans on: Luke Shaw 1+ Shots, Lisandro Martínez 1+ Shots and Jayden Bogle 1+ Shots, around 17/2 combined with bet365. We make them Shaw 50%, Martínez 50%, Bogle 50%. These are structured alternatives rather than value bets — the tip at the top of the page is the one where every leg beats its own price.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in Leeds United vs Manchester United?

Bryan Mbeumo of Manchester United. He has had a shot on target in 10 of his last 10 matches, at 0.77 per 90 across 1,513 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester United take 16.7 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. bet365 list Bryan Mbeumo 1+ Shot on Target, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Leeds United vs Manchester United?

Gabriel Gudmundsson of Leeds United. He has been fouled in 10 of his last 10 matches, at 2.04 per 90 across 1,059 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester United commit 10.75 fouls a game. There is no price up for Gabriel Gudmundsson 1+ Fouls Drawn at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Leeds United vs Manchester United?

Dominic Calvert-Lewin of Leeds United. He has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 matches, at 1.63 per 90 across 1,658 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester United hold 52.05% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 list Dominic Calvert-Lewin 1+ Foul Committed, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Leeds United vs Manchester United?

Matheus Cunha of Manchester United. He has had 3 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 matches, at 2.88 per 90 across 1,468 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays. Manchester United take 16.7 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. bet365 list Matheus Cunha 3+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in Leeds United vs Manchester United?

Casemiro of Manchester United. He has made 3 or more tackles in 6 of his last 10 matches, at 3.48 per 90 across 853 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays. Leeds United hold 45.45% of the ball, and Manchester United commit 10.75 fouls a game. There is no price up for Casemiro 3+ Tackles at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.

What Is the Leeds United vs Manchester United Prediction?

Leeds United are 41% to win, the draw 27% and Manchester United 33% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The value is in the player legs rather than the result.

What Time Is Leeds United vs Manchester United?

Sunday 18th October 2026, 14:00 UK time.

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